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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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In-Depth Reports
Turkey's New Political Landscape:
Implications of the 2011 Elections
This summer, Turkey's ruling Justice and Development Party continued its decade of electoral dominance, winning a third consecutive parliamentary victory. Yet the voting results tell a more nuanced story, with the main opposition Republican People's Party making gains in key areas and the AKP's heartland strongholds continuing to lose sway
Oct 31, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Why Syria and Iran Are Becoming Turkey’s Enemies, Again
Turkey, Iran, and the Assad regime are locked in a power game over Syria's future: either Ankara will win and Assad will fall, or Tehran will win and Ankara, hurt by PKK attacks, will throw in the towel and let Syria be.
Oct 29, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Oct 29, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey and Israel Need "Earthquake Diplomacy"
Although Turkey and Israel are not yet ready to become friends, they do not need each other as enemies: talking to one another would serve them both well.
Oct 28, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Amos Yadlin
Brief Analysis
PKK Violence Impacts Ankara Policymaking
Washington must prevent renewed PKK attacks from becoming either a wedge between Turkey and Iraq or a bridge between Ankara and Tehran.
Oct 26, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Oct 24, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Political Consequences of Turkey's Earthquake
Turkey's latest earthquake could be the beginning of the end for the PKK's appeal among Kurds in the southeast, to the benefit of other players.
Oct 24, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkish Wirtschaftswunder
Welcome to the new Turkey: a strong economy and a strong foreign policy, at least until 2020
Turkey's sustained economic growth since 2002 has cast Ankara as the dominant power in its neighborhood.
Oct 23, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkish-Iranian Rivalry Redux
In the Middle East, there is room for one shah or one sultan, but not for a shah and a sultan
Ankara and Tehran appear locked, once again, in their centuries-old competition to become the region's dominant power.
Oct 16, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How to Make Turks Your Friends, or Enemies
Turks judge the world through the prism of the PKK.
Oct 7, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How Do You Say 'Lose-Lose' in Hebrew and Turkish?
The downward spiral in Turkish-Israeli relations is not only an irreversible trend, but also a lose-lose situation for both sides.
Sep 12, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Sep 12, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Could Turkey and Israel Go to War?
Turkey and Israel are at dangerously opposing ends of Levantine politics, and conflict may be looming.
Sep 9, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Military Bows to the Politicians
Soner Cagaptay and Ata Akiner examine the political and military implications of Turkey's new order since the military resignations of July 2011.
Sep 1, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
New Military, New Turkey
For the past decade, a military vs. AKP dichotomy has shaped most analysis on Turkey, but a new framework seems necessary now.
Aug 28, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Aug 14, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
From Ataturk to Erdogan: Reshaping Turkey
Like Ataturk, Erdogan has a vision and controls all levers of power. Time will tell how far he is able to shape Turkey in his conservative design.
Aug 14, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Syrian Ties Worsen
Unless conditions in Syria somehow magically revert to normalcy, Turkey will likely lead the international community in taking a tougher line against the brutal crackdown.
Aug 9, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Internet Freedom Is the First Freedom of the 21st Century
The internet provides the medium through which political freedoms are accessible to all for the first time in human history.
Aug 7, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Aug 7, 2011
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Soner Cagaptay
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