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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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In-Depth Reports
Revealing Trends in Turkey's Presidential Election
On August 10, Recep Tayyip Erdogan continued his prolific electoral run by collecting almost 52 percent of the vote in Turkey's presidential poll, easily besting his chief rival, Ekmeleddin Ihsanoglu, who represented the left-right CHP/MHP coalition. A large part of Erdogan's success lay in peeling away conservative MHP voters through
Sep 7, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Is Islamism Compatible with Democracy?
Despite the authoritarian impulses of Turkey's long-governing AKP, the country's civil society has become too diverse for President Erdogan or any other single leader to control entirely.
Sep 5, 2014
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James Jeffrey
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Middle-East Dream Becomes a Nightmare
Ankara's efforts to become a regional power player have backfired. It's time to renew old partnerships instead.
Sep 3, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The New Davutoglu: The Next Prime Minister's Game Plan
Davutoglu's long track record of Ottoman revivalism has exposed Turkey to dangerous regional threats, and defusing them will likely preoccupy him in his new post.
Sep 1, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Aug 14, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
After Erdogan, Turkey's Future Will Be Liberal
Erdogan will go down in history as the leader who transformed Turkey economically, but the liberals will transform it politically.
Aug 14, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Will President Erdogan Run Turkey?
Erdogan has the political and constitutional wherewithal to transform Turkey into a presidential system, and he will likely do just that.
Aug 11, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Aug 10, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Why Recep Tayyip Erdogan Will Be Turkey's First Directly Elected President
Erdogan holds several trump cards that make him the unquestioned front-runner in a landmark election.
Aug 7, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turks in Europe and Kurds in Turkey Could Elect Erdogan
Erdogan's strategy in the August presidential polls envisions strong support among European Turks in the first round of voting, and backing from nationalist Kurds in case of a second round.
Jul 23, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Ege Cansu Sacikara
Articles & Testimony
The Future of Turkish Democracy
Dr. Cagaptay discusses how the United States can encourage Turkey's reorientation toward Europe as the two countries work together on the ISIS/IS threat and other issues.
Jul 15, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Yesterday's Enemies, Tomorrow's Friends?
Rapprochement with Turkey may not lead to outright independence for the Kurds. But in the new Middle East, the borders between the Kurds and Arabs will be more real than those between the Kurds and Turkey.
Jul 9, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Kurdish Buffer
By maintaining close ties with Iraqi Kurds, continuing the peace talks with Turkish Kurds, and developing security relations with Syrian Kurds, Ankara can help stave off the threats now looming on its southern borders.
Jul 1, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Discussing Turkey's Latest Foreign Policy Challenges
Reza Akhlaghi interviews Dr. Cagaptay about the crisis in Iraq, the state of U.S.-Turkish relations, Ankara's policy toward Syria, and more.
Jun 27, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Q&A on Turkey
Soner Cagaptay is the author of the new book The Rise of Turkey: The Twenty-First Century's First Muslim Power . His other work includes the book Islam, Secularism, and Nationalism in Modern Turkey: Who is a Turk? He is the Beyer Family Fellow and director of the Turkish Research Program
Jun 26, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
Turkey's Presidential Prospects:
Assessing Recent Trends
If Erdogan hopes to become Turkey's first directly elected president, he will need to continue courting Kurdish voters and burnishing his economic and populist credentials.
May 12, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Popularity Contest: The Implications of Turkey's Local Elections
As Turkey's presidential election approaches, a closer look at the results of the March local elections sheds light on how the country's near-term political future may unfold.
May 7, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Apr 18, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Liberals in Erdogan's Wake
Turkey has risen over the past decade thanks to Erdogan, but liberals are becoming the country's new agents of change.
Apr 16, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Apr 8, 2014
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Soner Cagaptay
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