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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
AQAP in South Yemen: Past and Present
Coverage of al-Qaeda in Yemen has always disproportionately focused on the threat that al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) poses to the West, while ignoring the plight of the local population in areas under its control. However, southern Yemen’s complicated history led to the development and strengthening of AQAP, and
Aug 30, 2019
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Summer Ahmed
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Despite Blockade, Opportunities are Increasing for Qatar to Develop Broader Regional Ties
Now a two year standoff, the Gulf Crisis between the “Quartet States”—Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, Bahrain, and Egypt—and Qatar have continued to shape Gulf foreign policy. In the wake of the declaration of a wide-scale boycott against Doha, the Quartet States have since attempted to impose land and sea “hoops”
Aug 30, 2019
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Jalal Selmi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Young Arabs’ Boycott of the Israeli Elections: A"Double Protest"—against the Government and the Arab Leadership
The choice of about half of Israel’s Arab citizens not to exercise the right to vote in Israel’s last parliamentary election in April dramatically affected election results, while also reflecting some powerful basic trends in Israel’s Arab society. While the voting rate—49 percent—was higher than expected due to concerns over
Aug 30, 2019
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Michael Milshtein
Morsi Abu Mokh
Articles & Testimony
The Flaw in Trump’s Maximum Pressure Campaign Toward Iran
Tehran won’t change its behavior without the prospect of real economic relief, coupled with the threat of meaningful consequences for bringing the region to the brink of war.
Aug 29, 2019
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Dennis Ross
Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
How Will Hezbollah Respond to Israel’s Drone Attack?
With the IDF seemingly expanding its missile hunt to Lebanon and Iraq, the actions of Iran’s proxies, their host governments, and U.S. officials will do much to determine if wider escalation is in the cards.
Aug 28, 2019
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Iran Develops Air Defense Capability for Possible Regional Role
A newly announced system could further the regime’s longstanding desire to create an A2AD umbrella in the Gulf and forward-deploy antiaircraft missiles in other countries.
Aug 27, 2019
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Most Palestinians Approve of Jordan—Plus Other Survey Surprises
A detailed public opinion poll from last month shows that most West Bank and Gaza Palestinians approve of Jordan’s King Abdullah, look to his country for help, and want it to play a major role in their future–though just a small minority favor a future confederation with Jordan. On other
Aug 26, 2019
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Arab States Give China a Pass on Uyghur Crackdown
Leaders in the Middle East have calculated that defending the Muslim minority is not worth the risk of losing Chinese economic, political, and military assistance.
Aug 26, 2019
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Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
The U.S.-Iranian Scuffle Over a Ship Is a Sideshow to Events in the Gulf
Thus far, Britain’s willingness to stand firm in the Persian Gulf has been more consequential than Washington’s legal challenge in the Mediterranean Sea.
Aug 22, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Israel Should Resist Trump's Efforts to Politicize Support
Neither Donald Trump nor Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib should be allowed to undermine bipartisan support for America’s closest ally in the Middle East.
Aug 22, 2019
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Dennis Ross
Stuart Eizenstat
Brief Analysis
Egypt Takes Another Step Toward China
Port projects and other outreach may help President Sisi check off some of his policy goals, but giving China such a foothold could threaten a number of U.S. interests in the region.
Aug 19, 2019
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Haisam Hassanein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Female Representation in Israeli Politics
While divisive, former Israeli Minister of Justice Ayelet Shaked is a force to be reckoned with. Since 2012, when she joined the religious, right-wing Jewish Home party as its first secular member, Shaked has positioned herself as a champion for conservative causes and developed a reputation for tenacity, hawkishness, and
Aug 19, 2019
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Tamuz Avivi
Articles & Testimony
Lessons from the UAE War in Yemen
The Emiratis may be able to guide events with a lighter footprint, but the more likely outcome of their departure is a complete collapse of government authority in the south.
Aug 18, 2019
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Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israel Announces New Units for Settlers and Palestinians
Whether or not Palestinian units are actually built in Area C, the announcement will be a net loss if Israeli construction outside the security barrier becomes the new norm post-election.
Aug 16, 2019
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Will Turkey and China Become Friends?
Despite their limited economic relations and ongoing differences over the Uyghur issue, the two countries could grow closer if Western partners fail to provide the financial boost Turkey needs so badly.
Aug 14, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Militias Are Threatening Public Safety in Iraq
Exploding ammo dumps are only one of many problems posed by out-of-control militias, making it more urgent than ever to warehouse heavy weapons, halt mass detentions, and protect Iraqis and Iraq’s investors alike.
Aug 14, 2019
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Articles & Testimony
MbS and MbZ: Could Yemen Crisis End the Saudi-UAE Partnership?
The relationship is being tested, and the knock-on effects could roil the region from the sands of Libya to the Strait of Hormuz.
Aug 13, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The United States Shouldn’t Replicate Slip-ups in Sudan
The international community was caught off-guard by the almost miraculous, peaceful, youth-driven revolution in Sudan, which successfully triggered the overthrow of a brutal dictator. A country so-often overlooked by the rest of the world suddenly dominated news outlets, took over social media, and grabbed the attention of governments around the
Aug 13, 2019
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Nasreldin Wali
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah’s Lebanese Allies Can Be Contained
The group’s local partners complied when U.S. officials warned them to back off a recent political smear campaign, but more should be done to expose and exploit their rifts.
Aug 13, 2019
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Half of Palestinians Still Want All of Palestine—But Most Would Compromise for Less
Palestinian public opinion clearly distinguishes between perceived rights and realities. Results from a new poll conducted June 27-July 15 show very mixed views on long-term peace issues among Palestinians in the West Bank, Gaza, and East Jerusalem. The “two-state solution” has lost majority support. Yet if that option were available
Aug 13, 2019
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David Pollock
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