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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Articles & Testimony
As a 'Kingmaker,' Turkey’s Nationalist Faction Could Bring Trouble
Erdogan's trickiest challenge will be staving off MHP pressure on Russian and Kurdish issues while keeping the party from taking down his government.
Jun 28, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 25, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 24, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 23, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Four Things to Watch in Turkey's Elections
The formation of a large opposition block and other electoral dynamics are clouding Erdogan’s longer-term political future.
Jun 21, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 21, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
There Is Hope for Democracy in Turkey, Even If Erdogan Wins Again
Three ascending candidates are whittling away at Erdogan's base, posing a long-term challenge to his rule even if they can't unseat him in this election.
Jun 20, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan Enters Turkish Elections with More Power but Less Support
The president will probably become even more authoritarian in the coming months, knowing that a majority of citizens would vote him out in a fair election.
Jun 20, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 19, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Sanctions on Turkey: Reconciling Washington’s Diverging Views
Despite the deep-seated problems roiling the bilateral relationship, U.S. legislators need to understand the potentially dire geopolitical consequences of putting heavy pressure on a fellow NATO member.
Jun 1, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Could Stop Turkey, Not Yet a Moscow Ally, From Caving to Russia
Washington can address Ankara's deep security concerns via Kurdish withdrawal from the Manbij pocket and ironclad guarantees against Russian aggression.
May 25, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
May 23, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How Nativism in Turkey Is Stifling Democracy
According to President Erdogan's worldview, the 40 million Turkish citizens who oppose him stand for alien and imported interests, signaling much discord ahead.
May 11, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Apr 26, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How President Erdogan Is Turning Turkey into Putin's Russia
Erdogan’s repressive policies are steadily driving out the educated and business classes needed to achieve his goal of transforming the country into a great power.
Apr 24, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Apr 19, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How Erdogan Wins
Turkey will formally begin a new era in June, with the president becoming the ultimate head of state, government, police, army, and the ruling party.
Apr 19, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Apr 5, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Russian-Iranian Summit: Limits to a Tripartite Entente
Although any attempts at coordinated action will be hampered by historical rivalries and modern disagreements, Moscow and Tehran can still use the Ankara meeting to harm U.S. interests in Syria.
Apr 3, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Anna Borshchevskaya
Nader Uskowi
Brief Analysis
Mar 4, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
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