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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Brief Analysis
Jun 23, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Where Does Erdogan Want to Take Turkey?
The leader's distorted view of the Ottoman past may dictate whether the country further embraces Islamization.
Jun 15, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 14, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Assessing the New AKP Cabinet
Turkey's incoming government reflects the regionalization of political power, outsize influence from religious schools, and the sidelining of Kurds and women, as well as pointing to the emergence of an exclusive governing-party system.
May 31, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Cem Yolbulan
Brief Analysis
The PKK Could Spark Turkish-Russian Military Escalation
Russia and Syria's dormant ties with the group have been reawakened by the civil war, raising the prospect of dangerous weapons proliferation and potential escalation into direct conflict with Turkey.
May 25, 2016
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Andrew J. Tabler
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Erdogan's Nationalist Path to a Full Presidential System
By further hardening his approach toward Kurdish nationalism at home and in Syria, Erdogan hopes to woo Turkish ultranationalists and legally enshrine his executive power, but his efforts could clash with U.S. policy on the war next door.
May 24, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
May 19, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's King: Erdogan After Davutoglu
If the president continues down his path of personalizing power and hollowing out political and civil institutions, he will endanger the country's longstanding democratic makeup.
May 8, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Why Turkey Is Unlikely to Alter Its Syria Policy in Wake of Prime Minister's Exit
Davutoglu's departure probably won't change President Erdogan's perception that Turkey has the moral high ground by supporting Sunni rebels in Syria against the Assad regime.
May 6, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
May 5, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Israel and Turkey Approaching Reconciliation Amid Policy Challenges
Normalization negotiations seem closer than ever to conclusion and should be encouraged, but significant differences remain, especially on Gaza, Hamas, and Egypt, and they will likely prevent a return to past bilateral intimacy.
Apr 19, 2016
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Michael Herzog
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Apr 13, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Apr 12, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Video
Brief Analysis
The Syrian Kurds: Whose Ally?
Read a summary or watch video of this energetic debate on how Washington should balance vitally important relationships with Turkey and the Syrian Kurds in the fight against the Islamic State.
Mar 29, 2016
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Andrew J. Tabler
Soner Cagaptay
David Pollock
James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Four Things to Watch During Turkish President Erdogan's Visit to Washington
Erdogan's interactions with President Obama could shed light on long-gestating proposals for retaking ISIS-held areas in northern Syria, as well as the status of recent bilateral tensions and the future of Turkish policy toward the Kurds.
Mar 29, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Mar 29, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Is Turkey Coming in from the Cold in Europe?
Ankara may have scaled back its grand ambitions in the Middle East, but is the EU ready to hold its nose in dealing with Erdogan's authoritarian administration?
Mar 28, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The War of All Against Turkey
Unless Erdogan changes his stripes and becomes a unifying politician amid the current terror tsunami, he may go down in history as the leader who broke Turkey while trying to become a king.
Mar 21, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Mar 14, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Feb 27, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
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