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Brief Analysis
Turkish Election Preview:
Fragmentation of the Center
The people of Turkey go to the polls on November 3, 2002, amid a great deal of political and economic uncertainty. Possible outcomes range from a coherent pro-European Union (EU) coalition to a dramatic change following an outright electoral victory by a party attractive to Islamist voters. In Turkey, the
Sep 18, 2002
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Battling for Hearts and Minds in the Middle East:
A Critique of U.S. Public Diplomacy, Post–September 11
On September 9, 2002, Robert Satloff, The Washington Institute's director of policy and strategic planning, addressed the Institute's Special Policy Forum with Martin Kramer and Mouafac Harb. The following is an edited and expanded version of Dr. Satloff's remarks. Read a summary of Dr. Kramer and Mr. Harb's remarks. In
Sep 17, 2002
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Regime Change and the Kurdistan Regional Government
Since it became an autonomous region in 1991, Kurdistan has taken advantage of its relative freedom from the tyranny of Baghdad. As a result, Kurdish culture has blossomed, media outlets have boomed, and the number of schools, physicians, and universities in the region has increased dramatically. In comparison to its
Sep 17, 2002
Brief Analysis
The Middle East:
A Turkish Perspective
The November 3, 2002, Turkish parliamentary elections are unlikely to produce any significant change in Turkish foreign policy, upon which there is a national consensus. The statements of all the political parties support Turkey's European orientation, and they also share a similar stance on Iraq. The new government may bring
Sep 11, 2002
Brief Analysis
WMD Inspections in Iraq:
A Trap or an Opportunity?
President George W. Bush's speech to the UN General Assembly on September 12 is expected to lay out U.S. policy on Iraq. There are strong arguments against raising the issue of arms inspections at all during this speech, and even stronger arguments for proposing a specific deadline for resuming inspections
Sep 9, 2002
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The War on Terrorism in Central and Southwest Asia
Although al-Qaeda and the Taliban no longer pose a military or political threat in Afghanistan, al-Qaeda cells are regrouping. This threat requires the response of special forces, intelligence, and commandos in order to uncover the terrorist cells and prevent another September 11-style attack. But the main threat posed by terrorism
Sep 4, 2002
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Islamic Jihad:
Getting By with a Little Help from Its Friends
Prior to September 2000, the track record of Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) terrorist attacks featured more failed and small-scale operations than successful or substantial ones; at the time, Hamas overshadowed PIJ in terms of terrorist activity. Yet, PIJ's profile has changed since then. In August 2001, Israel listed three PIJ
Sep 3, 2002
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Matthew Levitt
In-Depth Reports
How to Build a New Iraq after Saddam
INTRODUCTION Whether changing the regime in Baghdad is a worthwhile U.S. policy depends in no small part on defining the shape that Iraq would most likely assume following Saddam Husayn's removal. Among other central objectives, any strategy for regime change should include the long-term goal of creating a stable and
Sep 1, 2002
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Disengaging in Defense of Liberty
While working at Hebrew University this past year, I took the bus to campus each day. Whenever U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell or Special Envoy Anthony Zinni was dispatched to Israel, colleagues would urge me to stay home until after the suicide bombing. Middle Easterners understand the lesson those
Aug 29, 2002
Brief Analysis
Terrorist Links of the Iraqi Regime
On August 28, 2002, a U.S. federal grand jury issued a new indictment against five terrorists from the Fatah Revolutionary Command, also known as the Abu Nidal Organization (ANO), for the 1986 hijacking of Pan Am Flight 73 in Karachi, Pakistan. Based on "aggravating circumstances," prosecutors are now seeking the
Aug 29, 2002
Articles & Testimony
When Politics Trumps Principles
Last month, a court sentenced a 21-year-old woman to be blinded for assaulting a man who was sexually harassing her. Taliban-style justice is alive and well in Iran. Similar atrocities occur daily in Iraq, Sudan, and the Palestinian Authority, the very regimes Europe's Left seeks to engage. While self-described peace
Aug 29, 2002
Brief Analysis
Sealing the U.S.-Turkish Strategic Partnership through Cooperation in Iraq?
A View from Ankara
Ever since talk of American intervention in Iraq began heating up, Turkish policy on cooperation has generally been as follows: keep a close eye on the situation and clearly express reluctance, but if Washington begins to display greater decisiveness, take part in the action. The primary reasons for such a
Aug 22, 2002
Brief Analysis
A Roadmap from Crawford to Baghdad
An uninvited guest -- Saddam Husayn -- may dominate the August 21 military planning session at President George W. Bush's ranch in Crawford, Texas. The publicized agenda for this session does not mention Iraq, but then again, neither did the Bush speech at West Point in June 2002. Nevertheless, the
Aug 20, 2002
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Raymond Tanter
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Palestinian Economic Reform
The Palestinian economy has reached a situation like none it has ever experienced before. For several years leading up to 1999, average annual growth within the PA was estimated at 6.5 percent. Unemployment shrank to around 11.5 percent, poverty figures were on the decline, and, for the first time, the
Aug 19, 2002
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Quest to Join the European Union:
Implications for American Policy
In two long sessions recently, the Turkish parliament adopted a historic reform package. Many view the legislation as a milestone for several reasons. First, it fully liberalizes the country's political system. Second, it lifts the few remaining limits on freedom of press, association, and expression. Third, it abolishes capital punishment
Aug 14, 2002
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Saudi Way
The recent statement by Saudi Arabia's foreign minister that the U.S. will not be allowed to use Saudi soil to launch an attack on Iraq is further proof that the House of Saud is not our "ally" in the war on terror. Last month's Defense Policy Board briefing (as reported
Aug 12, 2002
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Palestinians' Lost Marshall Plans
The report released this week by the US Agency for International Development on malnutrition in the Palestinian territories signals how deep the humanitarian and economic crisis has become. It is heartening to see the growing concern about how to alleviate the suffering of Palestinians and at the same time give
Aug 9, 2002
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
What Do Iraqis Think about Life after Hussein?
Newspapers are making public possible war plans should the United States decide to attack Iraq while Bush administration strategists consider timing. Aid workers, academics and experts debate what comes after a war. Last week, witnesses testifying before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee estimated that rebuilding a stable Iraq could take
Aug 9, 2002
Brief Analysis
Iran's Reaction to New Bush Policy Shows America-Bashing Is Out of Style
Iran's democratic movement has had a busy few weeks. Today, the usually weak-kneed President Muhammad Khatami spoke out about the importance of democracy and warned hardliners against their crackdown on reformers: "No problem will be solved through the superficial elimination of a group. . . . [S]uch tendencies would go
Aug 7, 2002
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Network of Terrorist Financing
Cracking down on terrorist financing demands an all-encompassing approach, targeting not only the full array of terrorist groups, but also the individuals, businesses, banks, criminal enterprises, and charitable and humanitarian organizations that finance terrorism. Charitable and Humanitarian Organizations Charities and humanitarian organizations play a particularly disturbing role in terrorist financing
Aug 6, 2002
◆
Matthew Levitt
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