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Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Subtlety Could Yield Middle East Peace
Past administrations have publicized their plans too soon, provoking fury from extremists on both sides.
Mar 13, 2019
◆
Jonathan Schanzer
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Algeria on the Brink?
As Algiers braces for wider protests, Washington should coordinate with Arab and European allies to signal the government that it risks losing control unless it changes course.
Mar 8, 2019
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Sarah Feuer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Though Hamas Is Interested in Negotiations, Gaza's Future Remains Uncertain
The Gaza Strip has long been suffering from internal pressures resulting from its limited resources—including a lack of water and arable land, weak infrastructure, and many internal and external barriers due to the twelve-year long Israeli siege and blockade.This blockade has turned the Gaza strip into the largest open-air prison
Mar 7, 2019
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Mkhaimar Abusada
Brief Analysis
U.S. Sanctions Are Hurting Hezbollah
To further tighten the noose, Washington should disrupt the group’s efforts to tap international aid, Lebanese ministry budgets, Syrian smuggling revenue, and other resources.
Mar 6, 2019
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Can Assad’s Demobilization, Demilitarization, and Rehabilitation Strategy Actually Consolidate Syria’s Paramilitary Forces?
After eight years of conflict, Syrian president Bashar al-Assad appears to have emerged victorious over his areas of control and seems set to expand his power over Syria once again. The regime has spearheaded its consolidation efforts by working towards integrating loyalist and rebel militias into the Syria army. Yet
Mar 6, 2019
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Mona Alami
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kuwaitis Dislike Trump, but Favor the United States over Iran Despite Sectarian Mix
Of all the Gulf monarchies, Kuwait’s actively elected parliament and opposition groups distinguish it as the one where public opinion matters most. A rare recent poll shows that much of the country’s public lines up with its government on many (though not all) key issues, despite the country’s mixed Sunni/Shia
Mar 5, 2019
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Oslo’s Mangled Legacy
Despite their failures, the accords are inextricably linked with the Palestinian national movement and its associated diplomatic/security architecture, so allowing them to collapse completely could make a bad situation worse.
Mar 4, 2019
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Organizational Split and Radicalization Within Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood
Internal structural changes and ideological rifts have given rise to new strategies for legitimizing violence.
Mar 4, 2019
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Annette Ranko
Mohammad Yaghi
Articles & Testimony
Not Gonna Be Able To Do It: al-Qaeda in Tunisia’s Inability to Take Advantage of the Islamic State’s Setbacks
While the consensus might be that al-Qaeda is primed to benefit from Islamic State setbacks, unless conditions change locally, the so-called caliphate will likely remain a more attractive avenue for jihadi mobilization in Tunisia.
Mar 1, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
A Turkish ‘Safe Zone’ in Syria: Prospects and Policy Implications
Establishing such a zone in the northeast would give Ankara and the United States a unique opportunity to work together, provided Washington can convince its European allies to participate as well.
Mar 1, 2019
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Michael Eisenstadt
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Cyprus Gas Discovery Could Be an East Mediterranean Game-Changer
The latest success will encourage more exploration in the area, but probably more regional rivalry as well.
Mar 1, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Economic Ties Deepen the Saudi-Pakistani Strategic Partnership
Pakistan and Saudi Arabia share a long history of close bilateral ties, with bonds of religion and mutual interest dating back to the Saudi support for the independence struggle by the Muslims of the subcontinent during the 1940s. Over the years, this bilateral relationship has matured into a strategic partnership
Feb 28, 2019
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Umer Karim
Brief Analysis
Assad Needs the United States and Its Allies for Reconstruction
Damascus and its partners can’t rebuild the country by themselves amid their growing budget crunch, so Washington has leverage on key transition issues even if Assad keeps stalling.
Feb 28, 2019
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Jomana Qaddour
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Protests are Shaping Algeria’s Presidential Elections
On February 10th, the Algerian president Abdelaziz Bouteflika formally announced that he would be seeking reelection as head of the state in the upcoming presidential elections set to take place on April 18th. President Bouteflika has been ruling the country since 1999, despite increasing concerns over his health after suffering
Feb 27, 2019
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Zine Labidine Ghebouli
Articles & Testimony
Bravado Could Escalate India-Pakistan Attacks to Nuclear Level
National pride and honor can be tricky variables, especially when not accompanied by common sense.
Feb 27, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Repatriating Western Jihadists: The Impact of U.S. Syria Policy
Unless Washington changes its mixed message on foreign fighters and helps its European allies find practical solutions, it may soon face another mass outbreak of seasoned operatives from Syria.
Feb 27, 2019
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Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Jordan’s Public Internally Focused, but Shares U.S. View on Iran and Regional Peace
Jordan was the first stop on U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s Mideast diplomatic tour last month, and it joined the American-led Warsaw conference on Mideast security last week. On both occasions, Jordanian and American officials publicly hailed their common stand against terrorism and against Iran’s interventions in the region
Feb 26, 2019
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The Hodeida Redeployment Plan: A Slow Start in Yemen
Even as it nudges the parties to make good on their initial withdrawal agreements, Washington should counsel patience on what will likely be a long, bumpy road toward full peace talks.
Feb 26, 2019
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Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Growing Influence in North Africa
Moscow casts itself as a reliable mediator and security partner, but in actuality it benefits from playing all sides of regional disputes and fostering perpetual low-level conflict.
Feb 26, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
In-Depth Reports
The Supreme Leader and the Guard:
Civil-Military Relations and Regime Survival in Iran
As the Islamic Republic of Iran turns forty, the dream of a unified theocratic state remains elusive. The national leadership faces three converging threats: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's uncertain health and the prospect of a destabilizing succession process; domestic dissatisfaction, manifested in daily protests across the country; and economic struggles brought
Feb 25, 2019
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Saeid Golkar
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