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Articles & Testimony
Are Putin and Assad Playing Good Cop, Bad Cop?
Some analysts have voiced disagreement with the view that Damascus and Moscow are truly at odds.
Feb 21, 2016
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Salafi Politics During the Arab Uprisings: Methodological Insights from Game Theory
Understanding how Salafi leaders balance ideological robustness and personal risk as they are validated or threatened by local circumstances might be a good place to start in assessing their future approach to political engagement.
Feb 19, 2016
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Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
A Turkish 'Secure Strip' in Syria: Domestic Concerns and Foreign Limitations
Although Ankara has the necessary parliamentary authorization and professional military capacity to establish a safe zone, it would still need Western intelligence help, air support, and diplomatic backing to cover the operation and deter Russian retaliation.
Feb 19, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Cem Yolbulan
Articles & Testimony
Russian Expectations for Post-Sanctions Iran
Joint support of Basher al-Assad's regime has highlighted Moscow and Tehran’s developing political alliance. In contrast, the level of economic cooperation between the two states has historically been very modest: 2014 trade between the two countries amounted to $1.68 billion and was just 0.2% of all Russian foreign trade. Yet
Feb 19, 2016
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Huseyn Panahov
Brief Analysis
Legal Justifications for a Safe Zone in Syria
UN Security Council Resolutions 2170, 2249, and 2254 offer ample grounds for establishing a zone to protect refugees and counter the Islamic State, but shaping the international diplomatic response would be paramount given the legal gray areas inherent in such action.
Feb 19, 2016
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James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
The Tragedy of Yemen’s Civil Society
In times of crisis, individuals rise up to act as their society’s conscience. These individuals work to alert the international community to human rights violations or work tirelessly to help their community recover from major obstacles, natural or man-made. These protectors are civil society activists, community mobilizers, and independent journalists
Feb 19, 2016
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Nadia al-Sakkaf
Articles & Testimony
Safety First in Syria
However difficult it might be to implement safe zones after years of inaction, the humanitarian disaster will only grow without them, as will the threat to regional and European stability.
Feb 19, 2016
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
The Nile Basin Initiative and the Crisis of Collective Negotiations
There is no doubt that Egypt faces a slew of challenges and potentially dire consequences related to the Renaissance Dam that Ethiopia is currently constructing at the headwaters of the Nile. Some politicians and media personalities have attempted to characterize the construction of the Renaissance Dam as a side effect
Feb 19, 2016
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Yahya Ghanim
Articles & Testimony
Terror Attack in Ankara: A New Era of Kurdish Politics for Turkey?
The Kurdish issue in Turkey stands on the precipice of becoming an international problem, involving all sorts of nefarious actors from the Syrian civil war.
Feb 18, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Iran and Russia's Growing Defense Ties
The lifting of international sanctions and the region's vastly changing geopolitical environment have opened a window of opportunity for Tehran to buy potent arms from Russia and modernize its arsenal.
Feb 18, 2016
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
The State(s) of Ideology in the Middle East: Introduction
Western policy must be precise and consistent in its use of terms, objectives, and methods in order to account for differing local perceptions.
Feb 18, 2016
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Jacob Olidort
TWI Series on State(s) of Ideology
Explore the roles of Salafism, jihadism, nationalism, and other movements as drivers of conflict and alliance post-Arab Spring.
Feb 17, 2016
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Jacob Olidort
Soner Cagaptay
David Pollock
Said Amir Arjomand
Brief Analysis
Countering Russian and Assad Regime Responses to Safe Zones
For such zones to succeed, they must be backed with militarily enforced no-fly zones and a persuasive response to Moscow's inevitable small-scale violations and disinformation campaign.
Feb 17, 2016
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
The Reality of Riyadh
Saudi Arabia today is trying to unite the Arab world, while countering Iran in Yemen, Syria, and elsewhere, and also coping with an oil price that remains stubbornly weak.
Feb 16, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Russia's Grim Pattern in Syria
Once again, Moscow has expressed agreement with the United States on the broad principles for easing the Syrian conflict and then acted without regard to those principles.
Feb 16, 2016
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Desert Stretch: Saudi Arabia's Ambitious Military Operations
Riyadh's offer to deploy ground troops in Syria and reestablish air operations comes while its forces are still heavily committed in Yemen and a huge military exercise begins in the kingdom's north.
Feb 16, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Understanding Iran's Assembly of Experts Vote
The victors, winnowed from an especially large field, will serve until 2024 and therefore may play a role in choosing a new Supreme Leader.
Feb 16, 2016
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Patrick Schmidt
Brief Analysis
Intervention to Assist Fleeing Syrians: Who, What, Where, Why, and How
Establishment of humanitarian corridors, safe havens, safe zones, or buffer or no-fly zones could turn the tide of Syria's humanitarian crisis, but it could also pose numerous complications and create second- and third-order effects for the region.
Feb 16, 2016
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Col. Nora Marcos
TWI Series on Syrian Safe Havens/Zones
Understand the policy implications of humanitarian safe havens, safe zones, buffers, or no-fly zones in Syria with these assessments of the who, what, where, why, and how of the various options.
Feb 16, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Lt Col John R. Barnett
Anna Borshchevskaya
Nicholas Burns
Soner Cagaptay
Michael Eisenstadt
James Jeffrey
Col. Nora Marcos
Nadav Pollak
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
The Worst of the Syrian Refugee Crisis Is Coming for Europe
The Assad regime's Russian-aided military campaign and the onset of spring augur another mass refugee flow into the EU, and the only surefire way to stop it is by addressing the root of the crisis inside Syria.
Feb 12, 2016
◆
Fabrice Balanche
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