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Brief Analysis
Iran-South Korea Humanitarian Trade Requires U.S. Assurances
Tehran is pressing Seoul regarding the billions in Iranian oil revenues held by South Korean banks, creating an opportunity to expand the U.S. humanitarian trade mechanism.
Jul 28, 2020
◆
Katherine Bauer
Kevin Mathieson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Overcoming History: Sudan’s Uncertain Transition to Democracy in the Face of Military Pressure
Months after the overthrow of Omar al-Bashir in April 2019, Sudan’s main opposition coalition and the ruling military council finalized a power sharing deal with the hopes of forging a path towards legitimate elections and civilian rule. However, the tools that Bashir used throughout his reign remain deeply embedded in
Jul 28, 2020
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Areej Elhag
Video
Brief Analysis
Palestinians and the Two-State Solution: Hard Data on the Hardest Questions
Three experts on Palestinian and Israeli public opinion discuss recent poll results, sociopolitical trends, and potential avenues for expanding bilateral cooperation on smaller ‘non-narrative’ issues.
Jul 28, 2020
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David Pollock
Tamar Hermann
Ghaith al-Omari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Navigating a Growing Chinese Influence in Iraqi Kurdistan
When I moved into new accommodations in the centre of Erbil, the capital of the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) in Iraq, the lift announcements in the apartment tower were in Chinese, followed by Kurdish, Arabic and English. This multilingualism was surprising but positive; it was a clear sign of the
Jul 27, 2020
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Sardar Aziz
Brief Analysis
Divisions in Iraqi Kurdistan Are Costing the United States a Reliable Partner
If Kurdish leaders do not find a way to get beyond petty squabbles and into governing, they will be unable to pull the KRI out of its current nosedive or put their relationship with Washington on more solid ground.
Jul 24, 2020
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Bilal Wahab
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran-Syria Air Defense Pact Could Disrupt Allied Operations
Despite domestic challenges, major technical hurdles, and ongoing Israeli military interdiction, Iran still aims to transfer potent air defense systems to fellow ‘axis of resistance’ members and interconnect them.
Jul 24, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Podcast: Deterring Iran in the 'Gray Zone'
For forty years, Iran has operated in the gray zone between war and peace. Military analyst Michael Eisenstadt explains an approach that could deter Iran while reducing risk of escalation.
Jul 23, 2020
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
If the Arms Ban Ends: Implications for Iran’s Military Capabilities
Discussions about lifting the ban tend to focus on major weapons systems Tehran might acquire abroad, yet the most important long-term impact may be on its ability to upgrade existing capabilities and strengthen domestic arms production.
Jul 23, 2020
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Michael Eisenstadt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Normalization at Stake: the Emirati Message to Israelis
In the past few years, unprecedented economic and security cooperation between Israel and United Arab Emirates has grown given the common threat from Iran. At stake are the Israeli diplomatic mission in Abu Dhabi housed in the renewable energy agency, along with an informal trade office in Dubai. Just last
Jul 22, 2020
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Haisam Hassanein
Danny Citrinowicz
Brief Analysis
UNIFIL’s Yearly Mandate Renewal: Maintain Ends, Change Ways and Means
Most parties would be happy maintaining the status quo, but staying course on the current security trends is unsustainable and may lead to escalation unless the Security Council revises its peacekeeping mission and procedures.
Jul 22, 2020
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Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
When China Met Iran
A growing partnership between America’s main Middle East adversary and Asia’s rising superpower bears careful watching in Washington.
Jul 21, 2020
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Shifting Sands in the House of Saud with a King’s Declining Health
King Salman may not be on his deathbed, but his son is renowned for not wanting to waste an opportunity.
Jul 21, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The MENA Region’s Water Crisis: Avoiding Potential Water Wars
The population of the Middle East and North Africa is facing an imminent, severe water crisis, with a number of potentially disastrous consequences for the region. This water crisis—devastating in and of itself—also means food shortages and famine. Moreover, this additional pressure on the region’s most vulnerable is likely to
Jul 20, 2020
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Amro Selim
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Half of Emiratis Approve Domestic Policies, But Just 20% Want Israeli Ties
The Emirati public is split about how much the government should be doing about public health.
Jul 20, 2020
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David Pollock
Shaina Katz
Brief Analysis
Political Instability Deepens in Tunisia
The prime minister’s resignation throws the country into political uncertainty at a time of mounting economic challenges, coronavirus fears, social unrest, and potential spillover from the Libya conflict.
Jul 17, 2020
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Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Observations on the Islamic State in Iran
The institutionalization of revolutionary Islamism in Iranian governance and law means there is almost no chance the current regime will pursue reform of its own volition.
Jul 17, 2020
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Mehdi Khalaji
Video
Brief Analysis
The UN's Role in Responding to the Global Terrorist Threat
Watch a webcast with the head of the UN Counter-Terrorism Committee Executive Directorate as she discusses how the organization is supporting global efforts to prevent and fight extremism amid the coronavirus pandemic.
Jul 17, 2020
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Michèle Coninsx
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Russia Looks to Long Term While Navigating Libya Chaos
Moscow has intervened for self-serving reasons and claims neutrality despite clearly picking a side.
Jul 17, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Energy Rivalries Face Harsh Economic Realities
Even if acute diplomatic differences are resolved, low natural gas prices will have a cooling effect on regional energy initiatives.
Jul 17, 2020
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Strengthening the Kadhimi Government (Part 2): Countering Militia Media
The Iraqi state is losing the media war to groups that oppose its sovereignty and benefit from continued instability, so Baghdad and Washington should step up their counter-messaging.
Jul 16, 2020
◆
Bilal Wahab
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