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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
July/August 2022 UAE Survey Shows U.S. Leads Iran, but Lags Russia and China
Emiratis share their views on global players, regional dynamics, and economic conditions.
Aug 30, 2022
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Jawlani’s “State of the Union”
The Syrian jihadist leader’s growing efforts to garner legitimacy and build up local institutions can only go so far amid the group’s continued terrorist sympathies and minority repression.
Aug 29, 2022
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Will the Sadrists Succeed in Effecting Regime Change in Iraq?
New polling reveals how the Iraqi public views Baghdad’s ongoing political crisis.
Aug 26, 2022
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Munqith Dagher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Saudi Poll Shows Biden's Visit Barely Budged Skepticism
The Saudi public gave mixed reviews on issues such as normalization and ties with the United States, but remained mostly united regarding Russia’s actions in Ukraine and relations with Iran.
Aug 26, 2022
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David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah's Role in the August 15 al-Tanf Attack
The Syria strike was launched from the militia's bastion in Iraq and used Iranian-provided KAS-04 explosive drones.
Aug 25, 2022
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Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Biden’s Indifference Has Given Iran the Upper Hand in Iraq
In light of Tehran’s concerted efforts to reverse last year’s electoral setback, it has become too risky to let Baghdad’s nascent democracy simply fend for itself.
Aug 24, 2022
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
What If Netanyahu Wins?
His party is already taking aim at the Supreme Court and other institutions that sought to hold him accountable during his previous term.
Aug 24, 2022
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Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Iran Garnering Internal Support for a Potential Nuclear Deal
Although it is still unclear if the Supreme Leader will approve the necessary compromises, regime officials are maximizing their room for maneuver by preparing the country either way—assuming the economy doesn’t force their hand.
Aug 22, 2022
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Omer Carmi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkey Knocks France Out on Mosul Airport Reconstruction Project
Turkey’s involvement in the reconstruction of Mosul Airport could cause problems amidst regional tensions with France and Iran, but it is also emblematic of the growing economic ties between Turkey and Iraq.
Aug 19, 2022
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Mehmet Alaca
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Failed Promises in Iran’s Free Trade Zones
Iran’s free trade zone project was intended to create jobs, boost investment, and integrate Iran’s economy. Instead, poor infrastructure and corrupt officials turned the zones into monopolized markets that do more harm than good.
Aug 17, 2022
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Bahman Azar
Articles & Testimony
Contending with IRGC Plots
Why do Iranian officials keep ordering hits on U.S. soil in the middle of sensitive negotiations? Because they know they can get away with it.
Aug 16, 2022
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Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Killing of al-Zawahiri: Repercussions for the Taliban
Following the drone strike against al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri, many variables are up in the air that could significantly alter the stability of a Taliban-controlled Afghanistan as well as the future of the al-Qaeda framework.
Aug 16, 2022
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Mohamed Mokhtar Qandil
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Looking for Legitimacy: Taliban Diplomacy Since the Fall of Kabul
The group’s international profile has risen substantially with help from China, Turkey, and other states, but Western leaders should curtail their engagement so long as Kabul keeps gaslighting them about its al-Qaeda ties.
Aug 15, 2022
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Kataib Aimmat al-Baqi
A Diyala-based militia that offered its services to Nouri al-Maliki on a leaked audiotape from July 2022.
Aug 15, 2022
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May Riad
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Brief Analysis
The Rushdie Attack and Iran’s Deceptive “Fatwas”
Whether or not Tehran is proven to be involved, the incident holds significant implications for the regime's international diplomacy and terrorist activity—not to mention its claims about the applicability of Khamenei’s “nuclear fatwa.”
Aug 15, 2022
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Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Navigating the Political Impasse Between Sadrists and the Coordination Framework
10 months after Iraqi elections, intra-Shia feuding between the Sadrist movement and the Coordination Framework has led to several public demonstrations but few viable solutions.
Aug 12, 2022
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Azhar Al-Rubaie
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Arab Syrian IDPs of Tal Rifaat also Want to Go Home
The involvement of Turkish military forces in Northern Syria could allow thousands of Syrians to return to their homes after being forced out by the YPG, the SDF, and other entities for many years.
Aug 12, 2022
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Rena Netjes
Brief Analysis
Oman’s Economic Success Is Driven by Accountability as Much as Oil
By pushing the government to make more efficient use of higher hydrocarbon prices and a budget surplus of $2 billion, the sultan has helped reduce anxiety about the stability of the strategically positioned Gulf state.
Aug 11, 2022
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Jonathan Campbell-James
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Algeria’s Foreign Policy: Facing a Crossroads
The ongoing war in Ukraine, with its recrystallization of allegiances, can provide Algeria the opportunity to return from a shift towards Russia and China back to a more balanced relationship with great powers.
Aug 9, 2022
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Vasilis Petropoulos
Articles & Testimony
Israel and Gaza Keep Up Their Precarious Dance
What the latest round of fighting against PIJ—and not, conspicuously, Hamas—means, and why it will probably happen again.
Aug 9, 2022
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Neri Zilber
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