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Articles & Testimony
A Ceasefire Will Not End the Israel-Palestine Conflict
A bad peace that does not address the wider issue of Hamas violence would only defer the war to a later date.
Dec 9, 2023
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Why Iraq’s Oil Tanker Ambitions Have Not Made It to Deep Waters
Efforts to expand the tanker fleet are welcome, but officials must also hire the right staff, untangle the regulatory environment, conduct major restructuring, and clarify questions about existing joint ventures.
Dec 6, 2023
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Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Under Fire in the Bab al-Mandab: Houthi Military Capabilities and U.S. Response Options
The group is using a wide range of weapons and tactics to escalate its disruption of regional maritime security, establishing selective sea denial against Israeli vessels seeking passage through the strait and threatening U.S. warships that show up to protect them.
Dec 8, 2023
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Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Houthi Ship Attacks Are Affecting Red Sea Trade Routes
Industry figures are already rerouting some Israeli-linked ships and expressing concern about the increased attacks, but much wider economic repercussions could unfold if Houthi antishipping activity continues indefinitely or escalates.
Dec 7, 2023
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Noam Raydan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Women’s Dress in Iran: From the Islamic Sitr to the Political Hijab
The Islamic Republic’s position that it is merely carrying out a religious mandate is disingenuous, as is clear from Khomeini’s own religious writings and from the history of the hijab in Iran. Whereas the concept of sitr remains separated from politics in Iran, the hijab is now unequivocally a political concept.
Dec 7, 2023
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Mushtaq Abd Munaf
Brief Analysis
Containing the Houthis in Yemen: Issues and Options for the Policy Review
During the Gaza war, Houthi militia forces have emerged as the most risk-acceptant member of Iran's "axis of resistance" and a demonstrated menace to international freedom of navigation.
Dec 5, 2023
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Iran-Backed Attacks on Ships in the Red Sea Underscore a U.S. Dilemma
Given the lack of a decisive U.S. response, further clashes will likely arise in strategically crucial waterways whenever Tehran sees fit to nudge the Houthis.
Dec 4, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Making Sense of Iraq’s Politicized Supreme Court Rulings
From removing the speaker of parliament to overturning election results, the court has repeatedly overstepped its role to a degree that warrants more international pressure.
Dec 4, 2023
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Selin Uysal
Articles & Testimony
Ending the War
Laying the groundwork for an eventual Hamas surrender would break the current binary choice between more destructive conflict and an ineffectual ceasefire.
Dec 1, 2023
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Robert Satloff
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Rising Temperatures at Dubai’s COP28 Meeting
The conference agenda extends well beyond climate issues, with implications for regional rivalries, U.S.-Emirati relations, and Israeli wartime diplomacy.
Nov 30, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Publicly Mocks Asaib Ahl al-Haq for Cowardice
After AAH officials sought a halt to the verbal attacks, KH doubled down with a cutting public insult.
Nov 30, 2023
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Why China Is Taking Sides Against Israel—and Why It Will Likely Backfire
Beijing’s sharply anti-Israel response to the Gaza conflict, prompted by its increased focus on challenging Washington, exposes the limits of its diplomatic reach in the Middle East and the broader tensions in its foreign policy strategy.
Nov 29, 2023
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Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Rayan al-Kildani Faces Election Backlash in the Months After Wedding Hall Fire
Popular anger against this self-claimed "Christian leader" has grown since the tragic September fire in the Nineveh Plains region, casting a shadow over his election hopes.
Nov 29, 2023
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Yaqoub Beth-Addai
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
The Road to October 7: Hamas’ Long Game, Clarified
An in-depth look at the group’s post-2007 activities confirms that it was steadily preparing the ground (and the population) for war while lulling foreign officials into awaiting a moderation that would never come.
Oct-Nov 2023
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Devorah Margolin
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The Hamas-Iran Relationship
As details emerge of potential direct links to the attack on Israel, one thing is clear: Hamas would not have been able to plan and conduct such an operation without years of Iranian training, Iranian weapons, and hundreds of millions of dollars in Iranian funding.
Nov 2023
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Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sultan’s Landmark Speech to the Majlis Oman: A Window into Oman’s Economic Reforms
Haitham spoke both as a sovereign and as a prime minister accounting for progress.
Nov 27, 2023
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Jonathan Campbell-James
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Ansar Allah al-Awfiya (19th PMF Brigade)
One of the top Iraqi proxies for Iran's IRGC-Qods Force, this Sadrist breakaway faction has long garrisoned the Syrian border and killed Iraqi protesters to demonstrate its loyalty.
Nov 27, 2023
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Articles & Testimony
Putin’s Alignment in Middle East Should Signal to Israel It’s Time for a Change of Allegiance
As Russia leans into support for Israel’s enemies, officials should look for ways to show Moscow that the threat of escalation goes both ways—including through outreach to Ukraine.
Nov 27, 2023
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Hair-Pulling Over Who Are "The Truest Muqawama"
Amid their ceasefire in solidarity with events in Gaza, Iraqi "resistance" leaders went back to their old habits of diminishing each other and spilling their secrets, with interesting results.
Nov 26, 2023
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Balancing U.S. Relations in North Africa Without Undermining the Abraham Accords
The Biden administration needs to tread carefully in engaging Algeria, since preserving UN negotiations on Western Sahara and protecting Morocco’s crucial relations with Washington and Israel are paramount to U.S. regional interests
Nov 22, 2023
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Sabina Henneberg
Amine Ghoulidi
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