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Brief Analysis
Who Is Mohammad Hossein-Zadeh Hejazi, the New Deputy Commander of Iran’s Qods Force?
The general’s background includes often-buried links to the pre-revolutionary MEK, along with a sobering record of transforming the Basij into a fine-tuned engine of domestic repression and organized vigilantism.
Jan 22, 2020
◆
Ali Alfoneh
Brief Analysis
Expediting Evidence of Iranian Attacks: The Aramco Case
Internal components that are common across Iran’s illicit weapons transfers and domestic manufacturing industry can help investigators link the regime to attacks in the region.
Jan 21, 2020
◆
Tim Michetti
Brief Analysis
Behind Rouhani’s Uranium Enrichment Claim
His troubling numbers could be accurate given Iran’s past JCPOA violations and large number of operational centrifuges.
Jan 17, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Making the Most of the Berlin Conference on Libya
If the latest conference is to succeed, the principal actors stoking the civil war must endorse a genuine ceasefire and a return to Libyan internal dialogue.
Jan 17, 2020
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Europe Is Creating an Opportunity for Iran Talks, and Washington Should Take It
By triggering the nuclear deal’s dispute resolution mechanism, Britain, France, and Germany are opening diplomatic space that could help the United States and Iran return to the negotiating table.
Jan 17, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Rare Friday Sermon Reflects Four Pressing Concerns
Public anger is exploding over the regime’s mishandling of the airline tragedy, and the Supreme Leader seems to realize that his normal methods of extinguishing unrest and exploiting election cycles may not suffice.
Jan 16, 2020
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Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Decade of U.S. and Iranian Policy Towards Iraq Will Shape 2020
The former Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Harold Wilson, once opined: “A week is a long time in politics.” For politics in Iraq, a week is a very long time indeed. And if the past few weeks are anything to go by, we should brace ourselves for many more
Jan 16, 2020
◆
Dlawer Ala’Aldeen
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
UAE Public Wary of War With Iran, Though Most Prefer the United States
A rare public opinion poll in the UAE demonstrates that the Emirati public favors restraint with regard to Iran.
Jan 15, 2020
◆
David Pollock
Shaina Katz
Video
Articles & Testimony
U.S.-Iran Tensions: Implications for Homeland Security
On January 15, 2020, Ambassador Barbara Leaf testified at a hearing of the House Committee on Homeland Security on the homeland-security implications of ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran. The following are her prepared remarks. Chairman Thompson, Ranking Member Rogers, Distinguished members of the Committee, Thank you for
Jan 15, 2020
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Barbara A. Leaf
Articles & Testimony
Death of a Sultan: Oman Matters, So Why Such a Slow U.S. Response?
Regional players will likely be testing Muscat in the next few months, so Washington needs to help ensure continuity between reigns.
Jan 14, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Why Soleimani’s Killing Is a Gift to Vladimir Putin
Both Trump and Khamenei need an off-ramp from the latest crisis, and Putin could well become the intermediary.
Jan 11, 2020
◆
Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Protesters on the Killing of Qassem Soleimani: The Protests Will Continue
On the streets of Baghdad, protesters are still mulling over the U.S. air raid on Friday morning that killed General Qassem Soleimani, the head of Iran’s elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ (IRGC’s) Quds Force near Baghdad international airport along with nine others, including Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis.
Jan 10, 2020
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Azhar Al-Rubaie
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Future of Northeastern Syria: In Conversation with SDF Commander-in-Chief Mazloum Abdi
With the latest unexpected escalation between Iran and the United States in Iraq, the ongoing challenges of Syria have, for the moment, become a less-discussed point of regional tension. However, for the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), which precariously continues to control an autonomous region of Northeastern Syria, the last few
Jan 10, 2020
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Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Expanding the United States’ Counter-Iran Strategy Outside of Iraq
Throughout its history, the United States has consolidated its influence and hegemony through strong relationships with countries throughout the Middle East and North Africa, a region which holds a strategic geopolitical position due to their sea and land ports, along with enormous oil reserves and significant economic potential. However, this
Jan 10, 2020
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Twaseef Almogbal
Articles & Testimony
How Israel Could Become Part of the U.S.-Iran Story
The IRGC didn’t spend decades and billions building up Iran’s regional satellites for them to simply stand aside if the homeland is attacked, which Trump has vowed to do if the situation escalates further.
Jan 10, 2020
◆
Neri Zilber
Video
Brief Analysis
The DEA's Targeting of Hezbollah's Global Criminal Support Network
The head of the Counter-Narcoterrorism Operations Center discusses how the group uses drug trafficking and other schemes to fund its activities, and what the DEA is doing to stop it.
Jan 10, 2020
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John Fernandez
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Ceasefire or Escalation in Libya?
After the fall of Sirte, Erdogan and Putin’s desired ceasefire can only be achieved with Washington’s support.
Jan 10, 2020
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Eight Reasons Why the United States and Iraq Still Need Each Other
A host of crucial multilateral interests are baked into the U.S. presence, from keeping the Islamic State down, to protecting vulnerable regional allies, to preventing Iran from taking Iraq's oil revenues.
Jan 9, 2020
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Killing of Qassem Soleimani: What Does it Mean for Iraq?
After years of violence, today’s Iraq is a country on the precipice of potential widespread bloodshed and destabilization. The country has already experienced months of large anti-government protests met with a brutal government and militia response. On top of these efforts—which have unseated Iraq’s most recent Prime Minister and have
Jan 9, 2020
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Munqith Dagher
Karl Kaltenthaler
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Temporary Success of Iran’s Proxies in Lebanon Occludes a Deeper Shift in Lebanese Society
More than two months after the eruption of unprecedented nationwide protests, Iran’s proxy political actors seem confident that they have been able to thwart the threat to their power, which the vigorous expressions of the “October 17 Revolution” represented in Lebanon. It is clear that the Iranian proxy camp views
Jan 9, 2020
◆
Hassan Mneimneh
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