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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Role of Syrian Tribes: Betting on a Lost Cause
Northeastern Syria is often described as a “clan-based society” due to its large number of Arab tribes. These tribes are transnational, extending beyond Syria’s borders to include Jordan, Iraq, and the Gulf. Until recently, analysis of the Syrian uprising often prioritized the sectarian dimension over the tribal one. Yet the
Mar 26, 2019
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Ammar Musarea
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Assessing the Post–July 15 Turkish Military:
Operations Euphrates Shield and Olive Branch
After Turkey’s July 2016 failed military uprising, the leadership initiated purges and reforms aimed at ensuring the military’s future loyalty, but raising questions about the operational efficiency and effectiveness of the newly configured Turkish Armed Forces. Two subsequent cross-border operations into northern Syria provide valuable insight: Operation Euphrates Shield, lasting
Mar 26, 2019
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Metin Gurcan
Brief Analysis
The Most Important Speech of the Year in Iran: Hostile to the West, No Concessions at Home
Historically a reliable indicator of Khamenei’s thinking, the Supreme Leader’s annual Mashhad address focused mainly on foreign policy, especially why the West should not be trusted, along with his usual call for Iran to develop its non-oil economy.
Mar 26, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Battle Against Extremism: Assessment and Prescriptions
Three experts on countering violent extremism discuss a new book and offer ideas for how government, civil society, business, and citizens can act on this persistent policy challenge.
Mar 25, 2019
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Farah Pandith
Juan Zarate
Matthew Levitt
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
How Bibi’s Bestie at the White House Is Helping Him Win the Israeli Election
President Trump’s recent Golan announcement and photo-op with Netanyahu could draw more voters to the beleaguered prime minister’s side.
Mar 25, 2019
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
40 Years of Peace Between Israel and Egypt
Sadat and Begin gambled everything, and the bet continues to pay off despite the dearth of normalization between the two societies.
Mar 25, 2019
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Ethnic Minorities Are Finding Their Own Voices—America Can Help
A little-publicized fact about Iran is its ethnic diversity: though Turks and Persians are the largest ethnic groups within Iran, Iran’s eight major non-Persian ethnicities represent approximately half of the country’s total population. Each of these minority groups—Ahwazis, Kurds, Turks, Balochis, Turkmen, Qashqais, Caspeans, and the Lor tribes—collectively account for
Mar 22, 2019
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Rahim Hamid
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Arab Monarchies Should Take Away from their Neighbors’ Instability
In the wake of the multiple Arab uprisings since the Tunisian fruit seller Muhammad Bouazizi’s heroic act of self-immolation, few instances of democracy have actually emerged. Since 2011, many Arabs have looked back nostalgically at the ‘good old days’ of pre-Arab Spring dictatorships, when daily bread, safety, and stability seemed
Mar 22, 2019
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Mohamed Chtatou
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Procurement Channels: Leveraging Criminal Networks and Partnering with Iran
A February visit to Tehran by Syrian president Bashar al-Assad showcased just how close the Qods Force-Hezbollah alliance is when it comes to acquiring weapons.
Mar 21, 2019
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
How Will Turkey’s Purchase of Russia’s S-400 Air Defense System Affect Ties with NATO?
An expert on Turkish politics expresses the view that alliance pushback may be weaker than in the past, but that the purchase could devastate U.S.-Turkish ties.
Mar 21, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Understanding Egypt’s Limited Involvement in the Campaign Against Iran
After U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s last visit to the Middle East, Cairo has attempted to appear aligned with Gulf States’ efforts against the Iranian regime, at least rhetorically. Egypt’s participation in the Warsaw summit against Iran—which Pompeo had publicly announced in Cairo one month earlier—was perhaps intended to
Mar 21, 2019
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Mohamed Maher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq's Kurds Weigh Their Options, Balancing the United States and Iran
A trip to Iraqi Kurdistan last week, my first since the abortive referendum on independence there in October 2017, revealed a political landscape at once utterly different and eerily familiar. In the former category is the new, widespread understanding—both among the leaders I met with and among their younger followers
Mar 20, 2019
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Why Turkey’s Local Elections Matter
Many major jurisdictions are up for grabs, with potentially weighty foreign policy implications if Erdogan maintains his current coalition’s hardline nationalist trajectory.
Mar 20, 2019
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Murat Yetkin
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Are Israeli Politics Dooming Kushner's Peace Push?
Even if Netanyahu somehow prevails in the April election, prospects for a grand deal with the Palestinians will likely remain dim.
Mar 19, 2019
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Foreign Perspective on the Russian Role in the Conflict Between Armenia and Azerbaijan
Moscow will likely continue using the struggle over Karabakh to pursue its own interests.
Mar 14, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Illegal Migration of Algerian Youths: A Haunting Problem
With eighty-two-year-old president Abdelaziz Bouteflika’s announcement and subsequent retraction of the claim that he will run for a fifth term, Algerians have become increasingly concerned about the future of their country. This is especially true among the country’s youths, who have translated these fears into protest movements across several Algerian
Mar 14, 2019
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Ahmed Marwane
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Trump’s Rhetoric and the Crisis of Iraqi Political Moderates
Iraqi Prime Minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi is expected to face questioning in parliament over the U.S. presence in Iraq in the coming months, an unprecedented situation made possible by the increasing power and influence of Iran-backed parties opposing the American presence in Iraq. Moderate politicians, who form the base of the
Mar 14, 2019
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Shukur Khilkhal
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Applying the Lessons of the Arab Spring to Today’s Protest Movements: A Call for Political Reform
Unlike the protests that took place in Morocco, Jordan, and in southern Iraq in the last year, which were driven primarily by specific policy concerns and have subsequently subsided, both Sudan and Algeria are currently witnessing remarkably widespread protests motivated by uncompromising political demands for regime change. Both last year’s
Mar 13, 2019
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Amr Salah
Brief Analysis
The New Palestinian Prime Minister Will Face Steep Internal Challenges
Fatah succession maneuvers, escalating tensions with Hamas, a financial crisis, and an uncertain security hierarchy will make it difficult for the incoming premier to improve the current situation.
Mar 13, 2019
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
A U.S.-Iraq Security Partnership: Avoiding the Pitfalls Just Ahead
Nationalist sentiment and Iranian pressure have led some Iraqi legislators to oppose a continued U.S. military presence, but Washington could make things much worse if it overreacts.
Mar 13, 2019
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Barbara A. Leaf
Bilal Wahab
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