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Brief Analysis
Campaign Season Begins in Israel (Part I):
Ariel Sharon Bolts from Likud
Read Part II of this two-part series. On Monday, November 21, Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon announced that he is bolting the Likud Party and forming a new National Responsibility Party. The Knesset took a preliminary vote to dissolve itself. While wrangling may continue, a final date will soon be
Nov 21, 2005
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Tehran's Renewed War on Culture
After a period of some tolerance under former president Mohammad Khatami, Iran is now experiencing a cultural clampdown. President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad is implementing the hardest of hardline ideological tendencies in the cultural arena, consistent with his belief that his administration should prepare the country for the reappearance of the hidden
Nov 21, 2005
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
The ISAF Mission and Turkey's Role in Rebuilding the Afghan State
On November 14, 2005, Lt. Gen. Ethem Erdagi, commander of the International Security Assistance Forces in Afghanistan (ISAF) from February to August 2005, discussed the roles of ISAF and Turkey in Afghanistan at a special Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. General Erdagi currently serves as commander of NATO's Rapid
Nov 18, 2005
Brief Analysis
Terror Attacks Highlight Case for Reform in Jordan
The November 9 hotel bombings in Amman occurred while King Abdullah II was out of the country, just as was the case when al-Qaeda operatives in Aqaba fired missiles at USS Ashland in August. As he rushed back to Amman, it was clear that he alone was in charge and
Nov 18, 2005
◆
Samer Abu Libdeh
Brief Analysis
Countries of Particular Concern:
Religious Freedom and the Middle East
On November 8, the State Department released the International Religious Freedom Report, its annual survey of religious freedom across the world ( read the report online). Several of the designated "countries of particular concern" (CPCs) are in the Middle East: Iran, Sudan, and embarrassingly, in light of longstanding close diplomatic
Nov 17, 2005
◆
Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Reducing Vulnerability to Middle East Energy Shocks:
A Key Element in Strengthening U.S. Energy Security
In recent years, high oil prices, instability in the Persian Gulf, and political tensions between Washington and key oil-producing countries have underscored the cost of heavy reliance on oil from tumultuous regions. The United States and the wider global economy are particularly vulnerable to energy shocks emanating from the Middle
Nov 16, 2005
◆
Patrick Clawson
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Suicide Terrorism in the Middle East:
Origins and Response (Prepared Remarks)
On November 8, 2005, Robert Pape and Martin Kramer debated the origins of suicide terrorism and the proper responses to it at The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Following is the full text of Dr. Kramer’s prepared remarks. Read a rapporteur’s summary of the entire debate. I am delighted to
Nov 16, 2005
◆
Martin Kramer
Brief Analysis
Suicide Terrorism in the Middle East:
Origins and Response
On November 8, 2005, Robert Pape and Martin Kramer debated the origins of suicide terrorism and the proper responses to it at The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Dr. Pape is professor of political science at the University of Chicago and author of Dying to Win: The Strategic Logic of
Nov 16, 2005
◆
Martin Kramer
Brief Analysis
Zarqawi's 'Total War' on Iraqi Shiites Exposes a Divide among Sunni Jihadists
On November 2, Iraq's Defense Ministry appealed to junior officers from Saddam Hussein's disbanded army to return to service. The decision to include these soldiers is part of an ongoing strategy to minimize support for terrorism by reintegrating Sunnis into the political fabric of the new Iraq. This latest effort
Nov 15, 2005
◆
Emily Hunt
Brief Analysis
Israel's Search for Peace and Security:
The Challenges Ahead
On November 4, 2005, Lt. Gen. (ret.) Moshe Yaalon, outgoing chief of staff of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), addressed a special Washington Institute Policy Forum marking the anniversary of former prime minister Yitzhak Rabin's assassination. General Yaalon is a distinguished military fellow at the Institute. The following is a
Nov 14, 2005
◆
Moshe Yaalon
Articles & Testimony
A Moment of Truth for Syria
During the nearly thirty-year rule of Hafiz al-Asad, Syria came to control Lebanon and used terrorist groups -- Hizballah, Hamas, and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine -- to exert pressure (and at times reduce it) on others in the region. His son, Bashar, who has been the
Nov 9, 2005
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Using the Forum for the Future to Advance Democracy in Bahrain
On November 11, Bahrain will welcome government officials and civil society groups to the second meeting of the Forum for the Future. The forum was founded at the 2004 G-8 summit at Sea Island, Georgia, as the centerpiece of the Broader Middle East and North Africa Initiative to promote change
Nov 9, 2005
◆
Eunice Youmans
Brief Analysis
Reinforcing Lebanon's Sovereignty
The United States has been lobbying the UN Security Council to pass a new resolution about reinforcing Lebanon's sovereignty, building on the October 25, 2005, report by UN envoy Terje Roed-Larsen on the implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1559. That resolution, adopted on September 2, 2004, called for the
Nov 8, 2005
◆
Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Legislative Elections in Egypt:
Another Test for Democracy
November 9 marks the start of legislative elections in Egypt. These are the first elections to be contested after Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak pledged to implement political reforms during his presidential campaign in September. The political opposition maintains that the legislative elections will not reflect the true will of the
Nov 8, 2005
Brief Analysis
Yemeni President Saleh Comes to Washington
The November 10 meeting at the White House between U.S. president George W. Bush and Yemeni president Ali Abdullah Saleh will be the third time the two men have met since the September 11 terror attacks on the United States. Yemen is an oft-forgotten close U.S. ally, arguably as crucial
Nov 7, 2005
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Supreme Leader Khamenei's Responsibility for Iran's Present Situation
Mohsen Sazegara, recently a visiting fellow at The Washington Institute and now at Yale University, posted on several Persian-language websites (including gooya.com) a long open letter to Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Hossein Khamenei. Below are translated extracts from that letter. Dear Mr. Khamenei: Let go of these strange thoughts
Nov 7, 2005
◆
Mohsen Sazegara
Articles & Testimony
Slow and Steady, Bush's Mideast Race
The Bush administration has many problems to keep it preoccupied in its remaining three years, including the challenges of post-Katrina reconstruction and a massive budget deficit. Plus the president and the Republicans in Congress have been weighed down by allegations of misconduct. So it is hardly surprising that some worry
Nov 4, 2005
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Turkey and Europe's Problem with Radical Islam
Turkey opened accession talks with the European Union (EU) on October 3. In the aftermath of the March 2004 Madrid bombings, the November 2004 murder of film director Theo van Gogh in Amsterdam, and the July 2005 London bombings, all committed by radical Islamists, some people in Europe wonder whether
Nov 2, 2005
◆
Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
Eternal Iran:
Continuity and Chaos
Exploring continuities and changes, this book provides the historical backdrop crucial to understanding how Iranian pride and sense of victimization combine to make its politics contentious and potentially dangerous. From the struggle between the Shah and Ayatollah Khomeini to the current tension between the reformers and traditionalists, a central issue
Nov 1, 2005
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The New Turkish Economy and EU Accession Talks
Now that negotiations toward full Turkish membership in the European Union (EU) have begun, what are the prospects for the Turkish economy? In particular, could Turkey attract significant global investment and take off economically as happened in Spain, Portugal, and Greece in the 1980s and Poland, Hungary, and the Czech
Nov 1, 2005
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