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Brief Analysis
How to Engage with Tunisia’s New Constitutional Republic
Although anti-democratic measures continue to mount, now is not the time for cutting assistance, but rather for bolstering the country’s imperiled private sector, robust civil society, and compromised judiciary.
Aug 8, 2022
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Sabina Henneberg
Brief Analysis
UN Forces in Lebanon Losing Ground in a Fast-Deteriorating Security Situation
Despite the troubling trends and escalatory incidents described in the latest UN report, the Security Council seems intent on maintaining a failed policy instead of taking urgent action to curb the growing threat of war.
Aug 5, 2022
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Assaf Orion
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Armed with Paintbrushes: Kurdish Female Artists Fighting for Equality
Kurdish women use art as a powerful tool to represent what it means to be a Kurd, a woman, and a human being.
Aug 4, 2022
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Shilan Fuad Hussain
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Barzani's Failures on Freedom of Expression in Iraqi Kurdistan
The Kurdish Region of Iraq, rife with economic and security challenges, is witnessing increased censorship and suppression of free speech.
Aug 4, 2022
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Diary Marif
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Khazali Isolated Over International Zone Protests
The militia leader is being constrained by other members of the Iran-dominated Shia Coordination Framework regarding how to respond to Sadrist protests.
Aug 3, 2022
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Arab Tribes and Saudi Influence in Northeastern Syria
Saudi Arabia has worked with Syrian tribes in the past to bolster their involvement in Northeastern Syria, but tribal frustrations with the SDF and shifting geopolitical realities are impacting this relationship.
Aug 2, 2022
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Ishtar Al Shami
Brief Analysis
What Zawahiri’s Death Means for al-Qaeda and Its Branches
Despite the potent symbolic benefits of taking out the infamous terrorist ideologue, his death is unlikely to affect the organization’s daily operations, which are increasingly being driven by dangerous affiliates in Africa.
Aug 2, 2022
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Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq’s Two Coups—And How the U.S. Should Respond
Iran’s allies in Iraq mounted a judicial coup at the start of this year. Now, Muqtada al-Sadr is trying to place the system under his control through mob action. U.S.-led friends of Iraq should care about both these developments, not just the most recent one.
Aug 2, 2022
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Maliki Leaks: The Shadow Culture of Politics in Iraq
The Maliki audio leaks highlight the inherent fragility of Iraqi politicians while offering an insight into the dynastic politics of Iraq.
Aug 2, 2022
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Sardar Aziz
Brief Analysis
Iranian Drones to Russia: Capabilities and Limitations
Besides signaling that Iran has shifted to active military support for Russia’s war in Ukraine, the prospective transfer gives Moscow a stopgap option until its own advanced drones are ready for service.
Aug 1, 2022
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Role in Iraq’s Political Crisis: Guidelines for More Effective Engagement
Disengaging after last year’s election was a costly miscalculation, but Washington can still meet its goals in Iraq by diving into the fray and prioritizing the system over individual political preferences.
Aug 1, 2022
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Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
A Path to Peace from Biden’s Trip—How the Arab States Can Help
Regional governments are going to reach out to Israel anyway, so why not take advantage of this activity to help the Palestinians and encourage Jerusalem toward constructive moves?
Aug 1, 2022
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Liwa Ahrar al-Iraq
This facade group is used to brand militia rocket and drone attacks on Turkish targets in Iraq.
Jul 29, 2022
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
Eric Feely
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s War in Northern Iraq: By the Numbers
Ankara is fighting a lethal and largely hidden counterinsurgency against PKK elements across the border, but the conflict’s rising profile may carry high costs for both U.S. interests and Iraqi sovereignty.
Jul 28, 2022
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The True Promise of Joe Biden’s Middle East Trip
It is no exaggeration to say that the visit represents a transformation of Washington’s regional approach—including a rethink of the “pivot.”
Jul 27, 2022
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Dennis Ross
James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Russia and Iran Keep Growing Closer
Given their proven capacity for jointly disrupting Western imperatives in the Middle East, both countries should increasingly be treated as part of the same strategic set.
Jul 26, 2022
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
China Below the Radar: Israel-US Strategic Dialogue on Technology
Although the headlines were focused elsewhere, the president’s Israel-Saudi trip included statements, agreements, and newly announced inter-agency dialogues that imply deep implications for China policy.
Jul 26, 2022
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Assaf Orion
Shira Efron
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Impending Turkish Invasion: Repercussions for the SDF-Washington Relationship
A Turkish attack on northern Syria would bring new waves of internal displacement and increased humanitarian suffering, weaken the SDF and the Autonomous Administration, and erode these institutions’ the trust of the United States.
Jul 25, 2022
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Baraa Sabri
Articles & Testimony
Drones and Resets: The New Era of Turkish Foreign Policy
The Ukraine war has not only reaffirmed Erdogan’s remarkable political survival skills, but also highlighted the degree to which Ankara’s improved diplomatic standing is traceable to its success in exporting an innovative drone-centered military operational approach.
Summer 2022
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Soner Cagaptay
Rich Outzen
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Efforts to Undermine the Turkish-Israeli Rapprochement Are Backfiring
Iran’s efforts to target Israeli citizens on Turkish soil has brought Turkey and Israel closer together.
Jul 26, 2022
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Ali Bakir
Ömer Özkizilcik
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