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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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TWI Series on Syrian Safe Havens/Zones
Understand the policy implications of humanitarian safe havens, safe zones, buffers, or no-fly zones in Syria with these assessments of the who, what, where, why, and how of the various options.
Feb 16, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Lt Col John R. Barnett
Anna Borshchevskaya
Nicholas Burns
Soner Cagaptay
Michael Eisenstadt
James Jeffrey
Col. Nora Marcos
Nadav Pollak
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Preventing a Middle Eastern Gordian Knot
The situation in the Middle East is beginning to resemble the Balkans: either the Balkans in the early 1990s, before Washington woke up and played its role as security leader, or the Balkans before World War I, when no one woke up.
Feb 3, 2016
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James Jeffrey
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
A Turkish-Friendly Zone Inside Syria
Tighter border security would pose an existential threat to IS, not to mention hindering its travel, smuggling, and recruitment efforts.
Jan 29, 2016
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Ed Stafford
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Kemal Erdogan's Second Turkish Revolution
The Turkish leader seems intent on uprooting the Ottoman legacy and restoring Islam's central role.
Jan 25, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Biden Should Ask Turkey to Double Down on Its Commitment to the West
Although Ankara is seemingly responding to westward-oriented pressures at home and abroad, it could still swing Turkey back to the right if it continues to pursue the politics of religion, especially while the Islamic State looms on its borders.
Jan 23, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
What Is Behind the Istanbul Attack?
The Islamic State's choice of target likely reflects a very deliberate attempt to short-circuit U.S.-Turkish military efforts along the Syrian border and exacerbate tensions in Europe.
Jan 13, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jan 12, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey's New Base in Qatar
Having a permanent military foothold in the Gulf will put Turkey in an elite group of powers, but more presence also means more exposure, whether to Saudi-Iranian tensions or other local crises.
Jan 11, 2016
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Olivier Decottignies
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's New Old Friends
With his plans to become a regional power on the rocks, Erdogan rediscovers Ankara's Western allies.
Dec 30, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Military Presence in Iraq: A Complex Strategic Deterrent
Despite moving some forces away from Mosul under pressure from Baghdad, Turkey still retains a robust cross-border presence that could help counter any PKK or Islamic State hostilities in northern Iraq.
Dec 22, 2015
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Can Kasapoglu
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
How Will the Turkey-Russia Crisis Affect Ankara's NATO Ties?
Moscow's lack of easy retaliatory options and Ankara's longstanding fear of Russia should forestall any showdown requiring NATO intervention, and the recent shootdown incident will help bring Ankara closer to the alliance in the long term.
Dec 9, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Dec 5, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
When Russia Howls, Turkey Moves
After a decade of trying to become a Middle East player in its own right, Turkey may now find comfort in the NATO alliance when faced with the historic Russian menace.
Dec 2, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Dec 2, 2015
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James Jeffrey
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Russia Will Want to Make Turkey Pay
For now, Moscow's retaliation will most likely come against Turkish commercial exports or gas imports, but continued Russian operations near the border mean that a dangerous military escalation is still possible.
Nov 27, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Nov 25, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
The Paris Response: Answering Urgent Questions in the Anti-ISIS Fight
Experts weigh in on key questions regarding the perpetrators of the Paris attacks and the proper response, including counterterror and military measures in Syria and Iraq.
Nov 19, 2015
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Mohammed Dajani
Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Sarah Feuer
Soner Cagaptay
Simon Henderson
Michael Eisenstadt
Fabrice Balanche
Brig. Gen. Muni Katz
Nadav Pollak
Jeffrey White
Jacob Olidort
Matthew Levitt
Olivier Decottignies
Michael Knights
David Pollock
James Jeffrey
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Nov 18, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Day After Turkey's Snap Elections
Hours after Turkish voters delivered a stunning victory to President Erdogan's party in snap parliamentary elections, three of America's leading experts on Turkish politics shared an in-depth discussion of the vote and what it means for Turkey's future.
Nov 4, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Alan Makovsky
Henri Barkey
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s Next Act
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan once again proved his talent for political maneuvering Sunday when voters restored his Justice and Development Party to a parliamentary majority. The victory will intensify his autocratic tendencies, polarize Turkish society and could even jeopardize the country's democracy... Read the full version of this article
Nov 4, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
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