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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
With the Gaza War, the Possibility of a Syrian Transition Is Even More Remote
Syrians inside the country and in refugee states await a true miracle, especially with their cause becoming highly internationalized and overshadowed by global events like the Gaza war.
Mar 7, 2024
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Bassam Alahmad
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Between Power Sharing and Power Consolidation: The Impact of Iraq’s Provincial Elections Results
The Coalition Framework’s overall electoral successes in Iraq’s provincial elections is playing out in governor appointment decisions across much of the country, including in Baghdad and Basra. The ongoing competition in Kirkuk, however, highlights just how complicated power-sharing dynamics can become.
Mar 7, 2024
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Shimaa Ali
Brief Analysis
President Biden’s Middle East Squeeze Play
The end of the Gaza war’s current phase will mark the beginning of a major U.S. diplomatic push that could reshape the Middle East if successful—but the window of opportunity is narrow.
Mar 5, 2024
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Israeli Gas Field Near Lebanon Starts Production
The floating storage vessel anchored above the offshore field could be a tempting target for Hezbollah.
Mar 4, 2024
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Avoiding a West Bank Explosion During Ramadan
From al-Aqsa Mosque to the heart of the refugee camps and the barracks of frustrated Palestinian security personnel, the situation remains tense and could worsen dramatically this month if authorities do not tread carefully.
Mar 4, 2024
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Neomi Neumann
Articles & Testimony
Once Again, a “Palestinian Babies” Story Merits a Washington Post Apology
A heartrending story about finding decomposing infants in a Gaza hospital is full of troubling holes, discrepancies, and conflicts of interest that should have raised serious questions at the paper.
Mar 3, 2024
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State on the March in Africa
Local branches now control territory in Mali, Somalia, and Mozambique, setting the stage for new foreign fighter mobilizations, resource extraction opportunities, and perhaps even external operations against the West.
Mar 1, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Five Questions for Iran’s Elections
The vote is more interesting for its long-term implications than its immediate results.
Feb 29, 2024
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Omer Carmi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Iraqi Media Network
The Iraqi Media Network is the latest so-called independent agency to fall under the control of U.S.-designated terrorist groups and human rights abusers, adding a new line of effort to "resistance" attacks on freedom of expression.
Feb 29, 2024
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraq's "Resistance" Factions Shift to Major Crackdown on Media Spaces
Having stopped “resisting” U.S. forces (who shoot back), militias are focusing on unarmed activists in what appears to be a coordinated crackdown on freedom of expression.
Feb 28, 2024
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran-Aligned Armed Groups Are Endangering Jordan’s National Security
Today, there is a fear of the resurgence of threats to Jordan from its eastern borders, which are de-facto controlled by armed groups loyal to Iran.
Feb 28, 2024
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Saud Al-Sharafat
Brief Analysis
Elections Expose Iran’s Fading Democratic Pretensions
The latest election cycle offers further proof that the regime is counting on centralization and open repression as its main tools of control, with elected bodies becoming increasingly irrelevant.
Feb 28, 2024
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Saeid Golkar
Video
Brief Analysis
From War to Peace? Trip Report from a Middle East Study Tour
Former legislators and administration officials discuss their findings from a recent group trip to Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Israel, and the PA.
Feb 27, 2024
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Cory Gardner
Howard Berman
Dana Stroul
Ghaith al-Omari
Michael Singh
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Houthis and the Red Sea
In this timely new video, Washington Institute scholars discuss the pre-Gaza predecessors of the latest attack campaign, its widening repercussions on trade, and what will be required to halt it militarily.
Feb 27, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Real PA Reform Requires More Than Just a New Prime Minister
Neither the Palestinian public nor the international donor community will support a PA return to Gaza unless the next cabinet is given room to implement serious security, financial, and political reforms.
Feb 27, 2024
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Ghaith al-Omari
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Kataib al-Imam Ali
A unique militia that is closer to Lebanese Hezbollah than other Iran-backed Iraqi groups, yet widely resented for prioritizing commercial success over kinetic operations.
Feb 27, 2024
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Abdullah Hayek
Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Oman’s Facilitation Efforts with the Houthis on Hold
While Qatar mediates with Hamas over Gaza, Oman’s facilitation efforts with the Houthis appear to be in abeyance pending recognition that a broader settlement is needed to secure regional stability.
Feb 26, 2024
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Jonathan Campbell-James
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Pathway to Addiction: Tracing Drug-Trafficking Networks in Lebanon’s Roumieh Prison
Roumieh’s drug networks have been an ongoing and pervasive challenge for Lebanon.
Feb 26, 2024
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Fatima al-Othman
Articles & Testimony
Leaving Iraq May Be Washington’s Wisest Choice
Most forces could likely be withdrawn or moved to the Kurdistan Region without harming U.S. interests—in fact, Washington might have more leverage in Baghdad without a troop presence.
Feb 26, 2024
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David Schenker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Cairo’s Fears as it Faces an Israeli Incursion in Rafah: Confrontation and Radicalization
Even if an incursion into Rafah occurs without sparking a clash between Israeli and Egyptian forces, Israel will be facing two key challenges in its relationship with Egypt: the eventual status of the Philadelphi corridor and the rapid rise of support for Hamas inside Egypt itself.
Feb 23, 2024
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Mohamed Farid
Mohamed Maher
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