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Brief Analysis
A Tale of Two Countries:
Defining Post-Syria Lebanon
When Shiite ministers recently "suspended" their participation in the Lebanese cabinet, though without resigning, it highlighted an increasingly apparent reality in post-Syria Lebanon: Two powerful camps coexist today. One, led by Hizballah, in alliance with the Amal movement, sits atop a Shiite community generally, though not unanimously, supporting their positions
Jan 20, 2006
Brief Analysis
Map Wars:
The UAE Reclaims Lost Territory from Saudi Arabia
After years of quiet diplomatic frustration, the oil-rich Persian Gulf federated state of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has publicly reopened a dispute with neighboring Saudi Arabia over two parts of their common border. A map in the 2006 edition of the official UAE Yearbook shows the UAE extending westward
Jan 19, 2006
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Succession
"The king is dead. God save the king!" is not quite how they say it in Saudi Arabia. But the Arabic and Islamic equivalent is going to be heard more often in the next few years. King Fahd was 84 when he died last summer. King Abdullah, who replaced him
Jan 19, 2006
Articles & Testimony
A Patriot's Vision
Once when I was sitting with Ariel Sharon, he bemoaned Israel's current generation of political figures as "thinking only of today, while our enemies think about tomorrow." Sharon saw a world in which political expediency was a threat to Israel, and he felt that his generation--a generation that had fought
Jan 16, 2006
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
All Dressed Up With No Way to Fight
This week Senator Hillary Clinton, citing a secret Pentagon report that suggested some marines killed in Iraq might have survived had they been wearing more body armor, became the latest in a long line of politicians to castigate the Pentagon for a supposed failure to adequately protect our fighting men
Jan 14, 2006
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Andrew Exum
Articles & Testimony
Inaction Would Enable This 'Young Stalin' to Grow Bigger
Iran's move yesterday to restart work at the controversial Natanz uranium enrichment plant is extremely rash. Even the normally urbane Mohammed El Baradei, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said "the world was running out of patience" with Iran. Tehran, under the leadership of President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad, appears
Jan 11, 2006
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Good for Nothing
The Bush administration this week faced a decision that could help determine whether Ariel Sharon's centrist party survives the end of his political career. Fortunately, Washington appears to have chosen wisely -- by choosing not to act at all. Here's the background: On January 25, the Palestinian Authority is scheduled
Jan 11, 2006
Brief Analysis
Fatah's Prospects in the Legislative Elections
Polling and political dynamics point to Fatah losing control of the Palestinian legislature after January 25 elections.
Jan 10, 2006
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Mohammad Yaghi
Ben Fishman
<em>New York Times</em> Week in Review:
Ten Voices on the New Era
By Peter Edidin One constant, in calls to the Middle East on Thursday and Friday, was the background noise of a television, set to a program that was reporting on the condition of Ariel Sharon. Whether the person being called was a Palestinian or an Israeli, to the left or
Jan 8, 2006
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Left-Wing Monster:
Abdullah Ocalan
Before al-Qaeda's fanatics were blowing themselves up in Iraq, members of Abdullah Ocalan's Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) were terrorizing Turkey in the 1990s. According to Yoram Schweitzer from the Institute for Counter-Terrorism in Herzliya, Israel, between 1996 and 1999, the PKK carried out sixteen suicide bomb attacks (plus five failed
Jan 6, 2006
Brief Analysis
Khaddam's Revelations:
Is the Asad Regime Unraveling?
Abdul Halim Khaddam, who was vice-president of Syria from 1984 to June 2005, gave an explosive interview to the Dubai-based al-Arabia TV on December 30 implicating the Syrian leadership, including President Bashar al-Asad, in the assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri. Khaddam's action widened irrevocably the crack in
Jan 6, 2006
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Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
Sharon's Leadership Altered Landscape
In Israel yesterday, Ariel Sharon's allies and his adversaries were praying for his life. But even if the man who has fought or led Israel in every war since its independence does not survive this battle against a massive stroke, his five years as prime minister have already left a
Jan 6, 2006
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Change Agent
After suffering a stroke yesterday, Ariel Sharon is fighting for his life in a Jerusalem hospital. Even if he survives, he is unlikely to lead Israel again. But while his tenure as prime minister is probably over, Sharon has already accomplished more than enough to earn a place among Israel's
Jan 5, 2006
In-Depth Reports
Islam, Secularism, and Nationalism in Modern Turkey:
Who Is a Turk?
Turkish Edition Now Available Conventional wisdom holds that in the interwar period, Kemalist secularism eliminated religion from the public sphere in Turkey, leaving Turkish national identity devoid of religious content. Yet in his new book, Islam, Secularism and Nationalism in Modern Turkey, Institute senior fellow Soner Cagaptay reaches an altogether
Jan 1, 2006
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Arab Press Views of Turkey's EU Accession
When the European Union (EU) initiated accession talks with Turkey in October, some Western commentators suggested that a major underlying issue is the relationship between the West and the Muslim world. How is this issue viewed in the Arab press, and what significance is seen for the relationship between Europe
Dec 30, 2005
Brief Analysis
Lessons from the Fight against Terrorism
Read Institute military fellow Brig. Gen. Michael Herzog's (IDF) discussion of the historical and ethical aspects of director Steven Spielberg's film Munich. On December 15, 2005, Lt. Gen. (ret.) Moshe Yaalon, Avi Dichter, and Ambassador Dennis Ross addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. General Yaalon, a distinguished military fellow
Dec 29, 2005
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Moshe Yaalon
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu's Victory:
Major Challenges for the Likud Party
Former Israeli prime minister and recently resigned finance minister Benjamin Netanyahu won the Likud leadership primary on December 19, beating the foreign minister, Silvan Shalom, by a margin of 45 percent to 33 percent. Netanyahu returns to the leadership of Likud, which he vacated after his loss in the 1999
Dec 27, 2005
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Iran's Air Forces:
Struggling to Maintain Readiness
Recent events, including the launch of Iran's first space imaging satellite, the announcement that Russia is selling Iran twenty-nine Tor-M1 (SA-15 Gauntlet) mobile short-range surface-to-air missile systems for $700 million, and the crash of an air force C-130 transport plane into an apartment block in Tehran, have focused attention on
Dec 22, 2005
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Setting the Record Straight
This week in Washington, I attended a preliminary screening of Steven Spielberg's film, Munich, and I emerged with a very uneasy feeling. The film deals with Israel's response to the murder of its athletes at the 1972 Munich Olympics by Palestinian terrorists. According to the film, Israel decides to take
Dec 22, 2005
Brief Analysis
The Elephant in the Gulf:
Arab States and Iran's Nuclear Program
At the annual summit of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), held in Abu Dhabi on December 18 and 19, the leaders of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Oman avoided confronting Iran directly on its suspected nuclear weapons program. Instead, these member states confronted Israel
Dec 21, 2005
◆
Simon Henderson
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