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All Policy Analysis by Mehdi Khalaji
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Articles & Testimony
Iran Won't Give Up on Its Revolution
Given Iran's hegemonic history under the Safavids, the Shah, and the mullahs alike, Washington should not expect the regime to compromise its principles any time soon.
Apr 26, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
James Jeffrey
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
The Classic Blood Libel Against Jews Goes Mainstream in Iran
A recent article on a high-profile political website shows how even the most primitive anti-Semitic slurs and conspiracy theories have found their way into all levels of Iranian discourse.
Apr 21, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Warns That Nuclear Deal May Fall Apart
The Supreme Leader expressed skepticism that any progress was made at Lausanne and warned about barriers to resolving the nuclear impasse.
Apr 9, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
How the Framework Is Playing Inside Iran
Iran needs a nuclear deal to provide daylight for its stricken economy, but if the supreme leader senses that the impending agreement falls short of that, he may impose new redlines that effectively close down the discussions.
Apr 8, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iranians Debate: What Next with the United States?
President Rouhani speaks of conciliation with the United States, but the differing bilateral descriptions of the parameters have some Iranians worried that a deal is by no means certain.
Apr 6, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Khamenei's Silence: Iranian Reactions to the Nuclear Framework
Initial public statements by Iranian officials emphasize that the United States and its partners have accepted an outcome in which Tehran need not change course.
Apr 3, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Apr 3, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran's Internal Messaging on the Nuclear Talks
By issuing blanket calls for the lifting of all sanctions, Tehran may undermine efforts to forge, implement, and enforce a viable nuclear deal.
Apr 1, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Rouhani Feels The Pressure, Too
Failure to reach a nuclear agreement would have grim consequences for Iran's president and the wider reformist movement, but even a successful deal would leave him open to further conservative challenges on the resultant concessions.
Mar 20, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Next Supreme Leader and the Nuclear Deal
In all likelihood, Khamenei's potentially imminent successor will be even more of a hardliner, and he could renege on a deal just as easily as the next U.S. president.
Mar 10, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Yemen's Zaidis: A Window for Iranian Influence
The receptiveness that many Yemeni Shiite leaders have shown toward Iran's foreign policy and religious practice give Tehran a ready means to expand its reach in Yemen.
Feb 2, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Jan 6, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Jan 6, 2015
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
What Difference Would an Iran Deal Make?
Implementing a nuclear agreement will be no easier than reaching one, and Washington will have little influence over what Iran decides to do over time about the deal.
Nov 25, 2014
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
In-Depth Reports
How Iranians Might React to a Nuclear Deal
As the P5+1 and Iran negotiate about the nuclear impasse, Iranian factional politics has heated up. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has made disparaging comments about the nuclear negotiations, yet supported continuing the talks. The Rouhani government is facing a variety of criticisms: it is vigorously defending its record at
Sep 11, 2014
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Ailing Official Highlights Concentration of Power in Iran
The Assembly of Experts may soon have a new leader, but hints of a name have yet to emerge.
Jun 11, 2014
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Mehdi Khalaji
In-Depth Reports
Tightening the Reins
How Khamenei Makes Decisions
This new study by Mehdi Khalaji focuses on explaining the decisionmaking process within Iran's highest political echelon.
Apr 9, 2014
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Mehdi Khalaji
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran's Nuclear Debate: The Domestic Politics
Two Iran experts discuss how the Supreme Leader, other key officials, and the Iranian public view the ongoing negotiations with the West and the strategic purpose of the nuclear program itself.
Feb 26, 2014
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Nima Gerami
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Ayatollah Khamenei: Pessimistic Negotiator, Optimistic Strategist
Despite offering nominal support for Iran's nuclear negotiating team, Khamenei and his circle continue to criticize the talks and could sabotage them outright if internal dynamics go against President Rouhani.
Feb 21, 2014
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Salafism as a National Security Threat for Iran
Although Tehran worries about internal threats from Salafi jihadists, it may well cooperate with such groups if they attack Western interests.
Feb 20, 2014
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Mehdi Khalaji
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