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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Brief Analysis
Aug 22, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Aug 14, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Why Secretary Clinton Is Going to Istanbul
Clinton's trip may be a way of conveying U.S. determination to prevent the Syria crisis from sucking the region into disaster.
Aug 10, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Aug 10, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Should Turkey Be Afraid of the Syrian Kurds?
Given the situation along the border and the risk of a Kurdish insurgency, a unilateral Turkish foray into Syria would be extremely risky for Ankara.
Jul 20, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jul 20, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
The Unexpected Vitality of Turkish-Israeli Trade
Given that political tensions continue to run high between Turkey and Israel, it would be inaccurate to describe their relations as good, or even on the mend. At the same time, booming trade ties and other economic indicators suggest that the two countries have great potential for a fresh start
Jun 28, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Tyler Evans
Brief Analysis
Jun 26, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 26, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Would Turkey Leave NATO?
Although Turkey has found comfort in NATO’s security, Ankara’s long-term commitment to the alliance should not be taken for granted: Turkey has at least two strategic alternatives to NATO.
Jun 26, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Rich Outzen
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Role in the Arab Spring
Can Turkey play a role in the Arab Spring? Yes and no. Yes, because Turkey has developed newfound soft power in the Middle East. Over the past decade, Ankara has painstakingly built influence in the region by fostering business networks and establishing state-of-the-art high schools to educate the future Arab
Jun 22, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How America Can Help Its Friends Make Nice
It has been more than two years since the confrontation over a Gaza-bound flotilla plunged Israeli-Turkish relations into a deep crisis. Left to their own devices, Turks and Israelis have been unable to overcome mutual suspicion and domestic obstacles to bridge their differences. These days, there is a degree of
Jun 21, 2012
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Michael Herzog
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 20, 2012
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Michael Herzog
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Will Turkey Force Obama's Hand on Syria?
Washington's ties with Ankara have improved significantly in recent years thanks to a personal relationship between President Obama and Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The two leaders have been in frequent contact, building a rapport that has translated into closer Turkish support for the U.S., including Ankara's 2011 decision
Jun 14, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 14, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Turkey-Syria Military Balance
After the number of Syrian refugees entering Turkey reached 25,000 in April, public statements by senior Turkish officials began raising the possibility of military action. Specifically, Ankara has hinted at the possibility of establishing a buffer zone or safe haven inside Syria to defend the civilian population and contain the
May 31, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Coskun Unal
Articles & Testimony
Turkey, Israel: Potential for a Fresh Start?
Thursday marks the two-year anniversary of the 2010 flotilla incident, a crisis on the high seas that triggered a tailspin in Turkish-Israeli relations. In the aftermath of the incident, Turkey recalled its ambassador and demanded an apology from Israel as well as reparations for the nine slain activists. Ankara even
May 31, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Tyler Evans
Brief Analysis
May 31, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
May 23, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
What Drives Turkey's New Syria Stance? A Fear of Two Kurdistans
When the Syrian uprising began last spring, Turkey initially stayed behind Washington. It shied away from criticizing the regime of Bashar al-Assad, instead asking al-Assad to reform. When Damascus refused, however, Ankara moved ahead of Washington, taking an aggressive posture against al-Assad and suggesting it was ready to take action
May 23, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
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