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Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
North Africa in an Era of Great Power Competition:
Challenges and Opportunities for the United States
Washington can demonstrate its decisive edge in areas like climate change remediation and economic development, while highlighting the many dangers posed by partnership with Russia and China.
May 29, 2024
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Louis Dugit-Gros
Ben Fishman
Sabina Henneberg
Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The PMF Represents Iraq at the Axis of Resistance Conference in Tehran
Iraqi militias were nowhere to be seen at the Tehran conference, but an IRGC outlet described the PMF as appearing alongside Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis, and other U.S.-designated terrorist groups.
May 24, 2024
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Untangling the UN’s Gaza Fatality Data
A major shift in the death toll for women and children points to deeper problems in the way OCHA is relaying data and handling questionable sources.
May 17, 2024
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Gabriel Epstein
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Latest Houthi Maritime Threats
Even increased aggressive activity in the Indian Ocean will be unlikely to seriously disrupt maritime traffic and global trade—but vessels calling on Israeli ports will need to take extra precautions.
May 16, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
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Maritime Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Anti-Israel Surge by Iraqi Militants: Metrics and Trends
Although relatively few drones or missiles seem to make it to Israel, launches are steadily increasing, potentially inviting overt retaliation inside Iraq.
May 15, 2024
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Is Kataib Hezbollah Behind Saraya al-Ashtar's Claimed Attack on Israel?
The connection between exiled Bahraini terrorists and Iraq's Kataib Hezbollah is demonstrably strong and probably explains the strange incident.
May 4, 2024
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Michael Knights
Amir al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Islamic Resistance in Iraq Collates a 200-Day Attack Scoreboard
The infographic deviates from recorded IRI claims in important ways, seemingly exaggerating strikes on Israel while downplaying strikes on Syria and Jordan.
May 3, 2024
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Understanding the IRGC's Past, Present, and Future Use of Syrian Tribal Militias
Iran's development of Arab tribal militias in eastern Syria will likely accelerate again, based on the model established in Aleppo and backed by new IRGC-funded social, economic, and administrative "wings."
Apr 30, 2024
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Abdullah Hayek
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Pay Attention to Ship Seizures, Not Threats to Close Strait of Hormuz
Low-key actions like seizures can increase regional and global concerns and increase Iran's leverage.
Apr 29, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
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Maritime Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Coordination Framework Militias Pass New Anti-LGBTQ Legislation
Although they avoided embarrassing Prime Minister Sudani during his recent Washington visit, they passed abhorrent new legislation as soon as he was back home.
Apr 29, 2024
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Michael Knights
Amir al-Kaabi
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Better Plan for Sanctioning Iranian Airlines
Targeting Iran Air’s flights to Europe would help, but the regime’s illicit activities on the continent may simply be taken over by the IRGC-linked carrier Mahan Air unless further designations are issued.
Apr 23, 2024
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Babak Taghvaee
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Hit Two U.S. Sites in Iraq and Syria
Iran-backed groups have adopted tight message discipline so far, not claiming either of the attacks in order to avoid U.S. retaliation while simultaneously warning Prime Minister Sudani to keep pushing for U.S. withdrawal.
Apr 22, 2024
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
Alex Almeida
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Amid Red Sea Crisis, Saudi Company Launches North Shipping Service
Riyadh’s aim to become a global logistics hub connecting three continents will face challenges if risks to southern Red Sea shipping persist at their current levels.
Apr 20, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
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Maritime Spotlight
Video
Brief Analysis
The Middle East's Perilous Moment: Policy Implications and Escalation Risks
Two former U.S. and Israeli officials join a security expert to examine Iran’s unprecedented attack, Israel’s potential response, and U.S. options to prevent the outbreak of full-scale regional war.
Apr 18, 2024
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Dana Stroul
Zohar Palti
Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Is Part of Iraq’s PMF
The U.S.-designated terrorist group is the most significant player in the Popular Mobilization Forces, which is supposed to be under the command of Prime Minister Sudani—a fact that U.S. officials sometimes forget.
Apr 15, 2024
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Arab Tribal and Clan Forces
A newer unit of Arab militiamen in Syria, raised by pro-Assad figure Ibrahim al-Hifl to form an unbroken corridor of Iran-backed tribal fighters between Deir al-Zour and Aleppo.
Apr 15, 2024
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Abdullah Hayek
Kyle Robertson
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Profile: Lions of the Ougaidat Brigade
A Syrian Arab tribal militia directly operated by Iran's IRGC and tasked with fighting the Kurdish-led SDF east of the Euphrates.
Apr 15, 2024
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Abdullah Hayek
Kyle Robertson
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Islamic Resistance in Iraq and Sabereen Highlight Anti-Israel Cruise Missile Strikes
IRI is making up for its inability to strike U.S. sites by making louder claims of more sophisticated attacks on Israel, and Sabereen News seems freer to amplify these claims.
Apr 11, 2024
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi PMF Chief of Staff Commits to Fulfill Iranian Supreme Leader's Plans
Abu Fadak laid bare the limited extent to which his organization is under Prime Minister Sudani's sovereign control, instead identifying Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei as his commander-in-chief.
Apr 8, 2024
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Amir al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
New Options for Iraq's Axis of Resistance Players (Part 1): Attacks on Israel
Nujaba is signaling that it was the key player in nearly twenty strikes on Israel after the "resistance" halted attacks on U.S. bases in February.
Apr 3, 2024
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
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