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Articles & Testimony
Realpolitik and the Syrian Conflict
Beyond wishful thinking, the current choices for Syria seem limited to either continuing a give-and-take war or having Assad rule Syria much as Saddam ruled Iraq in the 1990s -- under international isolation and with an iron fist.
Feb 26, 2016
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Azzam Alkassir
Articles & Testimony
A Bargain with Israel on Settlements
A differentiated approach to settlements could stem the drift toward a binational state, blunt the delegitimization movement internationally, and remove the issue as a constant irritant to U.S.-Israel relations.
Feb 26, 2016
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Popular Demobilisation
The prime minister has broad backing to begin absorbing Shiite militias into the armed forces, though two key PMUs seem bent on resisting the move.
Feb 26, 2016
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Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Russia in the Middle East
Motives, Consequences, Prospects
Since becoming president in 2000, Vladimir Putin has reinvigorated Russia's Middle East ties, a trend underscored by his bold military intervention in the Syria crisis. Through these and other regional moves, he has sought to gain ground at the West's expense while bolstering the Kremlin's legitimacy against domestic pressures --
Feb 26, 2016
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Political Landscape -- and What Is Unlikely to Change with Friday's Elections
As in past votes, the candidates have been closely screened, the outcome is expected to uphold the legislature's largely conservative makeup, and the victors will remain largely dependent on military institutions.
Feb 25, 2016
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Great Unraveling
As tumultuous as the region's recent struggles have been, they have also exposed opportunities to establish a more multilateral Middle Eastern security architecture via renewed U.S. leadership.
Feb 25, 2016
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Polls Show Most Muslims Reject Both Extremism and Islamic Reform
In places like Jordan, even minimal support for the Islamic State fell over a one-year period, and a similar downward trend may be occurring elsewhere.
Feb 25, 2016
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Promoting Strong and Inclusive Institutions in the Middle East
The main lesson imparted by the Arab Spring at the five year mark is that toppling dictators does not clear a straight path to democracy. Without establishing strong and inclusive institutions to make democratization sustainable following regime change, civil wars have broken out in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Yemen, while
Feb 25, 2016
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Maurizio Geri
Articles & Testimony
Beyond Nationalism: Kurdistan as a Catalyst for a New Middle East
Caught at the geographic convergence of four key states and their various political and military conflicts, Kurdistan may gradually spread a new paradigm focused on sharing the space instead of attempting to carve untenable dominions out of it.
Feb 25, 2016
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia Rethinks Its Commitments to Lebanon
Riyadh's latest financial and diplomatic measures may just be a shot across Beirut's bow, but several signs point to a potentially wider Gulf withdrawal that could leave Lebanon even more at Iran and Hezbollah's mercy.
Feb 25, 2016
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David Schenker
Video
Defeating the Islamic State: The Economic Campaign
Can the Islamic State be beaten in the banks as well as on the battlefield? Watch three Institute experts discuss government and private-sector efforts to cut off its funding.
Feb 24, 2016
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Katherine Bauer
Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran's Election Procedures
An in-depth look at the unique and often-controversial procedures that will govern Iran's latest elections.
Feb 24, 2016
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Patrick Schmidt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Two Potential Safe Zones in Northern Syria
Both Idlib province and eastern Aleppo province have been relatively spared from the fighting, and their rural communities remain strong.
Feb 24, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Ceasefire and Elections in Syria: Putin Still a Step Ahead
If Moscow and Damascus have their way, the latest ceasefire will further divide the rebels, isolate Turkey, and facilitate their ongoing military and political strategy for preserving Assad's rule.
Feb 23, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Iranian EFPs in the Gulf: An Emerging Strategic Risk
Tehran and its proxies have increased their efforts to provide armor-piercing explosive devices to Shiite cells in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, and this game-changing escalation could pose even greater challenges if Riyadh takes further action in Syria.
Feb 23, 2016
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Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
The Five Factors Slowing Gaza Reconstruction
Mitchel Hochberg untangles the complex factors hindering Gaza reconstruction and shows why a clearer understanding is a necessary first step toward rectifying this dangerous situation.
Feb 22, 2016
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Mitchel Hochberg
Brief Analysis
IS and Russia Could Exploit Turkey's Political Divisions
Unfortunate civil unrest could emerge if the jihadist group continues targeting anti-government Turks and Moscow keeps its sights set on Erdogan and his party.
Feb 22, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Fatalities in the Syrian War
Analysis of funeral reports and other open-source data offers potentially revealing insights into the militia's combat losses in Syria, its shifting role in the war next door, and the security of its position back home in Lebanon.
Feb 22, 2016
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Ali Alfoneh
Articles & Testimony
A Palestinian Vice President? Players, Possibilities, Problems
Until Fatah settles its own internal power struggle, appointing a PA vice president will remain nothing but an idea divorced from political reality.
Feb 22, 2016
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Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
The First Step Should Be to Create Buffer Zones in Syria
Any safe zones would need to be secured by the military forces of Syria’s neighbors, such as Turkey and Jordan, as well as by U.S. air and ground support.
Feb 22, 2016
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Andrew J. Tabler
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