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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Brief Analysis
Jul 27, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Political Divide Deepening in Turkey as Erdogan Assumes More Power
With the president aiming to force a dominant-party system on a split electorate, Turkish society may be headed for a long-term political crisis.
Jul 12, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
Toward a New U.S. Policy in Syria
Ground Zero for Countering Iran and Deterring an Islamic State Revival
Today, Syria is the sole battlefield in the world where American, Russian, Turkish, Iranian, and Israeli military forces all operate, along with a kaleidoscope of proxy actors foreign and domestic. As the preeminent arena of strategic competition in the Middle East and a wellspring of potential Islamic State resurgence, Syria
Jul 10, 2018
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Katherine Bauer
Soner Cagaptay
Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
James Jeffrey
Barbara A. Leaf
Matthew Levitt
Dennis Ross
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Jul 9, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Historic Election: What to Expect Next?
Leading experts discuss how the results will affect Erdogan's foreign policy, the political potency of ascendant ultranationalists, and the opposition's chances of staying united.
Jun 29, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Lisel Hintz
Nick Danforth
Rich Outzen
Brief Analysis
Jun 28, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
As a 'Kingmaker,' Turkey’s Nationalist Faction Could Bring Trouble
Erdogan's trickiest challenge will be staving off MHP pressure on Russian and Kurdish issues while keeping the party from taking down his government.
Jun 28, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 25, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 24, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 23, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 21, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Four Things to Watch in Turkey's Elections
The formation of a large opposition block and other electoral dynamics are clouding Erdogan’s longer-term political future.
Jun 21, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan Enters Turkish Elections with More Power but Less Support
The president will probably become even more authoritarian in the coming months, knowing that a majority of citizens would vote him out in a fair election.
Jun 20, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
There Is Hope for Democracy in Turkey, Even If Erdogan Wins Again
Three ascending candidates are whittling away at Erdogan's base, posing a long-term challenge to his rule even if they can't unseat him in this election.
Jun 20, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 19, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Sanctions on Turkey: Reconciling Washington’s Diverging Views
Despite the deep-seated problems roiling the bilateral relationship, U.S. legislators need to understand the potentially dire geopolitical consequences of putting heavy pressure on a fellow NATO member.
Jun 1, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Could Stop Turkey, Not Yet a Moscow Ally, From Caving to Russia
Washington can address Ankara's deep security concerns via Kurdish withdrawal from the Manbij pocket and ironclad guarantees against Russian aggression.
May 25, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
May 23, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How Nativism in Turkey Is Stifling Democracy
According to President Erdogan's worldview, the 40 million Turkish citizens who oppose him stand for alien and imported interests, signaling much discord ahead.
May 11, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Apr 26, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
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