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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Ties to the West Are in Deep Trouble
As Europe and the United States await the fallout from the April 16 referendum to gauge the future of an important partner, they must also recognize some sad realities about the state of Turkish politics and society.
Apr 14, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Permanent State of Crisis in Turkey
Erdogan has created a deeply divided society that may never be able to resolve its differences.
Apr 12, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Erdogan Needs Enemies More Than Friends
A Turkey expert discusses how the upcoming constitutional referendum could exacerbate the internal divisions that the longtime leader has deliberately sown over the years.
Apr 7, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan Is Dividing Turkey Against Itself
A demonize-and-polarize strategy has worked for the Turkish president in the past, but it may ultimately tear his country apart.
Mar 31, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Mar 13, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Trump Needs Political-Military Plan for ISIS
While ignoring Turkey's concerns and going all in with the Syrian Kurds may seem like the best military option for defeating ISIS, bringing Ankara into the fold for a multilateral campaign is the best way of avoiding bigger problems down the road.
Mar 1, 2017
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James Jeffrey
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Feb 27, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Feb 8, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Feb 1, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jan 18, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jan 17, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
U.S. Policy on Turkey
The Trump administration should revamp policy toward Turkey to emphasize a transactional approach to critical bilateral issues, counsels two leading experts on U.S.-Turkish relations. In the first in a series of Washington Institute presidential transition papers addressing key policy challenges across the Middle East, former U.S. ambassador to Ankara James
Jan 11, 2017
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James Jeffrey
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jan 4, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jan 1, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Istanbul Attack: Turkey Must End Blame Game and Look for Solutions
The perpetrators of the ongoing string of major terrorist attacks are obvious, but Turkey's bitterly divided pro- and anti-Erdogan camps refuse to focus on the foreign and domestic policy factors underlying the violence.
Jan 1, 2017
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Permanent State of Crisis
If Erdogan can temper his political agenda amid a seemingly endless series of violent incidents, he will go down in history as one of Turkey’s most influential leaders, but otherwise he will be remembered as the man who drove his country into the ground.
Dec 20, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
An Extremely Vulnerable Turkey
Deeply polarized and facing a growing roster of external and internal enemies, Turkey seems headed for rough waters in 2017, and its institutions may not be strong enough anymore to correct course.
Dec 20, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Dec 19, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Dec 19, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Syrian Kurds as a U.S. Ally:
Cooperation and Complications
This collection of essays by Washington Institute experts explores how the United States can work with--or, in some cases, around--the various actors in heavily Kurdish-populated northern Syria to advance the fight against the Islamic State and create long-term stability. Successive pieces look at the Kurds themselves, Turkey, Arabs in the
Nov 18, 2016
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Patrick Clawson
David Pollock
Soner Cagaptay
Andrew J. Tabler
Fabrice Balanche
Bilal Wahab
Anna Borshchevskaya
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