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In-Depth Reports
The Supreme Leader and the Guard:
Civil-Military Relations and Regime Survival in Iran
As the Islamic Republic of Iran turns forty, the dream of a unified theocratic state remains elusive. The national leadership faces three converging threats: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's uncertain health and the prospect of a destabilizing succession process; domestic dissatisfaction, manifested in daily protests across the country; and economic struggles brought
Feb 25, 2019
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Saeid Golkar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Washington—and Iran—Should Take Away from the Warsaw Conference
“Takeaways” is the classic Washington term used to encapsulate the outcomes of high-profile diplomatic gatherings. Last week, I was invited to moderate a panel at the “Ministerial to Promote a Future of Peace and Security in the Middle East,” cohosted in Warsaw by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Polish
Feb 22, 2019
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Dueling Narratives in Israel’s Election Campaign
A new political merger has distilled the campaign into a two-faction race, and each side is already crafting its message accordingly.
Feb 22, 2019
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Options for a Lighter U.S. Footprint in Syria
There are alternatives to the overt presence of U.S. controllers on the ground, and allies can help maintain the tempo of strikes in various ways.
Feb 22, 2019
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August Pfluger
Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
International Engagement in Iraq Is Tied to Military Presence
The U.S.-led coalition to defeat the Islamic State is the strongest alliance Iraq has ever enjoyed, but much of the resultant international attention and support could dissipate if forces are removed.
Feb 21, 2019
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
After Withdrawal, Soft Power and a Safe-Zone Can Still Help U.S. Interests in Syria
On December 19, 2018, the Trump administration surprised the international community by announcing the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Syria. While the Pentagon has begun crafting a strategy for withdrawal, the timeline for the departure is uncertain and could stretch over several months. With the process already in motion, Syrian
Feb 19, 2019
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John Saleh
Brief Analysis
What Washington—and Iran—Should Take Away from the Warsaw Conference
The moderator of a landmark Middle East panel explains why the conference may signal growing Arab-Israeli strategic convergence, firmer European action on Iran, and further stalemate in Syria.
Feb 19, 2019
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia’s Powerful Prince Tours Asia—With Purpose
The trip has coincided with a new flare-up in India-Pakistan tensions, making Riyadh’s balancing act between regional rivals trickier than ever.
Feb 19, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Russia’s Search for Strategic Partnerships in North Africa: Balancing Algeria and Morocco
There has recently been a great deal of controversy surrounding the question of what role Russia will play in North Africa, especially after the apparent success of the Russian strategy in managing the Syrian conflict. This relative military and diplomatic success has opened the way for Russia to rethink its
Feb 19, 2019
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Mohammed Issam Laaroussi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Local Partnerships are Key to Confronting Iran in Iraq
With its historical, cultural, and civilizational depth, combined with a deft wielding of soft and hard power, Iran currently feels that it has the upper hand in Iraq. Moreover, Iranian strategy has experienced an important development: it has moved from calling for popular revolutions against political regimes to intervening in
Feb 19, 2019
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Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Generational Conflict and Forging the Future in the Current Sudanese Movement
The December 25th movement in Sudan, with its ongoing protests, should not be viewed as a political movement so much as the movement of a new generation earnestly questioning what lies in their future. Despite the prevalence of political and economic analysis on the crisis, this aspect of a generational
Feb 19, 2019
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Yasir Zaidan
Brief Analysis
The Khashoggi Showdown: Executive-Congressional Dynamics and the U.S.-Saudi Relationship
The administration’s handling of the situation has exacerbated distrust among lawmakers and opened the door to wider questioning of the bilateral relationship.
Feb 19, 2019
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Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Seeing Red: Trade and Threats Shaping Gulf-Horn Relations
The Red Sea is fast becoming a critical economic and security node between the Gulf states and the Horn of Africa, so Washington should work to ensure cooperation, not conflict.
Feb 15, 2019
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Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Can Asaib Ahl al-Haq Join the Political Mainstream?
The Iraqi militia seeks to follow peers like the Sadrist movement and Badr Organization, but it must first back up its rhetoric with moderating actions.
Feb 14, 2019
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Michael Knights
Frzand Sherko
Video
Brief Analysis
A Cultural Policy for Arab-Israeli Partnership
Watch a lively conversation with Joseph Braude and Tamara Cofman Wittes on the opportunities for Arab-Israeli normalization created by initiatives beyond the commonly discussed security and economic sectors.
Feb 13, 2019
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Joseph Braude
Tamara Wittes
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Is Mosul Headed for a Second Fall?
During the nine-month campaign to wrest the Nineveh Governorate and its capital Mosul from Islamic State (IS) completed in 2017, much of Mosul’s infrastructure was destroyed. Although life has returned more or less to normal in the eastern part of the city, scenes of destruction remain prevalent in the city’s
Feb 11, 2019
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Gevera Zaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
U.S. Withdrawal, Arab NATO, and How America Can be a “Force for Good”
As many anticipated, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s January 10 speech in Cairo focused on three main themes: the Trump administration’s unconditional support for Israel, an emphasis on decisively confronting Iran, and the continued intention to combat the Islamic State (IS) and radical Islamism. Pompeo presented these themes in
Feb 11, 2019
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Muhammad Mansour
Video
Brief Analysis
Are Regional Leaders in Sync with Public Opinion? The Israeli-Palestinian Case
Two renowned pollsters share their latest findings and debate what surveys can tell us about the current Arab-Israeli climate.
Feb 11, 2019
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Tamar Hermann
David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Revolutionary Iran and the Arab Causes: A Case of Ideological Entrapment
‘Iran has no objective interest in pursuing an anti-U.S. and anti-Israel policy, and would be amenable to a radical compromise, provided that its stature as the regional super-power is duly recognized.’ This is the blunt message communicated through various channels, including Iranian scholars associated with Tehran’s policy community during chance
Feb 11, 2019
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Battle of the 'Benjamins': Netanyahu vs. Gantz
Various political, personal, and legal factors make Benny Gantz a formidable challenger to Binyamin Netanyahu, but the prime minister may nevertheless welcome a potential two-man race against the general.
Feb 11, 2019
◆
David Makovsky
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