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Brief Analysis
U.S. Returnees from Syria Reveal Much About the Repatriation Challenge
The latest U.S. repatriation is an important model for the international community to follow, but much work still needs to be done on resolving the precarious detainee dilemma before the situation in northeast Syria deteriorates further.
May 9, 2024
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Devorah Margolin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Protecting Syrian Refugees in Lebanon
Given the breakdown of the Lebanese state, Arab countries' normalization with Assad, and the fragmentation of the Syrian opposition, it seems that the United States can step in to play a pivotal role in protecting Syrian refugees facing persecution.
May 8, 2024
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Ammar Musarea
Brief Analysis
Will Turkey Cut Ties with Israel?
Although the latest rift is more than rhetorical, Ankara is unlikely to sever ties completely—unless Israel blocks it from participating in Gaza’s reconstruction.
May 8, 2024
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq’s Missed Development Pathway Highlights the Necessity of Unpopular Economic Reforms
Institutional limitations, fiscal challenges, endemic corruption, and governance shortcomings present formidable barriers to developmental pursuits.
May 8, 2024
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Mohammed Hussein
Brief Analysis
How Sustainable Are Defense and Deterrence Methods in Light of Iran’s Attack?
Despite the success of the allied response on April 13, Iran’s attack calls into question the sustainability of the current approach, suggesting that policymakers should rethink military procurement, force posture, and deterrence in the Middle East.
May 6, 2024
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Andrew G. Clemmensen
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Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
Articles & Testimony
A Yom Hashoah Message, from Disgust to Hope
The Gaza war has inspired prominent Arab media outlets and statesmen to come up with vile new forms of Holocaust denialism, but other voices offer a glimmer of hope.
May 5, 2024
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Nuclear Agency Chief Visits Iran: Expectations and Next Steps
Given the latest uptick in hostilities between Iran and Israel and their reported threats against nuclear facilities, the visit will likely emphasize diplomacy.
May 3, 2024
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Islamic Resistance in Iraq Collates a 200-Day Attack Scoreboard
The infographic deviates from recorded IRI claims in important ways, seemingly exaggerating strikes on Israel while downplaying strikes on Syria and Jordan.
May 3, 2024
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Is Kataib Hezbollah Behind Saraya al-Ashtar's Claimed Attack on Israel?
The connection between exiled Bahraini terrorists and Iraq's Kataib Hezbollah is demonstrably strong and probably explains the strange incident.
May 4, 2024
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Michael Knights
Amir al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
I Attended Columbia University—I Don’t Recognize It Today
Administrators should do more to help students critically assess the barrage of disinformation they are subjected to outside the classroom—while also punishing those who clearly violate the institution’s policies and core values.
May 2, 2024
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel Should Declare a Unilateral Cease-Fire in Gaza
Doing so could turn the tables on Hamas and Iran while simultaneously advancing normalization with Saudi Arabia and other regional governments.
May 1, 2024
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
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Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Ongoing Debates over Water and Electricity Privatization in Morocco
The implementation of the privatization project of the water and electricity sector will fundamentally alter the way in which essential services are provide to Moroccan citizens.
May 1, 2024
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Soufiane Elgoumri
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Qaani’s Growing Leadership Struggles in a Post-Soleimani World
After the killing of Qods Force commander Qasem Soleimani, Esmail Qaani may have inherited a role for which he was not prepared, bringing instead a new style of leadership to the IRGC.
May 1, 2024
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Jaber Rajabi
Articles & Testimony
Assessing the Houthi War Effort Since October 2023
An in-depth look at the movement’s current capabilities, military situation inside Yemen, and strategic intentions amid the Gaza war and beyond.
April 2024
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Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Understanding the IRGC's Past, Present, and Future Use of Syrian Tribal Militias
Iran's development of Arab tribal militias in eastern Syria will likely accelerate again, based on the model established in Aleppo and backed by new IRGC-funded social, economic, and administrative "wings."
Apr 30, 2024
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Abdullah Hayek
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Navigating the US-Iraq Relationship: Toward Stability and Cooperation
Both sides have a role to play in developing an U.S.-Iraq relationship built on Sudani’s vision of "sustainable cooperation" and in addressing the actors that can limit this potential.
Apr 29, 2024
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Khairuldeen Makhzoomi
Minatullah Alobaidi
Articles & Testimony
As an American, I Am Ashamed
The Washington Institute's executive director decries the manner in which Americans and other hostages held in Gaza are being used as nameless bargaining chips.
Apr 29, 2024
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Robert Satloff
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Pay Attention to Ship Seizures, Not Threats to Close Strait of Hormuz
Low-key actions like seizures can increase regional and global concerns and increase Iran's leverage.
Apr 29, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
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Maritime Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Coordination Framework Militias Pass New Anti-LGBTQ Legislation
Although they avoided embarrassing Prime Minister Sudani during his recent Washington visit, they passed abhorrent new legislation as soon as he was back home.
Apr 29, 2024
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Michael Knights
Amir al-Kaabi
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Denial or Punishment? The U.S.-Israel Debate About How Best to Deter Iran
Experience shows that a balanced strategy blending deterrence by denial and deterrence by punishment can more effectively contain Iran.
Apr 26, 2024
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Michael Eisenstadt
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Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
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