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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
“Miss Me Yet?” What the UAE Drawdown Means For the United States and UN in Yemen
At the end of June, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) used a combination of leaks and statements to communicate that it was beginning to fold its large military intervention in support of the internationally-recognized—if rather undeserving—government of Yemen. With the UAE only just having signaled its intention to drawdown in
Jul 10, 2019
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Michael Knights
Video
Will Turkey's Purchase of Russian Missiles Rupture U.S. Ties?
How have relations between NATO allies Turkey and the United States come to the brink of historic crisis?
Jul 9, 2019
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
An Underdog Challenges Erdogan
The president, a former Istanbul mayor, has a rival in the current one.
Jul 9, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Normalizing Security in the Nineveh Plains
The coming weeks will show whether real changes have occurred, or whether the Iraqi government is instead trying to save face by claiming success.
Jul 9, 2019
◆
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iran Crisis Moves Into Cyberspace
Iranian cyber actors are showing signs of battlespace preparation, so the United States should heed the lessons of past attacks and bolster its defensive posture.
Jul 9, 2019
◆
Micah Loudermilk
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Qatar Talks Likely to be Crucial to Iran Policy
The Oval Office meeting between President Trump and Emir Tamim could have many agenda items, but the regional tension with Tehran will be foremost.
Jul 8, 2019
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Gorran and the End of Populism in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq
After months of back and forth, the leading parties of the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG)—the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK)—are engaged in negotiations to finalize the cabinet, which must be completed by July 12. Yet as the shape of the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG)’s
Jul 8, 2019
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Mera Jasm Bakr
Articles & Testimony
Popular Mobilization Force Reform in Iraq: Reintegration or Consolidation of Militia Power?
Recent decisions by the Iraqi PM to curtail militia influence may just swap one threat for another.
Jul 8, 2019
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Uncertain Future of Algeria’s Anti-Corruption Battles
In Algeria, a recent crackdown by Algeria’s transitional government has caused a number of prominent senior officials from the Bouteflika era to face charges from the Sidi M'hamed central court in Algiers, mostly related to corruption. While systemic corruption was one of the issues that fueled Algeria’s recent protest movement
Jul 8, 2019
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Ahmed Marwane
Brief Analysis
Thirteen Years Since the Hezbollah-Israel War
On the anniversary of the 2006 conflict, a former IDF chief of staff assesses current power dynamics, risks, and opportunities along Israel’s northern borders.
Jul 8, 2019
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Gadi Eisenkot
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Iran’s New Education Proposal Silences and Criminalizes Non-Persian Languages
For many decades, successive Iranian regimes have perpetrated injustices against non-Persian peoples who make up approximately half of the country’s population. Indeed, the Islamic Republic chose to follow in the footsteps of the Shah in terms of promoting Persian ethnic supremacism. Since its inception, the regime has enacted a number
Jul 8, 2019
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Rahim Hamid
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Keeps Calm and Carries On After Latest Terrorist Attack
Links between this attack and older jihadist networks underscore the complex nature of Tunisian radicalization, even if suspicious government data trends seem to suggest the problem is diminishing.
Jul 3, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
‘Settler Champion’ Netanyahu Can’t Even Get the Settlers to Vote for Him
The prime minister delivers for West Bank settlers at great cost internationally, but election results show they don’t pay him back at the ballot box.
Jul 3, 2019
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David Makovsky
Basia Rosenbaum
David Patkin
Articles & Testimony
Jared Kushner’s All-or-Nothing Mistake in the Middle East
If the administration wants its peace plan to break the peace process paradigm, it must suggest immediately achievable and flexible short-term goals.
Jul 2, 2019
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Iran Steps Over the Line on Nukes. What’s the Next Step for Trump?
At the very least, the International Atomic Energy Agency should be pressured to conduct closer inspections of Iranian enrichment sites and other nuclear facilities.
Jul 2, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel’s Generals Are Taking on Netanyahu
Almost all of them believe the prime minister is destroying the country's democratic values and sacrificing the Zionist dream by avoiding a two-state solution.
Jul 2, 2019
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Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
UAE Drawdown May Isolate Saudi Arabia in Yemen
The war-fatigued Emiratis appear to be leaving Riyadh to fend for itself in the fight against Iranian-backed rebels, underlining the necessity of Saudi-Houthi talks.
Jul 2, 2019
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Elana DeLozier
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Humanitarian Time Bomb in Idlib
As the latest regime offensive continues, hundreds of thousands of civilians are fleeing to overcrowded border camps, furthering Assad’s strategy of emptying as much of the Sunni Arab population as possible.
Jun 28, 2019
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Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Will See Sanctions on Him as a Direct Challenge to the Revolution
The Supreme Leader regards his rule as the central feature of the Islamic Revolution, so the latest White House order will seem like a shot at the entire system.
Jun 27, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Past U.S.-Iran Confrontations Hold Lessons for Current Crisis
Despite its measured approach thus far, Tehran may come to view the latest showdown as an existential conflict with an irresolute adversary, warranting greater risk-taking on its part.
Jun 27, 2019
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
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