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Brief Analysis
Military Options Regarding Iraq
In his June 1 West Point address, President George W. Bush announced a policy of using preemption against countries that support terrorism and can deliver weapons of mass destruction (WMD). The preeminent such case in the world is the government of Iraqi president Saddam Husayn. The United States can no
Jul 15, 2002
Articles & Testimony
The Coming Saudi Showdown
Deliberately but without fanfare, Saudi Arabia has altered its relationship with the United States. Quite logically, and dangerously, the House of Saud has decided the proper reaction to the events of September 11 is to distance itself from Washington, seeking instead to firm up its support among the Saudi populace
Jul 15, 2002
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Arab Responses to George W. Bush's June 24 Speech
On June 24, 2002, President George W. Bush stated, "Peace requires a new and different Palestinian leadership, so that a Palestinian state can be born." His speech elicited initial favorable reaction from Arab governments, which has evolved amid negative Arab media response. Initial Positive Government Response vs. Negative Media Response
Jul 11, 2002
Articles & Testimony
A Reward for Reform
President Bush's recent address on the Middle East was a seminal moment for that region. It strengthened the idea that resolution of the long-running conflict between Israel and the Palestinians is not likely any time soon under the current Palestinian leadership -- and that successful peacemaking will thus depend on
Jul 10, 2002
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Turkish Political Disarray:
Why Now? What Next?
Simmering political problems in Turkey reached a boil following the resignation of the deputy prime minister this week, throwing into doubt both the health of the Ecevit government and Turkey's critical negotiations with the European Union (EU). The current situation, which is fluid and unpredictable, will also have ramifications for
Jul 10, 2002
Articles & Testimony
Palestinians Must Accept Accountability
Palestinian reform is now on everyone's mind. President Bush has made it the litmus test for Palestinian statehood and for U.S. diplomatic engagement between Israelis and Palestinians. Europeans strongly favor reform. Arab leaders who have little interest in reforming themselves are enthusiastic about Palestinian transformation. And, perhaps most important, the
Jul 9, 2002
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Assessing Yasir Arafat's One-Hundred-Day Plan for Reform
As President George W. Bush was offering his vision for a post-Yasir Arafat Palestinian state two weeks ago, the Palestinian leader's cabinet was itself unveiling a "100-day plan" for reforming the Palestinian Authority (PA). This plan was clearly designed to both respond to popular demands to fix the PA's broken
Jul 8, 2002
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Six Day War and Its Enduring Legacy
The author of the seminal history of the 1967 war explores the conflict's origins and its lasting legacy.
Jul 2, 2002
◆
Michael Oren
Brief Analysis
U.S. No-Fly Zones in Iraq:
To What End?
Since 1991, the United States has averaged over 34,000 military sorties per year in support of no-fly zone operations in Iraq. One might ask, to what effect? Degrading Saddam's Capabilities The no-fly zones have neither forced Saddam Husayn to comply with weapons of mass destruction (WMD) inspections nor stopped Iraqi
Jul 1, 2002
Articles & Testimony
No Change:
Iran Remains Committed to Israel's Destruction
On June 24, President George W. Bush outlined U.S. preconditions for the establishment of a Palestinian state. Chief among these are the cessation of Palestinian terror, as well as democratic reform in the Palestinian Authority. Bush also recognized that terror does not occur in a vacuum. He demanded that "Every
Jul 1, 2002
Brief Analysis
Missing a Target:
Missile Testing and U.S. Middle East Policy
Over the course of a few days at the end of May, Iran conducted a missile test; Pakistan conducted three such tests; and Israel launched a reconnaissance satellite. Each of these instances serve as proof, if any were needed, that missiles are becoming an important part of the military scene
Jun 28, 2002
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Close the Chapter on Arafat
After charting a bold new path for Arab-Israeli peace, President Bush needs to quickly close a loophole through which Yasser Arafat could emerge as the popularly elected leader of the Palestinians. Otherwise, Bush's Monday speech could amount to little more than a brief detour on the way to creating a
Jun 27, 2002
◆
Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Making Bush's Vision Realistic
After much hesitation and internal debate, President Bush has changed the ground rules on American involvement in ending the conflict in the Middle East. His call for a new Palestinian leadership as well as new democratic institutions and new security measures has raised the bar for Palestinian statehood. His central
Jun 26, 2002
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Analyzing President Bush's New Framework for Mideast Peace
President George W. Bush today tore up a generation of conventional wisdom by offering a bold, new approach that conditioned U.S. support for eventual Palestinian statehood on a new political leadership; a "working democracy"; and far-reaching security, judicial, constitutional, and economic reform. At the same time, he seemed to ask
Jun 24, 2002
◆
Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Hidden Threat in the Mideast
It's no surprise that the Israeli killing of wanted Hamas militant Salah Shehada and members of his family has drawn the world's attention. It is graphic and it reminds everyone of a seemingly endless struggle. But, having just returned from the Middle East, I am struck by a burgeoning danger
Jun 24, 2002
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Syrian Rapprochement:
Causes and Consequences
Since October 1998, Turkey has moved from the brink of war with Syria to the brink of signing a military cooperation agreement: Syrian chief of staff Gen. Hassan al-Turkomani will pay an official visit to Turkey on June 19, the first such visit by a Syrian chief of staff. The
Jun 21, 2002
Articles & Testimony
Build Palestinian Hope, Build Israeli Confidence
President Bush, having concluded his consultations with Middle Eastern leaders, now appears poised to make a statement about what is necessary to create the path to peace. Bush has heard very different prescriptions for what is necessary. While the specifics on the Arab side may vary, the essence of what
Jun 19, 2002
◆
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Don't Legitimate Arafatistan
Lying in bed Monday night, I switched the channel from a gloomy CNN documentary on Chechnya -- Christiane Amanpour describing death and destruction in another God-forsaken place -- to watch the even gloomier Palestine Television, the official satellite station of the Palestinian Authority. On an English-language talk show, the hosts
Jun 19, 2002
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Operation Defensive Shield:
Lessons and Aftermath
The IDF began planning for the contingency of carrying out extensive military operations throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip long before the deployment of Operation Defensive Shield in late March 2002. As early as 1998, during a period when hopes abounded for peace with both the Syrians and the
Jun 18, 2002
Articles & Testimony
Kurdistan Dispatch:
Bomb Shelter
"At the very best, you might have met Jesse Jackson; more likely, you'd be in an unmarked grave," chided the Kurdish minister. He was not happy. It was the spring of 2001, and a friend and I had accidentally crossed from the Kurdish opposition-controlled portion of Iraq into government territory
Jun 17, 2002
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