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Articles & Testimony
Russian Activities in Africa
An in-depth look at Putin’s economic, military, and diplomatic outreach to the continent, which has extended well past North African states following his successful power play in Syria.
May 16, 2019
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A New Foreign Policy in Sudan: Status Quo or a Shift Towards the Gulf?
When Sudanese Defense Minister Awad Ibn Auf issued a statement on April 11, 2019 revealing that Sudan’s longtime dictator Omar al-Bashir had resigned and that a military council would undertake a two-year "transitional governing period,” a number of indicators revealed a shift in domestic and regional attitudes that were likely
May 16, 2019
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Jalal Selmi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Russia’s Investment in Syria Continues to Pay Dividends
Even prior to the announced withdrawal from Syria, the longstanding unwillingness of the United States and the West to become seriously involved in the war has encouraged Russia to entrench itself militarily there. Russia now has a number of secure military bases throughout the country, in addition to airport access
May 16, 2019
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John Saleh
Articles & Testimony
The Conflict in Libya
To ensure an outcome that benefits U.S. interests in the region, Washington must take a concrete position on Libya that leads to peaceful negotiations rather than armed conflict.
May 15, 2019
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Ben Fishman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
During Conflict Between the United States and Iran, Iraq’s Shiite Forces Will Prioritize Iraq
“We will not allow Iraq to become a battlefield for other countries to clear their debts”—this statement would be unremarkable coming from many Iraqi politicians, as it is in sync with the current view of most Iraqi political parties and the three Presidencies of Iraq: the President, Prime Minister and
May 14, 2019
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Farhad Alaaldin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Have the Algerian Protests Achieved their Goals?
The seven-weeks-long wave of protests in Algeria against the candidacy of Abdelaziz Bouteflika has successfully ended the former president’s bid for a fifth term and forced him to resign without finishing his fourth. But now that the dust has settled, Algerians are questioning the achievements of the protests and remain
May 14, 2019
◆
Ahmed Marwane
Brief Analysis
Saudi Oil in Iran’s Crosshairs
Attacks on tankers near the Strait of Hormuz and Saudi Arabia’s main internal pipeline have accelerated the emerging Gulf crisis and could cause prices to spike worldwide.
May 14, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
No More Turkish Veto on Idlib Offensive?
Ankara’s calculations about the rebel province appear to have shifted, though it still hopes to use the situation as leverage for constraining the YPG and preventing another refugee influx.
May 14, 2019
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Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
If Iran Deploys Missiles in Iraq: U.S.-Israeli Response Options
If Iran duplicates its formula from Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen by sending long-range missiles to Iraq, then future conflicts with Israel would likely include military action on Iraqi soil.
May 13, 2019
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Michael Knights
Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Prince's Scorecard on New 'Vision' Looks Good—With Caveats
Change is certainly happening in the kingdom, but it hasn’t been smooth, and doesn’t look like it will be so in the future either.
May 12, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Jared Kushner’s Peace Plan Would Be a Disaster
The only way to protect the long-term viability of the plan's best aspects is to kill it.
May 10, 2019
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Next Round in Gaza Will Be Deadlier
An Israeli-Palestinian truce ended the fighting but didn’t address the issues driving it.
May 9, 2019
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Neri Zilber
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How the U.S. Government Should Think About Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Forces
A spirited policy debate is underway within the corridors of power in Washington D.C. over the manner in which the United States should view and treat the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), Iraq’s web of paramilitary organizations. It takes a great deal of concern to elevate such a niche issue to
May 9, 2019
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Moscow in the Middle East and North Africa
To counter Russia’s long game, Washington must show its willingness to compete by maintaining a credible regional presence, crafting a clearer message about its intentions, and moving beyond sanctions.
May 9, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Comparing Arab Polls on Trump, U.S. Policy, Israel, Iran and More
Two signature Trump Administration initiatives dominate U.S. Mideast policy today: “maximum pressure” against Iran and pursuit of an Israeli-Palestinian peace “deal of the century.” In recent weeks, Washington has upped the ante on both. It has tightened oil sanctions against Iran and designated the entire Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps as
May 9, 2019
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David Pollock
Catherine Cleveland
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sunni Lebanon: An “Oddity” at Risk
In successive polls, approval of the United States within the Sunni Lebanese community has rated consistently high—a fact that stands in contrast with low numbers in other Sunni Arab populations. Certainly, part of the discrepancy reflects internal Lebanese politics. Sunni Lebanese view Washington, together with Riyadh and Paris, as backers
May 8, 2019
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Iraq-Turkey Pipeline Arbitration: Avoiding a Policy Train Wreck
Baghdad is suing Ankara for giving the Kurds independent pipeline access, but the biggest loser may be Washington’s pressure campaign on Iran.
May 8, 2019
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Co-Opting Politics in Morocco
Morocco was one of the few countries in the Arab World partially spared by the upheaval of the Arab Spring. However, recent regime changes in Algeria and Sudan, along with continued domestic discontent, suggest that Morocco should reexamine its prior response to its domestic version of the Arab Spring—the 20
May 7, 2019
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Mohamed Chtatou
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Six Potential Nuclear Steps
Hoping to pressure Europe into providing more concessions, Tehran may threaten to reduce its commitments under the nuclear deal, but can it avoid escalation with Washington while doing so?
May 7, 2019
◆
Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Why Erdogan Will Win in Istanbul, and What This Means for Turkish Democracy
Despite the opposition’s resilience, the president can use any number of legal, political, or foreign policy tools to ensure his candidate wins this time around, no matter the reputational costs.
May 7, 2019
◆
Soner Cagaptay
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