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Articles & Testimony
Five Years After Mubarak's Fall, Lessons for Washington
By allowing events 6,000 miles away to outpace its decisionmaking, the Obama administration put itself in a lose-lose situation, which is why Egyptian and regional players regard U.S. policy during the uprising as a failure.
Feb 11, 2016
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Washington's Self-Deterrence Problem in Syria
If Moscow can get away with boldly flouting U.S. interests in a key American security zone such as the Middle East, where might it interfere next, and at what cost to the international security system?
Feb 11, 2016
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James Jeffrey
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Aleppo and the Geneva III Trap
Ostensibly convened to develop a political solution to the five-year old Syrian crisis, the Geneva III talks were based on deceit. While diplomatic teams from major world capitals wrangled over the minutiae of the negotiation process, Moscow was preparing a major air and special forces offensive against opposition-held territory in
Feb 11, 2016
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Last Chance to Join the International Community
Successive White House administrations have tried to weaken the Iranian mullahs’ grip on the country through war, sanctions, and diplomatic isolation. Each policy has failed eminently, and a considerable list of U.S. officials expects more of the same from President Obama’s new strategy of ‘veiled’ diplomacy, which attempts to foster
Feb 11, 2016
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Dani Tahrawi
Articles & Testimony
What Happens if Aleppo Falls?
Kathy Gilsinan interviewed Andrew J. Tabler on what an Assad victory would mean for the war and the West. The full text of the article, including graphics, is available on the Atlantic website. Kathy Gilsinan: I wanted to start with what the significance of Aleppo has been to the Syrian
Feb 11, 2016
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Five Years On, Egypt Lacks Introspection
The revolution of January 25, 2011 remains the greatest act of social reassessment in Egypt’s history. All involved parties agreed on the importance of change for Egypt’s future, and that this future required the introduction of increasingly modern means and values. Its actors were dedicated to bringing Egyptian citizens a
Feb 11, 2016
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Ahmad Al-Sawy
Articles & Testimony
Netanyahu Fights for Israel's Energy Future
Even with the low price of oil and natural gas, there are ample business and policy reasons for exploiting Israel's reserves quickly, so Netanyahu is pushing ahead despite ongoing political constraints.
Feb 11, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Shift in Saudi Foreign Policy
While many believe that Riyadh's Yemen campaign and oil policy are sowing the seeds of domestic instability, the kingdom's activist approach is likely to endure for the foreseeable future given Washington's recent track record.
Feb 10, 2016
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
What Vladimir Putin Is Really Up To in Syria
The last thing Putin wants is a U.S.-led safe haven inside Syria, since it would erode his leverage over Europe and raise the military costs of fighting on Assad's behalf.
Feb 9, 2016
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Dennis Ross
Video
Brief Analysis
The Future of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq
Mosul, Economic Crisis, and Self-Determination
A senior foreign policy advisor to Iraqi Kurdish President Barzani discusses the state of U.S.-Kurdish military cooperation, the situation in Iraq and Syria, Kurdistan's economic needs, and the region's future.
Feb 9, 2016
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Hemin Hawrami
David Pollock
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Is ISIS Good at Governing?
The establishment of jihadi governance projects is becoming the new normal as ISIS and al-Qaida learn from past mistakes, but the long-term sustainability of these efforts remains unclear.
Feb 9, 2016
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Aaron Y. Zelin
In-Depth Reports
Bahrain’s Stalled Reforms and the Future U.S. Role
With tensions peaking between Iran and the conservative Arab states, the current calm in the island kingdom of Bahrain may prove only temporary. A longtime U.S. ally that hosts the Navy's Fifth Fleet headquarters, Bahrain plays a crucial role in ensuring regional security. Yet reforms of its political system have
Feb 8, 2016
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
America Has No Business Calling ISIS 'Apostates'
Washington lacks the voice and vocabulary to rhetorically challenge the group's theology, so it should focus on making better use of other potent tools that can actually stop jihadist goals from becoming a reality.
Feb 7, 2016
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Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
The Diplomatic Case for America to Create a Safe Zone in Syria
The potential risks of inaction -- including thousands more civilians killed, millions more refugees, the spillover of fighting into Turkey, Jordan, and Israel, and a Russian-Iranian military victory -- greatly outweigh the dangers of moving forward.
Feb 5, 2016
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Nicholas Burns
James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Jordan Reaches the Refugee Saturation Point
In addition to suffering from inadequate international humanitarian assistance, the kingdom's massive Syrian refugee population is threatening the domestic stability of a key strategic partner.
Feb 5, 2016
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David Schenker
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Battle of Aleppo Is the Center of the Syrian Chessboard
With ample Russian and Iranian help, regime forces have cut the rebels' main lifeline in the north, and they will likely steer their relentless steamroller to the west unless outside powers take action.
Feb 5, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Russia and the United States: A Test of Wills at Geneva
The fifth anniversary of the Syrian uprising against Bashar al-Assad's government will be commemorated in a few weeks with yet another round of diplomatic attempts at forging a political solution. The Syrian crisis has killed hundreds of thousands, injured and displaced millions, and destroyed much of the country's infrastructure. Facing
Feb 4, 2016
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Choosing Iran's Next Supreme Leader
While the Experts Assembly elected this month may be formally tasked with appointing the elderly Khamenei's successor, the real decision will likely be made by other power centers that could wind up controlling the new Supreme Leader.
Feb 4, 2016
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Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Purpose of Saudi Arabia's Islamic Military Coalition
In a statement delivered at the King Salman Air Base in Riyadh in mid-December, Saudi Arabian Defense Minister and Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman announced the formation of an Islamic coalition to fight terrorism. The coalition was supposed to be comprised of 35 countries out of a total of
Feb 4, 2016
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Ramy Aziz
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt: Headed for Internal Collapse?
The Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt can be characterized as an intellectual and political movement distinguished by its relationship with the ruling regimes. After Gamal Abdel Nasser and his comrades swept away the Egyptian constitutional monarchy in 1952, the Brotherhood cemented its place in Egypt’s political arena, regarded as the most
Feb 4, 2016
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Mohammed Soliman
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