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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Brief Analysis
Nov 1, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey After the Snap Elections: War Cabinet or Peace Cabinet?
If this weekend's results compel the AKP to form a coalition, its choice of partners could have very different implications for Turkish policy on the PKK, the Syrian Kurds, the fight against ISIS, and other issues.
Oct 30, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Oct 30, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The U.S.-PYD-Turkey Puzzle
Sustaining U.S. and Turkish assistance to the Syrian Kurds is crucial to blocking ISIS and stemming Russian influence, as is resolving Ankara's Kurdish problems at home, but sending heavy weapons to the PYD would likely have unintended consequences.
Oct 23, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Divisions Are So Deep They Threaten Its Future
President Erdogan needs to focus on fighting the terrorist threat, not his political opponents.
Oct 19, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Why Turkey Should Fear Itself
As the death toll in the Ankara bombing rises, watching Turkey has become like watching a disaster unfold in slow motion.
Oct 10, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The AKP's New Face: Assessing the September Board Vote Ahead of November's Elections
The new governing board has fewer young members, fewer women, and more old-guard members with close ties to President Erdogan, who is betting that this alignment will help the party regain its legislative majority next month.
Oct 8, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Cem Yolbulan
Angelica Kilinc
Articles & Testimony
Turkey Is in Serious Trouble
The country has seen periods of turmoil before, but this time may be different.
Oct 5, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Snap Elections May Not Change Much
Barring a last-minute surprise, President Erdogan's efforts to return his AKP to single-party rule could be hindered by a faltering economy and declining domestic security.
Sep 28, 2015
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Asli Aydintasbas
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How the U.S. Military Lost Its Favor for Turkey
Despite continued bilateral security cooperation, thirteen years of policy differences have taken their toll on the U.S. military's attitude toward Turkey.
Sep 24, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Sep 23, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Kurds Can Go Their Own Way
Turkey's approach to resolving the Kurdish issue should be rooted in European models and liberal politics, not the Syria war or failed Ottoman-era policies.
Sep 22, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Sep 8, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Sep 1, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Aug 25, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
Turkey's Political Uncertainty:
Implications of the June 2015 Parliamentary Elections
More than two months have passed since Turkey's June 7 elections, in which the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) lost a parliamentary majority it had held since 2002. Given the AKP's inability to form a governing coalition, a new vote will likely be called for later this year. Until
Aug 18, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Implications of Turkey's War Against the PKK
Despite the broken ceasefire, leaders on both sides have political reasons to limit the violence, with Ocalan seeking to reassert his authority over the Kurdish nationalist movement and the AKP looking for a bump in the polls ahead of early elections.
Aug 14, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Kurdish Moment
Erdogan seems intent on forcing early elections by goading the PKK into further violence, but the liberal-Kurdish HDP could trump that plan by remaining committed to peace.
Aug 3, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Aug 1, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jul 26, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
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