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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Articles & Testimony
Russia Will Want to Make Turkey Pay
For now, Moscow's retaliation will most likely come against Turkish commercial exports or gas imports, but continued Russian operations near the border mean that a dangerous military escalation is still possible.
Nov 27, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Nov 25, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
The Paris Response: Answering Urgent Questions in the Anti-ISIS Fight
Experts weigh in on key questions regarding the perpetrators of the Paris attacks and the proper response, including counterterror and military measures in Syria and Iraq.
Nov 19, 2015
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Mohammed Dajani
Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Sarah Feuer
Soner Cagaptay
Simon Henderson
Michael Eisenstadt
Fabrice Balanche
Brig. Gen. Muni Katz
Nadav Pollak
Jeffrey White
Jacob Olidort
Matthew Levitt
Olivier Decottignies
Michael Knights
David Pollock
James Jeffrey
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Nov 18, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Day After Turkey's Snap Elections
Hours after Turkish voters delivered a stunning victory to President Erdogan's party in snap parliamentary elections, three of America's leading experts on Turkish politics shared an in-depth discussion of the vote and what it means for Turkey's future.
Nov 4, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Alan Makovsky
Henri Barkey
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s Next Act
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan once again proved his talent for political maneuvering Sunday when voters restored his Justice and Development Party to a parliamentary majority. The victory will intensify his autocratic tendencies, polarize Turkish society and could even jeopardize the country's democracy... Read the full version of this article
Nov 4, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Nov 1, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey After the Snap Elections: War Cabinet or Peace Cabinet?
If this weekend's results compel the AKP to form a coalition, its choice of partners could have very different implications for Turkish policy on the PKK, the Syrian Kurds, the fight against ISIS, and other issues.
Oct 30, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Oct 30, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The U.S.-PYD-Turkey Puzzle
Sustaining U.S. and Turkish assistance to the Syrian Kurds is crucial to blocking ISIS and stemming Russian influence, as is resolving Ankara's Kurdish problems at home, but sending heavy weapons to the PYD would likely have unintended consequences.
Oct 23, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Divisions Are So Deep They Threaten Its Future
President Erdogan needs to focus on fighting the terrorist threat, not his political opponents.
Oct 19, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Why Turkey Should Fear Itself
As the death toll in the Ankara bombing rises, watching Turkey has become like watching a disaster unfold in slow motion.
Oct 10, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The AKP's New Face: Assessing the September Board Vote Ahead of November's Elections
The new governing board has fewer young members, fewer women, and more old-guard members with close ties to President Erdogan, who is betting that this alignment will help the party regain its legislative majority next month.
Oct 8, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Cem Yolbulan
Angelica Kilinc
Articles & Testimony
Turkey Is in Serious Trouble
The country has seen periods of turmoil before, but this time may be different.
Oct 5, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Snap Elections May Not Change Much
Barring a last-minute surprise, President Erdogan's efforts to return his AKP to single-party rule could be hindered by a faltering economy and declining domestic security.
Sep 28, 2015
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Asli Aydintasbas
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How the U.S. Military Lost Its Favor for Turkey
Despite continued bilateral security cooperation, thirteen years of policy differences have taken their toll on the U.S. military's attitude toward Turkey.
Sep 24, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Sep 23, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Kurds Can Go Their Own Way
Turkey's approach to resolving the Kurdish issue should be rooted in European models and liberal politics, not the Syria war or failed Ottoman-era policies.
Sep 22, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Sep 8, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Sep 1, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
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