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Brief Analysis
The Intra-Likud Power Struggle and Israeli National Elections
The Likud Central Committee meets on Sunday to discuss a resolution opposing Palestinian statehood. Such a resolution could be seen as an important declarative step, despite its lack of legal significance (Prime Minister Ariel Sharon has publicly endorsed the idea of Palestinian statehood—albeit in vague terms). Although a vote on
May 10, 2002
Brief Analysis
An International Force in the West Bank and Gaza Strip:
The Security Aspects
On Tuesday, former president Bill Clinton joined others in advocating a U.S.-led international force in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Several frameworks for such an intervention have been proposed, ranging from monitoring missions to full-fledged international trusteeship over the territories. Underlying these ideas is a lack of confidence in
May 9, 2002
Articles & Testimony
Target All Terror
The threat of devastating terrorist attacks targeting Americans still is very real despite the near-hysterical, though unsubstantiated, warnings of al-Qaida's plans to strike at everything from banks to grocery stores. Based on intelligence found in Afghanistan, 15 people were arrested in Singapore for planning to bomb the U.S. Embassy, American
May 8, 2002
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Qaedat al-Jihad:
New Name on the Road to Palestine
Within the last month, the remaining members of al-Qaeda have begun to issue new electronic pamphlets through the websites of their supporters under the name of "Qaedat al-Jihad" (base of jihad). Usage of the internet by radical Islamists is not unprecedented, but after al-Qaeda's defeat in Afghanistan, it has become
May 6, 2002
Brief Analysis
Iran:
Scared Straight?
On January 29, President George W. Bush caused considerable consternation among foreign policy analysts by referring to an "axis of evil" in his State of the Union address. The analysts worried that the president's castigation of Iran would embolden hardliners who routinely exploit external threats as a means of deflecting
May 3, 2002
◆
Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
The Return of Palestinian Nationalist Terrorism
The State Department's annual Patterns of Global Terrorism report, which is scheduled for release in late May, is set to be a much longer and more detailed document than before. Among the many issues the report will have to address is the resurrection of secular Palestinian terrorist groups, some of
May 3, 2002
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Between Abdullah and Sharon:
The Bush Administration Considers Middle East Options
A spate of visitors have been coming to the United States to talk with senior Bush administration officials about the Middle East. Perhaps the most prominent visitor has been Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Abdullah, the de facto Saudi ruler who last visited the United States three years ago. As a
May 2, 2002
◆
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
In Bad Company:
Yasser Arafat and Saddam Hussein
When I taught history in an Iraqi university last year, I had several students from single-parent homes. The problem was not divorce, but rather politics. Some of my student's parents had supported opposition political figures, so Iraqi President Saddam Hussein had them shot. Some professors were widowed for the same
May 2, 2002
Brief Analysis
Demographic Dynamics in the Middle East:
A View from the United Nations
There is no doubt that demographics and population are linked to political stability. Although water and food resources are topics of great concern in the Middle East, there is another vital resource that deserves attention: young people. Today, growing unrest and perceptions of inequality and injustice pervade the region. Although
May 1, 2002
Articles & Testimony
The Peace Process at Sea:
The <em>Karine-A</em> Affair and the War on Terrorism
On January 3, in the clouds high above the waters of the Red Sea, Lt. General Shaul Mofaz, chief of staff of the Israel Defense Forces, peered anxiously through a specially designed telescopic lens at an old, rusty, blue freighter several kilometers below. For the previous three months, Israeli intelligence
May 1, 2002
◆
Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Khatami and the Myth of Reform in Iran
On May 26, 1997, Iranians overwhelmingly elected Muhammad Khatami to be the fifth president of the Islamic Republic. Khatami won nearly 70 percent of the vote in elections marked by 80 percent turnout. The New York Times was euphoric, declaring in an editorial that same day that Khatami was "dedicated
May 1, 2002
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Economic Reform in Turkey
Turkey's recovery from the economic crisis of February 2001 has so far been very successful. Fundamental reforms have been undertaken and strict fiscal discipline has been implemented. Furthermore, this process is, to a large degree, irreversible. For the recovery to be truly successful, however, it is essential that Turkey's relations
Apr 29, 2002
Articles & Testimony
Three Hard Roads to Peace
The time has come to step back and consider our options in the Middle East. Secretary of State Colin Powell's mission unfortunately has not altered the realities on the ground. While Israeli military operations have disrupted and destroyed much of the terrorist infrastructure in the West Bank, it is only
Apr 25, 2002
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Crawford Summit:
High Noon for U.S.-Saudi Relations?
After declining at least two earlier invitations since January 2001, Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia is due to meet President George W. Bush for the first time this Thursday. The de facto leader of America's leading oil supplier (his elder half-brother, King Fahd, is ailing) had previously snubbed Washington's
Apr 24, 2002
◆
Simon Henderson
Patrick Clawson
The Aftermath of Camp David 2000
Brit Hume, Fox News: Former Middle East envoy Dennis Ross has worked to achieve Middle East peace throughout President Clinton's final days in office. In the months following Clinton's failed peace summit at Camp David, U.S. negotiators continued behind-the-scenes peace talks with the Palestinians and Israelis up until January 2001
Apr 21, 2002
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Powell Mission and the Bush Speech:
Making Peace Possible?
On April 12, Dennis Ross, counselor and Ziegler distinguished fellow at The Washington Institute, addressed the Institute's Special Policy Forum with Robert Satloff. The following is a rapporteur's summary of Ambassador Ross's remarks. Please note that these remarks were made on April 12, near the beginning of Secretary of State
Apr 19, 2002
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Public Diplomacy -- Effective Strategies for the Future:
The Importance of Academic and Cultural Exchange
On April 2, 2002, Helena Kane Finn, a State Department public diplomacy officer on loan to The Washington Institute, delivered a speech at Georgetown University. The following is a summary of her remarks. Read a full transcript. Note: The views expressed herein are her own and not necessarily those of
Apr 19, 2002
Articles & Testimony
The UN's Refugees
On Monday, France, Belgium and four other European Union members endorsed a U.N. Human Rights Commission resolution condoning "all available means, including armed struggle" to establish a Palestinian state. Hence, six European Union members and the rights commission now join the 57 nations of the Islamic Conference in legitimizing suicide
Apr 18, 2002
Brief Analysis
Defensive Shield Counterterrorism Accomplishments
Operation Defensive Shield—the Israel Defense Forces' (IDF's) counterterrorism operation in the West Bank—aims to confiscate illegal weaponry and bombing materiel; destroy factories producing bombs and missiles; constrict the environment in which terrorists plan, prepare, and execute terror attacks; and, most important, apprehend the operatives behind the current terrorist offensive. The
Apr 17, 2002
◆
Matthew Levitt
Seth Wikas
Brief Analysis
Israel's Response to Lebanese Border Skirmishes
Since March 28, 2002, the first day of Operation Defensive Shield—Israel's attempt to dismantle the Palestinian terrorist infrastructure—Lebanese Hizballah fighters have attacked northern Israeli settlements and military outposts on an almost daily basis. These unprovoked attacks have included the use of antitank missiles, mortars, katyusha rockets, and antiaircraft weapons directed
Apr 16, 2002
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