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Brief Analysis
From Camp David to Oslo:
A Realpolitik Reassessment
The peace process has, in practice, meant Israel's acceptance by the Arab world. This process, however, is not irreversible. It is mainly a function of Israel's military, economic, and strategic strength and the Arab recognition of structural weakness. Only as long as current conditions hold, the peace process will continue
Sep 17, 1998
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy Options toward Iraq
Testimony before the House National Security Committee U.S. policy toward Iraq is at a turning point. Decisions made in the coming weeks and months will affect American interests in the Middle East and the fate of the region for years to come. Unfortunately, there is no clear, obvious solutions to
Sep 16, 1998
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
U.S. Mediation in the Peace Process:
Context for the Ross Mission
Return of U.S. Mediation: Less than four months after the standoff between the Clinton and Netanyahu administrations over the extent of Israel's further redeployment (FRD) from the West Bank, Special Middle East Coordinator Dennis Ross is back in the Middle East trying to "narrow the differences" between the Israeli and
Sep 16, 1998
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Outlook for Turkish-U.S. Relations
On September 2, 1998, H.E. Baki Ilkin, Turkish ambassador to the United States, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following are excerpts from his opening remarks and a rapporteur's summary of the subsequent question-and-answer session. Read a full transcript. Transformation of Bilateral Relations "We are no longer only
Sep 11, 1998
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Importance of Judicial Execution by the PA
As Ambassador Dennis Ross begins a diplomatic mission to resurrect the dormant Israeli-Palestinian peace talks, inside the Palestinian Authority, reverberations are still being felt from one of the most important political developments to take place since the PA's founding -- the Authority's first judicial executions. These executions, along with the
Sep 9, 1998
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Uncovering Iraq's Weapons of Mass Destruction:
Past Achievements, Current Challenges
It is impossible to determine exactly what Iraq is concealing because Iraq has not accurately reported what it had to begin with. Therefore, it is not possible to produce a precise material balance of initial and current holdings. However, it is possible -- using data derived from Iraqi documents in
Sep 8, 1998
Articles & Testimony
The So-Called 'Diplomatic Option'
Richard Murphy's Aug. 25 op-ed piece in support of the administration's "new diplomatic approach" toward Iraq is a recipe for disaster. Ambassador Murphy asserts that this "new approach . . . may prove more effective" than the policy abandoned by the administration after the last confrontation with Iraq that ended
Sep 8, 1998
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Will U.S. Keep Pressing Terrorists?
The August 20 bombing of Osama bin Laden's terrorist bases in Afghanistan and the alleged bin Laden-funded chemical weapons production facility in Khartoum, was a decisive and appropriate U.S. response to the atrocities in Nairobi and Dar es Salaam, and President Bill Clinton should be commended. Although Washington has, in
Aug 25, 1998
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
What Do the Sudan/Afghanistan Strikes Harbinger?
The U.S. cruise missile attacks on the Sudanese chemical weapons precursor plant and the Afghanistan terrorist camps raises questions about the future direction of U.S. policy on several fronts: the emphasis on state linkages to terrorism, the means used to counter proliferation, the role of law enforcement and military force
Aug 21, 1998
◆
Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
Alan Makovsky
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Middle Eastern Views on the Embassy Bombings:
On the Record
U.S. military attacks on terrorist facilities in Sudan and Afghanistan highlight the continuing threat to U.S. interests from terrorists -- and their state sponsors -- around the globe. Since the Nairobi and Dar es Salaam bombings, various Middle Eastern actors have speculated on the culprits of the attack and their
Aug 20, 1998
Brief Analysis
What Can Be Done about Bin Laden?
Saudi terrorist financier Osama bin Laden has posed a significant problem for the United States for some time. The extradition from Pakistan to Kenya this past weekend of Mohammad Saddiq Odeh, a reported Bin Laden associate, heightened speculation Bin Laden was involved in funding and planning the attacks on the
Aug 19, 1998
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Israel's Search for Peace and Security:
View from the Opposition
Two Visions of Peacemaking: The fundamental difference between Labor and Likud lies in their willingness to take risks for peace. Likud believes that the first step toward peace is a change in the basic attitude of the Arab people toward the State of Israel, an evolution that will take a
Aug 18, 1998
Brief Analysis
Peace Process Initiatives:
A New Form of Middle East Proliferation
With Yasir Arafat in South Africa and Benjamin Netanyahu poised to take his summer vacation, Israeli spokesman David Bar Illan recently predicted "not much progress [in the peace process] the next couple of weeks." Recent days have, in fact, witnessed significant, though not yet successful, backroom maneuvering inside the fractious
Aug 14, 1998
Brief Analysis
America, Iraq, and UNSCOM:
On the Record
Saddam Husayn's refusal to cooperate with United Nations Special Commission (UNSCOM) has re-opened a confrontation with the U.N. and the United States that was temporarily resolved through Kofi Annan's diplomatic efforts in February 1998. Over the course of that earlier crisis, U.S. officials made strong statements about the threat posed
Aug 13, 1998
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Political Tangle
Early Turkish elections, recently set for April 18, 1999, hold little prospect for change in a longstanding political impasse, yet they raise potential problems for Turkey's domestic and foreign policies -- not least its approach to Greek Cypriot plans to deploy Russian S-300 surface-to-air missiles. Meanwhile, the departure of the
Aug 12, 1998
◆
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Who Bombed the Embassies, And Why?
In the aftermath of the August 8, 1998, bombing of the American embassies in Kenya and Tanzania, the United States has initiated investigation into who was responsible for the attacks, which wounded nearly 5,000 persons and killed 200, including 12 Americans. These bombings required extensive in-country infrastructure, logistical support and
Aug 11, 1998
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Building toward Crisis:
Saddam Husayn's Strategy for Survival
On July 29, 1998, Amatzia Baram, an associate professor in the Department of Modern History of the Middle East at Haifa University and the recipient of The Washington Institute's 1998 Ira Weiner Fellowship, addressed the Institute's Special Policy Forum to discuss the findings of his new book, Building toward Crisis
Aug 7, 1998
Brief Analysis
Israel:
Peace Process Strategy and U.S.-Israel Relations
On July 27, 1998, Zalman Shoval, the new Israeli ambassador to the United States, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his remarks. Read a full transcript. The Oslo Agreement: Oslo has been a big disappointment for both sides; in retrospective it was
Aug 6, 1998
Brief Analysis
Iran's Recent Missile Test:
Assessment and Implications
Iran gave a new twist to President Khatami's call for a "civilizational dialogue" on July 22 when it test-launched a medium-range missile with the potential to reach India in the east, Russia in the north, Egypt and Turkey in the west and Israel, Jordan and all Gulf Cooperation Council states
Aug 5, 1998
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Turkey and Europe:
Integration or Alienation?
The December 1997 European Union (EU) summit in Luxembourg accepted the membership candidacies of ten Eastern and Central European countries and Cyprus. Contrary to Turkish expectations, however, Turkey was not accepted as a "candidate." This disappointing result -- known in Turkey as ''the Luxembourg shock'' -- was the result of
Aug 4, 1998
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