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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A New Phase in the Yemen War: Context and Consequences
Recent Houthi attacks on the UAE shed light on the latest developments in the Yemeni war, and how key actors will maneuver in the coming months.
Feb 28, 2022
◆
Nabil Hetari
Brief Analysis
A China-Russia SWIFT Alternative Will Not Undermine Iran Sanctions
There is no realistic prospect that Beijing and Moscow will establish a viable joint system that imminently and significantly reduces Tehran’s difficulties with accessing the international financial system.
Feb 25, 2022
◆
Steven Terner
In-Depth Reports
Three Presidents, Three Flawed Iran Policies, and the Path Ahead
News reports of a nearing breakthrough in the Iran nuclear talks will trigger sighs of relief, but the deal will likely prove disappointing on many fronts.
Feb 25, 2022
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Why the US Needs Saudi Arabia to Help Put Pressure on Russia
Currently, the odds do not favor Riyadh making the substantial oil production increases sought by Washington.
Feb 25, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Trends in Iranian External Assassination, Surveillance, and Abduction Plots
Law enforcement actions and financial designations are appropriate but insufficient—the attacks will not stop without firm diplomatic isolation, travel and study bans on family members of Iranian leaders, and other direct consequences for regime decisionmakers.
February 2022
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Why Russia Is Destined for Defeat in Ukraine
Whether Putin aims to occupy the entire country or hold strategic areas as buffer zones, the West will likely need to rethink European security.
Feb 27, 2022
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Axis of Abraham: Arab-Israeli Normalization Could Remake the Middle East
The accords may point to a future in which the United States can do less in the region—but to get there, Washington must first do more.
March-April 2022
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Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
Targeting the Islamic State: Jihadist Military Threats and the U.S. Response
Two scholars of jihadism assess the group's evolving approaches to conventional and insurgent warfare, and U.S. options for combating them.
Feb 22, 2022
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Ido Levy
Craig Whiteside
Brief Analysis
The Death of Oil Federalism? Implications of a New Iraqi Court Ruling
The legal decision and its political fallout are threatening some of the country’s key interests, including its aspirations toward federalism, its relations with Turkey, and its ability to attract sorely needed international investment.
Feb 18, 2022
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Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
A Goldilocks Approach to Sanctioning Yemen’s Houthis
Although the group undoubtedly merits FTO designation, issuing targeted sanctions with broader UN buy-in may achieve better results without the humanitarian complications.
Feb 18, 2022
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Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
Israel’s New Strategy: Why a Post-American Middle East Means a Greater Role in Regional Security
In strategic terms, at least, the United States is increasingly shifting its attention to Asia, but this may represent an opportunity for Israel as much as a challenge.
Feb 18, 2022
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Amos Yadlin
Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Breaks His Silence on the Nuclear Negotiations
After months of publicly ignoring the issue, the Supreme Leader reminded negotiators to follow his guidelines but refrained from explicitly supporting or rejecting the state of play in Vienna.
Feb 17, 2022
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Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
The Third Age of Erdogan’s Foreign Policy
Turkey has been forced to adopt a new approach abroad, presenting a valuable opportunity that the United States and Europe need to seize quickly.
Feb 17, 2022
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Rich Outzen
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Ukraine Crisis Isn’t Over: Russia Has Lied About Troop Withdrawals Before
In Afghanistan, Syria, and other conflict zones, Moscow has made a habit of obfuscating its intentions and actions via fake withdrawal announcements.
Feb 16, 2022
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Iranian Militias Have Swallowed Deir Ezzor
The Syrian governorate of Deir Ezzor is currently a heavily militarized area, where militias and armed forces patrol and pursue their varied interests at the expense of local civilians.
Feb 16, 2022
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Omar Abu Layla
Articles & Testimony
As China Thrives in the Post-9/11 Middle East, the US Must Counter
The West needs to radically alter its strategy for competing with Beijing in the region, particularly when it comes to economic stimulation, allied security blocs, and human rights.
Feb 16, 2022
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Jay Solomon
Articles & Testimony
Prepare for Russian Tanks to Crawl into Ukraine—and Cut Europe’s Energy
Although the immediate military horizon remains blurry, the longer-term energy crunch may be survivable, albeit painful.
Feb 15, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
How to Make Russia Pay in Ukraine: Study Syria
Washington needs to show Putin that this will not be the limited intervention he was able to get away with in Syria, but rather a catalyst for dramatic NATO entrenchment and strategic setbacks.
Feb 15, 2022
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Unpacking the UAE F-35 Negotiations
In what has become a major test of America’s shift to great power competition, Washington must weigh its desire to maintain a close security partnership with the UAE against Abu Dhabi’s growing ties with China.
Feb 15, 2022
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Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Liwa Khaybar
With probable links to Kataib Hezbollah, this minor facade group claimed a major rocket attack on al-Asad Air Base, but mainly limits itself to claimed bombings against U.S. supply convoys.
Feb 15, 2022
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Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
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