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Brief Analysis
Simmering Trouble in Oil-Rich Shia Area Complicates Riyadh's Concerns
Incidents in the town of al-Awamiyah are creating headaches for the Saudi leadership and adding to regional tensions.
Jul 5, 2017
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Kurdish Referendum and the Status of Kirkuk
July 5, 2017 Iraqi Kurdistan has finally set September 25 as the date for an independence referendum. After Mosul fell to the Islamic State (IS) in 2014, Masoud Barzani announced that the region will hold a referendum on independence, as Iraq has already essentially partitioned. Barzani renewed his call for
Jul 5, 2017
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Nahwi Saeed
Brief Analysis
Managing Escalation Dynamics with Iran in Syria -- and Beyond
Given recent frictions, the United States should take a number of steps to reduce the potential for escalation with Tehran and to avoid a broader conflict.
Jul 5, 2017
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Michael Eisenstadt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The PKK in Sinjar at the Center of Many Conflicts
July 5, 2017 Iran is creating and reinforcing power centers for its allied forces by implementing its policies across a geographic area that extends from the western borders of Iraq to the shores of the Mediterranean. It is also creating provisional Shiite cells in Sunni Arab regions by employing paramilitary
Jul 5, 2017
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Raed Al-Hamid
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood Is the Root of the Qatar Crisis
The Saudi-led bloc has made thirteen demands of Doha, but they're mostly about resolving one issue -- and time is almost up.
Jul 2, 2017
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Cannot Arrest Its Way out of Violent Extremism
Without credible threat assessments, judges and prison wardens are left to rely on their individual perceptions, while worrying what their decisions will mean for public safety.
Jul 2, 2017
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Maxine Rich
Articles & Testimony
The Palace Intrigue at the Heart of the Qatar Crisis
Riyadh and Abu Dhabi are probably trying to groom an alternative and more pliable al-Thani, as compared to the current emir and "father-emir," for a leadership role.
Jun 30, 2017
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Embrace a New Saudi Arabia
The United States should work with Muhammad bin Salman, the new crown prince, as he pushes for change.
Jun 29, 2017
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
How a Soap Opera Explains Egyptian-Israeli Relations
Anti-Semitic themes appear in a program that nonetheless portrays Mossad officials as serious and smart people.
Jun 29, 2017
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Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
The Death of Democracy in Turkey
President Erdogan has catapulted his country into crisis through his attempt to stay in power.
Jun 29, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Saudi Royal Rivalries Test U.S. Relations
Washington should back the winning side, represented by the new crown prince, but it must also be mindful of shifting family dynamics and tread carefully.
Jun 29, 2017
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Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings, and the Islamic State
Over the past eight years, al-Qaeda's fortunes have ebbed and flowed. Drones, uprisings, and a challenge from the Islamic State have forced the core al-Qaeda organization—historically based in the Afghanistan/Pakistan region—and its various branches to adapt and migrate outward. In this new Policy Focus, Washington Institute fellow Aaron Y. Zelin
Jun 28, 2017
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Palestinian Public’s Tough Choices: On Violence, Instability, Hamas, “Jewish State”
One-third of West Bank and Gaza Palestinians want to “escalate the resistance against Israel, even if that makes life harder right now,” according to a late-May survey conducted by the reliable Palestine Center for Public Opinion. The majority, however, prefer other options: a compromise deal with Israel, a focus on
Jun 27, 2017
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Waiting Game in Sinjar
From Ankara's perspective, an optimal outcome may ultimately involve using soft power, rather than actual force, to remove its Kurdish PKK and YPG adversaries from the district.
Jun 27, 2017
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Fight for the Northern Iraq-Syria Border
At the symbolic level, Iran and its proxies are achieving great success in planting their flags along this contested frontier, but real control will entail the much tougher task of establishing permanent bases and logistical arrangements.
Jun 27, 2017
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Tillerson's 'Peaceful' Regime Change for Iran:
Really? And What Comes Next?
Efforts by U.S. officials to identify or suggest support for anti-regime "elements" within Iran will only undermine any authenticity these elements previously enjoyed.
Jun 26, 2017
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Eric Pelofsky
Brief Analysis
Gulf Crisis with Qatar Challenges the United States
Extremely tough conditions set by Saudi Arabia and the UAE for resolving the diplomatic rift with Qatar could force Washington to choose sides.
Jun 23, 2017
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Green-on-Blue Attacks in Jordan
Even as Washington adapts to changing circumstances, the risks for U.S. military personnel in Jordan will likely persist.
Jun 23, 2017
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Defusing the Electricity Crisis in Gaza -- For Now
The recent deal to restore electricity to the territory will ease short-term concerns, but given the turbulent Palestinian and regional political scene, a more sustainable solution will require setting up independent mechanisms for utility provision.
Jun 22, 2017
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Katherine Bauer
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Iran Missile Strikes Reveal Potential Military Weaknesses
The retaliatory attacks against alleged Islamic State facilities in eastern Syria apparently failed to hit any of their intended targets, undermining Iranian deterrence and raising questions about the effectiveness of Iran's missile force.
Jun 22, 2017
◆
Farzin Nadimi
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