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Brief Analysis
Bin Ladin and the Problem of State-Supported Terrorism
Today's meeting between Taliban representatives and U.S. officials to discuss the extradition of Osama Bin Ladin highlights the centrality of state-sponsorship and official safe-haven extended to the Saudi terrorist and his organization. In September and early October, the U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, unsealed two documents in
Oct 21, 1998
◆
David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
Approaching May 1999:
U.S. Policy and the Arab-Israeli Peace Process
Because I will not be speaking about the events occurring at the Wye Plantation, "Wye Not" might be the title of my address today. Hassan Asfour and I are operating under considerable constraints following the President Bill Clinton's request that we not talk publicly about developments at Wye in the
Oct 17, 1998
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Syrian Relations:
A Crisis Delayed?
Despite unconfirmed reports of Syrian willingness to expel PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan and close PKK bases, Turkish-Syrian tensions are likely to persist; Syria's track record of reneging on pledges to cease supporting the PKK will make Ankara skeptical about the durability of any agreement. For this reason, Turkish military action
Oct 17, 1998
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Alan Makovsky
Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
America's Fight against Terrorism:
At Home and Abroad
It is a great honor to be here tonight, but also a little daunting to speak before this group about terrorism. What can I tell you that you -- after studying terrorism for so many years and personally experiencing it -- do not already know? At the risk of preaching
Oct 16, 1998
◆
Richard Clarke
In-Depth Reports
Countdown to May 1999:
Oslo and the U.S.-Israeli-Palestinian Triangle
Keynote addresses by Richard Clarke and Martin Indyk. With Silvan Shalom, Hassan Asfour, Ze'ev Schiff, Hanna Siniora, Nasser al-Kidwa, Joel Singer, Herbert Hansell, and others.
Oct 16, 1998
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Turkish Relations in an Age of Interdependence
On October 14, 1998, Deputy Secretary of State Strobe Talbott delivered The Washington Institute's Second Annual Turgut Ozal Memorial Lecture at the Willard Inter-Continental Hotel. The following are excerpts from his remarks. Read a full transcript. "The association of this event with the name of Turgut Ozal made this truly
Oct 16, 1998
Articles & Testimony
Success, Like the Devil, Is in the Details
One needn't be clairvoyant to know that a weary Bill Clinton, Benjamin Netanyahu and Yasser Arafat will emerge from the confines of Maryland's Eastern Shore to declare their Middle East peace summit a success. After all, presidential summits have to be successes; the alternative is too unpalatable to contemplate. But
Oct 16, 1998
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Camp David Accords Twenty Years Later:
A Balance Sheet
MONA MAKRAM-EBEID Camp David saw an Arab-Israeli conflict "permanently altered." The accords have withstood the change of Egyptian government from Anwar Sadat to Hosni Mubarak, which demonstrates their acceptance by the Egyptian body politic. Indeed, they have been accepted by the Arab world: Mubarak has succeeded in regaining Egypt's central
Oct 15, 1998
◆
Shimon Shamir
Articles & Testimony
U.S., Israel Still Need Each Other
After two years of back-stabbing and finger-pointing, this week's Mideast "peace summit" at Wye Plantation, Md., has the potential for a real breakthrough between America and Israel. Given the common challenges these two allies face, this rapprochement may come just in the nick of time. Ever since Benjamin Netanyahu's narrow
Oct 14, 1998
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Run-Up to the Wye Plantation Peace Summit
ROBERT SATLOFF Background on the U.S. Role in the Peace Process. The October Wye Plantation conference underscores the shift in the character of U.S. involvement since the September 1996 clashes that followed the opening of the Hasmonean Tunnel in the Old City of Jerusalem. After this incident, the U.S. role
Oct 12, 1998
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Robert Satloff
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Recent Official U.S. Statements on Palestinian Statehood, the Implications of 'May 4, 1999,' and the Prospect of a Unilateral Declaration of Independence:
On the Record
"In the Oslo Accords, that question [of statehood] was left for the final status negotiations. Because of the heavy involvement of the United States in the peace process, I believe it would be an error for me to comment on that. I think the important thing is that has to
Oct 8, 1998
Articles & Testimony
Clinton Needs Win in Mideast Talks
The surprise White House meeting Monday of President Bill Clinton, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat calls for both caution and hope. On the one hand, the meetings themselves were a significant achievement, given that Netanyahu and Arafat had not met for more than a
Oct 8, 1998
Brief Analysis
Arab State Support to the Palestinian Authority:
Unfulfilled Expectations
Yasir Arafat received a standing ovation from the United Nations General Assembly last week when he reiterated Palestine's claim to statehood and eventual full UN membership. He had hoped to receive even more substantive backing when he asked the member-states of the Arab League to lend tangible support to the
Oct 6, 1998
◆
Barry Rubin
Brief Analysis
Is Salman Rushdie a Free Man?
On September 24, 1998, just two days shy of the tenth anniversary of the original publication of Salman Rushdie's The Satanic Verses, Iranian foreign minister Kamal Kharrazi made a major statement in the presence of his British counterpart: "The government of the Islamic Republic of Iran has no intention, nor
Oct 2, 1998
In-Depth Reports
Iran Under Khatami:
A Political, Economic, and Military Assessment
Introduction Muhammad Khatami's surprise victory in the May 23, 1997, Iranian presidential election generated much enthusiasm at home and much interest abroad. For Iranians, the massive popular mandate -- Khatami received 70 percent of the vote with a nearly 90 percent turnout -- showed their disillusionment with the ruling establishment
Oct 1, 1998
◆
Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Qaddafi, Lockerbie, and Prospects for Libya
Libya's economic decomposition has led to the rise of an Islamic opposition. The Islamists are increasingly allying with the Libyan armed forces, forming a pragmatic union that is likely to define Libya's political future in the post-Qaddafi period. Background. In the pre-Qaddafi period, Islam played a central role in Libya's
Oct 1, 1998
◆
Ray Takeyh
Gideon Rose
Brief Analysis
Kurdish Agreement Signals New U.S. Commitment
Turkey's weekend decision to boost diplomatic ties with Saddam Hussein to ambassadorial level highlights widespread regional opposition to an agreement between two long-feuding Iraqi Kurdish leaders signed in Washington earlier this month. The agreement affirms the Iraqi Kurds' desire to avoid further inter-factional fighting and to prevent Saddam's return to
Sep 29, 1998
◆
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Brink of Peace:
The Israeli-Syrian Negotiations
Yitzhak Rabin was elected in 1992 as prime minister of Israel based on his pledge that he could deliver an autonomy agreement with the Palestinians and that there would be no major deal with Syria. Nevertheless, between 1993 and 1996, two dramatic opportunities arose for an Israel-Syrian peace agreement; both
Sep 24, 1998
◆
Itamar Rabinovich
Brief Analysis
Crown Prince Abdullah's Visit to Washington:
An Opportunity to Coordinate U.S. and Saudi Policies
The visit to the United States from Wednesday September 23 (the Saudi national day) by Crown Prince Abdullah, the heir apparent of the kingdom of Saudi Arabia, is part of a rare world tour which has so far taken in Britain and France, and is scheduled to include later China
Sep 21, 1998
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Countdown to May 1999:
Internal Palestinian Deliberations
As U.S. negotiator Dennis Ross continued his efforts this week to bridge gaps preventing an Israeli-Palestinian agreement on "further redeployment" (FRD), Palestinian Authority leader Yasir Arafat was at the Arab League Foreign Minister's meeting in Cairo seeking backing for his plan to establish a Palestinian state next year. His efforts
Sep 18, 1998
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