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Brief Analysis
What Is Behind the Istanbul Attack?
The Islamic State's choice of target likely reflects a very deliberate attempt to short-circuit U.S.-Turkish military efforts along the Syrian border and exacerbate tensions in Europe.
Jan 13, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Tunisian Democratic Experiment Five Years In
The lone Arab Spring success story has much to be proud of, but considerable challenges remain, and Tunisia will need significant American assistance for the foreseeable future.
Jan 13, 2016
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Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Turkey's New Base in Qatar
Having a permanent military foothold in the Gulf will put Turkey in an elite group of powers, but more presence also means more exposure, whether to Saudi-Iranian tensions or other local crises.
Jan 11, 2016
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Olivier Decottignies
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Saudi Defense Minister Visits Pakistan to Repair Strained Relations
The prince's latest foreign policy initiative is to confer with Islamabad, presumably seeking help with Iran, and potentially including military and nuclear cooperation.
Jan 11, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
What Would a Saudi-Iran War Look Like? Don't Look Now, But It Is Already Here
Even a short, sharp burst of direct military clashes would serve as a reminder to both sides of the overriding imperative to keep their conflict limited to the territories of unfortunate third parties.
Jan 11, 2016
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
How Obama Created a Mideast Vacuum
By taking an overcautious approach in Syria, the president has highlighted America's failure to have an open discussion about the real strategic lessons of the Iraq war.
Jan 10, 2016
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Egypt's New Parliament Convenes: Making Sense of the Salafi Members-Elect
For now, the handful of Nour candidates who won seats are seemingly content to continue endorsing the Sisi government, but political opposition and violence outside parliament may prove much more significant to how Egypt's Salafis divide in the future.
Jan 8, 2016
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Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
The Next King of Saudi Arabia
The momentum of Deputy Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman, the king's young son, appears almost unstoppable, but many oppose his ascent.
Jan 8, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
America May Have Unlocked a Key to Fighting Terrorism -- and It Doesn't Involve Drones
A holistic approach to counterterrorism demands more than just a 'capture and kill' posture, and new funds for relevant State Department programs are a step in the right direction.
Jan 8, 2016
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Pyongyang's Posturing: The Iranian Dimension
Just hours before Pyongyang claimed to have tested a hydrogen bomb, Iran unveiled another underground facility and showed off North Korean-designed long-range missiles.
Jan 6, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Saudis Are Rightly Concerned About Iran
Although creating further distance with the Saudis would be unwise, Riyadh still needs to see that U.S. security commitments are affected when it adds to conflicts rather than containing or resolving them.
Jan 5, 2016
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Dennis Ross
Discussing Recent Poll Results from the Middle East
An Egyptian analyst and a Washington Institute expert discuss the results and implications of the latest Institute polls conducted in the region, touching on the Syria war, Iran, perceptions of U.S. policy, and other pressing issues.
Jan 5, 2016
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David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Die Is Cast: The Kurds Cross the Euphrates
Although the latest Kurdish offensive runs the risk of spurring direct Turkish intervention, it could also help isolate Islamic State forces in the area from their capital, with significant implications for the rest of the combatants in Syria.
Jan 5, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
In-Depth Reports
The Algerian Conundrum:
Authoritarian State, Democratic Society
This essay, the third in a series exploring prospects for political reform throughout the region, considers the strengths and limitations of democratic-style reformers in Algeria today.
Jan 5, 2016
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John P. Entelis
Brief Analysis
Riyadh's Message Is to Washington as Well as Tehran
Unless the Obama administration demonstrates stronger resolve in responding to Iranian aggression, the Saudis and other Gulf monarchies will continue to take vigorous action of their own, likely in ways Washington finds unhelpful.
Jan 4, 2016
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
How to Defeat ISIS: The Case for U.S. Ground Forces
Once Washington sees that defeating ISIS and dealing with the aftermath are two separate, albeit linked, operations, then the cost and benefits of using U.S. ground troops for the former can be soberly assessed.
Jan 4, 2016
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James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Saudi-Iranian Diplomatic Crisis Threatens U.S. Policy
Washington must act promptly to prevent the execution of a Saudi Shiite leader and the Riyadh-Tehran diplomatic break from imperiling the fight against the Islamic State and the Iran nuclear accord.
Jan 4, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Sanctions Delay Could Open Door for Iranian Weapons Violations
By backing off sanctions over Iran's ballistic missile test, the Obama administration has left the impression that, contrary to its repeated pledges, it may not enforce current sanctions or impose new ones should Tehran violate UN Security Council resolutions.
Jan 1, 2016
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
A Different Take on Russia's Official Terrorism Debate
On 23 November Kirill Martynov, Novaya Gazeta’s (New Newspaper) politics and economics editor, wrote about Russia’s official debate on terrorism, which took place on 20 November—the first joint Duma and Federation Council meeting since Russia’s annexation of Crimea. The accompanying excerpts are from his article. Novaya Gazeta is one of
Dec 31, 2015
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Russia in Syria Because of Putin's Personal Ambitions
On 18 November liberal-leaning radio program Echo Moskvy (Moscow’s Echo) hosted Russian political analyst Stanislav Belkovsky on an approximately hour-long talk show, Personally Yours, with host Alexei Naryshkin to discuss Russia’s intervention in Syria. The accompanying excerpts are from the show transcript, posted on the radio’s web-site. Belkovsky made several
Dec 31, 2015
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Anna Borshchevskaya
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