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Brief Analysis
Sadat's Peace Legacy and Hopes for Arab Liberalism
During those periods when modern Egypt was occupied by foreign powers and governed by regimes subservient to those powers, many Egyptians found themselves attracted to extremist ideas and organizations. Beginning in the 1920s, all sorts of secret revolutionary and extremist organizations began to expand throughout the country. Whether secular or
Nov 7, 2002
AKP Victory in Turkey
The one-year-old pro-Islamist Justice and Development Party [AKP] won an unexpected landslide victory; probably changing the way the Turkish government will deal with its economic and political situation, and its relationships with Europe and the United States. VOA-TV’s David Borgida had a discussion with Soner Cagaptay, Soref Fellow and Coordinator
Nov 7, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey Will Find a Balance between Secularists and Islamists
The Justice and Development Party, or AKP, a party with roots in Islamist opposition, on Sunday won 363 of the 550 seats in the Turkish parliament. Predicting a potential failure of Turkish democracy, some analysts say the Turkish military will step in to take away this Islamist victory and preserve
Nov 5, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Must Address Turkey's War Fears
Turkey, though partners with the United States in the war on terror, is worried about the negative impact that unseating Saddam Hussein could have in the volatile Kurdish areas of northern Iraq. Washington must give a high priority to addressing this concern to ensure full Turkish participation in a coming
Nov 3, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Combating Terrorist Financing, Despite the Saudis
The annual conference of the Saudi World Assembly of Muslim Youth (WAMY) concludes today in Riyadh. Although it claims to be a charitable organization espousing moderate Islam, WAMY is actually one of many such organizations that, while closely linked to the Saudi government and royal family (e.g., WAMY's president is
Nov 1, 2002
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Unsettled Politics As Usual in Israel
Nobody should be surprised by the "abrupt" end of the 20-month alliance between Israel's Labor Party and the Likud government of Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. This sort of thing has happened before in Israeli politics. This time, though, there is a difference: The national unity government is collapsing not over
Nov 1, 2002
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
New Governments in Israel and the Palestinian Authority:
Collapse of Israeli Unity, Return of Arafat Old-Timers
Israel is reconfiguring its government and the Palestinian Authority (PA) has established a new cabinet this week. The Israeli-Palestinian violence of the last two years is unlikely to be transformed into a peace process as a result of this week's developments. This is due to a variety of factors ranging
Oct 31, 2002
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David Makovsky
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Upcoming Turkish Elections:
Likely Winners and Implications for Foreign Policy
On November 3, the Turks will go to the polls to elect their new government. The elections could usher in a major realignment of the Turkish political landscape, perhaps bringing a party with Islamist pedigree -- the Justice and Development Party (AKP) -- to power. Should Washington worry about the
Oct 31, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Untangling the Terror Web:
Al-Qaeda Is Not the Only Element
On Thursday, October 24, the Federal Bureau of Investigation issued a new terrorist threat alert (this time warning of attacks on transportation systems), highlighting once more why attention has been focused on al-Qaeda and its affiliated groups since September 11, 2001. A year on, however, other Middle Eastern terrorist groups
Oct 28, 2002
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Heads Up on Turkey
It is not yet clear that the United States will use force to remove Saddam Hussein from power. But in discussion of that possibility to date one proposition has never been challenged: You can't do it without Turkey. The conventional wisdom here in America is that, much as the Turks
Oct 28, 2002
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Mark Parris
Articles & Testimony
The Prince of Fingerprints
Some day soon -- if it hasn't happened already -- the first American male between the ages of 16 and 45 will be fingerprinted at the border as he enters Saudi Arabia. The measure is in retaliation for the discretionary fingerprinting of male visitors to the United States from a
Oct 28, 2002
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Simon Henderson
Iraqi Kurds and Their Neighbors
To download an audio file of Victor Morales's interview with Soner Cagaptay, visit www.voanews.com/mediastore/nn_1023_Focus.ram
Oct 23, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Road Not to Be Taken:
Assessing the Quartet Roadmap for Israeli-Palestinian Peacemaking
During his visit to Washington last week, Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon was reportedly handed a forty-three-point document titled "Elements of a Performance-Based Road Map to a Permanent Two-State Solution to the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict." This document, the product of intensive consultation between the four members of the Middle East peace
Oct 23, 2002
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Behind the French Tanker Bombing:
Yemen's Ongoing Problems with Islamist Terrorism
Since September 2001, Yemen has worked hard to shed its image as a hotbed of Islamist terrorism. That image, however, was reinforced when London's al-Sharq al-Awsat Arabic daily reported that the Islamic Army of Aden (IAA, or Aden-Abyan Islamic Army), an al-Qaeda affiliate, claimed responsibility for an explosion that crippled
Oct 21, 2002
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Gamal Mubarak:
Successor Story in Egypt?
British foreign minister Jack Straw met for an hour last week with Gamal Mubarak, the youngest son of Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak. According to a British official cited in al-Qanat, an Arabic online daily, Straw met Gamal because he "is a very important person who certainly enjoys great influence." The
Oct 17, 2002
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Israeli Consultation on Iraq Likely to Be Key in Bush-Sharon Meeting
Tomorrow, October 16, President George W. Bush hosts Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon. Although the two have met frequently in the year and a half since they assumed office, this session is likely to be different from previous encounters. Undoubtedly, they will discuss the situation with the Palestinians; this will
Oct 15, 2002
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah Hate with a U.S. Link
Why are local Lebanese subsidiaries of major American corporations -- like PepsiCo, Procter & Gamble and Western Union -- lending comfort and support to terrorists by advertising on Hezbollah television? Al Manar -- the Arabic word for beacon -- is the official television station of Lebanon's Party of God, more
Oct 13, 2002
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Avi Jorisch
Brief Analysis
The Old Middle East's Triumph:
Roots of Current Crises
Why does the Middle East have so many crises and problems? This question is usually answered in one of two ways. The "just around the corner" view, often favored by Western government officials and the media, argues that the region's conflicts and lack of significant progress could be rectified quickly
Oct 10, 2002
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Barry Rubin
Brief Analysis
The Future of Iraq Policy
On October 5, 2002, Zalmay Khalilzad, special assistant to the president for Near East, Southwest Asian, and North African affairs, addressed The Washington Institute's 2002 Weinberg Founders Conference. The following are excerpts from his remarks, edited for readability. Read an edited transcript of his full remarks, including the question-and-answer session
Oct 8, 2002
Articles & Testimony
Diplomacy Run Amuck
President George W. Bush recently articulated his case for liberating Iraq before the world at the United Nations, but unfortunately, his speech stands alone, not part of a larger, focused public diplomacy strategy. In fact, America's public diplomacy campaign is rudderless and, at times, counterproductive. One of the most glaring
Oct 8, 2002
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Matthew Levitt
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