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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
2023 Iraqi Provincial Elections: Analyzing Mosul's Political Landscape
Political results are clearly divided along identity politics, yet intra-communal political rifts are also evident. Despite their growing influence in the area, Shia parties—like other political groups—will need to forge alliances with other factions in order to effectively exert influence and manage the city.
Dec 28, 2023
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Sercan Çalışkan
Articles & Testimony
After 'Green Talk' at COP28, Where Should Iraq Begin?
OPEC’s second-biggest oil producer must demonstrate how it will balance its goals of reducing emissions, increasing crude production, and continuing the use of high-sulfur liquid fuels in the power sector.
Dec 27, 2023
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Noam Raydan
Harry Istepanian
Brief Analysis
Iran Increases Output of Near Bomb-Grade Nuclear Material
The IAEA’s new uranium revelations are amplifying concerns about a potential multifront war between Israel and Iran.
Dec 27, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkmen Split on Upcoming Iraqi Court Decision for KRG Parliament Turkmen Quotas
Turkmens in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) are very apprehensive about the Federal Supreme Court decision, to be handed down on December 27, on the question of abolishing the eleven seats reserved for minorities in the 111-member parliament of the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), which currently includes five seats set aside for Turkmens.
Dec 24, 2023
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Bekir Aydoğan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Does the War in Gaza Mean for Jordan's National Security?
Amman worries that the war in Gaza will increase Hamas’s domestic popularity and embolden the group’s supporters—especially with Jordan’s upcoming parliamentary elections in August 2024.
Dec 22, 2023
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Saud Al-Sharafat
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Rising Pressure on Red Sea Transit
As Houthi attacks continue, more companies are deciding to take costly detours around Africa, increasing the urgency of bolstering local security measures.
Dec 22, 2023
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Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Profile: Aleppo Defenders Legion
An Aleppo-based militia umbrella group that serves as an auxiliary unit of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in north Syria.
Dec 21, 2023
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Ahmad Sharawi
Abdullah Hayek
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Articles & Testimony
Iraq’s New Regime Change: How Tehran-Backed Terrorist Organizations and Militias Captured the Iraqi State
A comprehensive study of the various institutional, financial, and military levers that have enabled Iran’s “resistance” camp to take over another country even under the international community’s watchful eye.
Dec 2023
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
Brief Analysis
Growing Internal Tensions Between Hamas Leaders
Kept in the dark about key aspects of the October 7 attack, the group’s external leaders are now jockeying for position in postwar arrangements that they may not have enough power to shape.
Dec 21, 2023
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Ehud Yaari
Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Poll Sheds Light on Saudi Views of Israel-Hamas War
Positive views of Hamas receive a jump while remaining the minority opinion among Saudi citizens; most agree that Israel is “weak and divided.”
Dec 21, 2023
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Catherine Cleveland
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Key Takeaways from the Latest Country Reports on Terrorism
In its annual rundown of counterterrorism challenges and achievements, the State Department focused on jihadist exploitation of undergoverned spaces, Iran’s continued sponsorship of regional terrorist groups, and the threats posed by violent extremism.
Dec 20, 2023
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Camille Jablonski
Delaney Soliday
Ilana Winter
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Family Rule in Iraq and the Challenge to State and Democracy
A handful of personalities have consumed all the country’s political oxygen, dashing hopes for a truly pluralistic ecosystem and requiring creative engagement from U.S. officials.
Dec 19, 2023
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Sardar Aziz
Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Emir Nawaf’s Passing and the Future Leadership of Kuwait
Geographic location and oil wealth give the sheikhdom significance far exceeding its size and population.
Dec 18, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Nonviolent Protest Movement in Suweida Continues to Resurrect Calls from the Syrian Revolution
With each day of nonviolent protest, the people of Suweida province have solidified themselves as a symbol that resonates with Syrians everywhere, whether abroad or within a country that remains split between regime, Iranian, Russian, Turkish, and local faction control.
Dec 18, 2023
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Ishtar Al Shami
Video
Brief Analysis
The Hamas-Israel War: End of the Beginning or Beginning of the End?
Experts discuss the military and political situation at what appears to be a decisive moment in the war, offering insights on Israel’s calculations, the effects of growing foreign pressure, and the need for further international action to address attacks by Iran’s other regional partners.
Dec 15, 2023
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Assaf Orion
Hanin Ghaddar
Matthew Levitt
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia Signals Delays for Some Vision 2030 Plans
Squeezed by weak oil prices, Riyadh is acknowledging that some of its economic plans are over-ambitious.
Dec 14, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Why a West Bank Front Has Not Opened So Far
The older generation remains skeptical of what an intifada might achieve, but Israeli crackdowns and worsening economic conditions could still ignite younger Palestinians and undermine PA security cooperation.
Dec 13, 2023
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Neomi Neumann
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Iraqi Political System’s Legitimacy Problem: Low Expected Turnout for Provincial Elections
Predicted low voter turnout for Iraq’s first provincial elections in a decade signals the lack of popular trust in Iraq for the country’s political system.
Dec 13, 2023
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Hiwa Abdullah Hussein
Articles & Testimony
Did Nasty Israelis Really Separate Palestinian Mothers From Their Babies?
If Washington Post reporters had asked Israeli officials, they would have written a very different story.
Dec 13, 2023
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Biden’s Oil Purchase Is a Mere Drop in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve
Amid ongoing uncertainty over Gulf shipping attacks and Russian oil diplomacy, the reserve is still running lower than it should.
Dec 12, 2023
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Simon Henderson
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