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Brief Analysis
Assessing the Iranian Nuclear Threat with Reference to Pakistan's Experience
On April 30, the Sunday Times of London reported that Israeli Mossad chief Meir Dagan had warned U.S. officials during a secret visit to Washington of covert Iranian plans for enriching uranium, which may mean Tehran was "nearer to acquiring nuclear weapons than widely believed." The same report quoted Knesset
May 8, 2006
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Jordan and Palestine
Last month, King Abdullah II appointed his former minister of finance, Bassem Awadallah, as director of his office. Awadallah is considered one of the major architects of Jordan's economic liberalization program, which has topped the king's agenda ever since he came to the throne. The regime's old guard considers Awadallah
May 8, 2006
Articles & Testimony
Putting the Squeeze on Syria
Reports from Syria indicate that President Bashar Assad is engaged in a systematic crackdown on his opposition. The good news is that Syria may be feeling the pressure of U.S. efforts to promote reform in the world's last Baathist regime, including a promised $5 million to pro-democracy groups. The bad
May 5, 2006
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Security in Iraq:
Prospects for Progress in the al-Maliki Era
On April 28, 2006, Jeffrey White, Matt Sherman, and Michael Eisenstadt addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Jeffrey White, the Berrie Defense Fellow at The Washington Institute, spent thirty-four years with the Defense Intelligence Agency. Matt Sherman recently returned from Iraq after serving for two years as the senior
May 5, 2006
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Jeffrey White
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Hamas Weapons in Jordan:
Implications for Islamists on the East Bank
On April 18, the Jordanian government announced it had discovered a cache of weapons -- including rockets, C-4 explosives, and small arms -- in a northern Jordanian town. Jordanian authorities said the weapons belonged to Hamas and had entered Jordan from Syria. Subsequently, Jordan arrested ten Hamas militants and cancelled
May 5, 2006
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David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
Olmert's Unilateral Option:
An Early Assessment
In March 2006, while campaigning for the post of Israeli prime minister, Ehud Olmert surprised many by pledging, if elected, to dismantle the majority of Israel's West Bank settlements. Dubbing his plan "convergence," he outlined a strategy that would involve evacuating Israeli settlers from most of the West Bank. Olmert's
May 4, 2006
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David Makovsky
In-Depth Reports
The West at War:
U.S. and European Counterterrorism Efforts, Post-September 11
Since the September 11 attacks, Europe has become one of the most important battlegrounds in the global fight against terrorism. Accordingly, U.S. cooperation with European counterterrorism efforts is more vital than ever. Despite often-heated rhetoric, authorities on both sides of the Atlantic have adopted many of the same methods --
May 2, 2006
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Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Funding Alternatives to Hamas
On April 7, the State Department announced its plan for restructuring aid to the Palestinians in response to the formation of a government led by Hamas, which has refused Quartet demands to recognize Israel, cease violence and terror, and accept past diplomatic agreements. In order to target assistance toward the
May 2, 2006
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
A Policy for Promoting Liberal Democracy in Egypt
Hala Mustafa is editor-in-chief of the Egyptian political quarterly al-Dimuqratiya (Democracy) and Keston Visiting Fellow at The Washington Institute. The following is an excerpt from the conclusion of her article. Download the complete text of the paper in PDF format. The United States Must Revise Its Approach to Democracy Promotion
May 1, 2006
Articles & Testimony
A New Strategy on Iran
The United States and Iran are playing programmed roles in a minuet on nuclear weapons. The United States pushes the U.N. Security Council to warn Iran about the consequences of going nuclear. And Iran continues its march toward development of nuclear power, even as its president declares that "we don't
May 1, 2006
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Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Troubled Waters:
Future U.S. Security Assistance in the Persian Gulf
"Gulf stability is not just a regional issue; it is a global one. This book is a critical reference for understanding the security challenges in an area containing the bulk of the world's energy reserves." --Anthony Cordesman, former director of intelligence assessment, Office of the Secretary of Defense Whatever the
May 1, 2006
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Assessing Iraq's Sunni Arab Insurgency
This article was featured by the U.S. Army Professional Writing Collection. Three years after the U.S. invasion of Iraq and the fall of Saddam Hussein, confusion and controversy still surround the insurgency in Iraq’s Sunni Triangle. Part of this is due to the nontraditional character of the Sunni Arab insurgency
May 1, 2006
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Michael Eisenstadt
Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Defiance:
The West Has More Options than Just the Extremes, Attack or Appease
Given the fiasco over Iraq's weapons of mass destruction, it is only natural that many people are suspicious about the crisis atmosphere around Iran's nuclear program. But the worries about what Iran is doing are based on U.N. inspections of what Iran proudly shows off to the world. Iran's "nuclear
Apr 30, 2006
Brief Analysis
Bad Riddance:
The Dangers of Deportation as a Counterterror Policy
Sami al-Arian's plea agreement, unsealed last week in Tampa, Florida, has been almost universally billed as a domestic counterterrorism victory. Al-Arian pleaded guilty to providing financial and material support to Palestinian Islamic Jihad, a U.S. specially designated terrorist group, and agreed to be deported. He is one of a small
Apr 28, 2006
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Emily Hunt
Brief Analysis
Chinese-Saudi Cooperation:
Oil but also Missiles
On April 22, two days after a reportedly unproductive meeting with President George W. Bush in Washington, President Hu Jintao of China will arrive in Saudi Arabia. Relations between the two countries are an increasingly important part of world diplomacy. In energy, China is the leading customer of Saudi Arabia
Apr 21, 2006
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iraq:
A Report from the Front
On April 13, 2006, Lt. Gen. John Vines addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. General Vines served until January 2006 as commander of the Multinational Corps-Iraq (MNC-I). The following is a rapporteur's summary of his remarks. Threat Assessment At the commencement of military operations in Iraq in 2003, the
Apr 19, 2006
Articles & Testimony
Abort Hamas
The new government to be formed in Israel has one urgent task: to abort the government of Hamas. Not to rout it or overthrow it, but to act with determination to cause its paralysis; to make it obvious to every Palestinian, within a few months' time, that Ismail Haniyah and
Apr 17, 2006
Brief Analysis
Preventing Turkey's Popular Slide away from the West
Iran's nuclear program presents one more issue on which Washington sees Middle East developments in a different light than does the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government in Turkey. Since coming to power in November 2002, AKP leaders have pursued rapprochement with Damascus and enhanced dialogue with Iran. In March
Apr 12, 2006
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
How Much Do the EU and Russia Care about Iran?
On April 3, 2006, Walter Posch, Vladimir Esveev, and Patrick Clawson addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Walter Posch is a research fellow at the European Union's Institute for Security Studies in Paris. Vladimir Esveev is a senior associate at the Center for International Security at the Institute for
Apr 11, 2006
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Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
The Point of No Return:
Iran's Path to Democracy
Since the 1979 Islamic revolution, Iranian society has been transformed. Urbanism, literacy, industrial growth, international contact, and involvement by women in social and economic affairs have all increased, pushing the country toward democracy. Intellectual life is no longer dominated by revolutionary ideas, but rather by a new paradigm of liberalism
Apr 6, 2006
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Mohsen Sazegara
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