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Brief Analysis
Egypt’s Counterinsurgency Success in Sinai
The military’s shift to tribal engagement has helped reduce jihadist attacks, but Cairo’s lagging efforts on development and human rights could leave the peninsula open to a future resurgence.
Dec 9, 2021
◆
Ido Levy
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Saudi Poll: United States, China, and Russia all Tie as Important Partners
As great powers match in perceived importance, the Saudi public remains hostile to Iran while being less so towards Israel or Turkey.
Dec 9, 2021
◆
David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Akram Kaabi's Revealing Speech
Kaabi has long been Iran's chosen man in the self-styled Iraqi "resistance," and his latest remarks seemed like an attempt to seize control of militia public messaging.
Dec 9, 2021
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Crispin Smith
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
The Summit for Democracy Skips the Arab World
To address the region’s democracy gap, Washington needs to develop consistent messaging on reform objectives and help its partners focus on achievable goals such as protecting free speech, dissidents, and civil society.
Dec 8, 2021
◆
Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Lebanon Stands at a Crossroad Between a Painful Revival and a Complete Submission to Iran
The country’s ongoing crises are closely intertwined with Hezbollah’s internal challenges, creating real potential for change if the West stands firmly behind fair elections, judicial accountability, and targeted pressure.
Dec 7, 2021
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kurds Are Fleeing Iraq in the Face of Uncertainty
There are economic, corruption, and governance factors at play in the migration of Kurds to Europe, but the most acute issue is the collapse of trust in the political future of the Kurdish Region.
Dec 7, 2021
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Yerevan Saeed
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel (Sort of) Misses the Iran Deal
Given the nuclear program’s advancement under the U.S. maximum pressure policy, a raft of Israeli officials now say the JCPOA was better than nothing—but rejoining it will be difficult.
Dec 6, 2021
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Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
The Future of al-Tanf Garrison in Syria
The remote U.S. base remains a relatively low-cost, high-impact tool for preventing an Islamic State resurgence, disrupting hostile Iranian activity, and exerting leverage over Syria’s long-term outlook.
Dec 6, 2021
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Grant Rumley
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Tehran Won’t Tolerate a Reset with Washington—But Will Take a Deal
As the previous nuclear agreement showed, U.S. officials don’t need to change the regime’s mind about America’s supposedly nefarious intentions in order to cut a deal.
Dec 6, 2021
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Amir Toumaj
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
United States Still Tops List of Great Powers "Important" to Jordan's Public
Popular attitudes in Jordan have shifted slightly over the past year in a direction generally more favorable to the United States.
Dec 6, 2021
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David Pollock
Sawera Khan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Next After the Assassination Attempt on Mustafa al-Kadhimi?
The question of how Iraqi militias will respond to their decreased presence in parliament becomes increasingly salient with the finalization of Iraq’s election results.
Dec 4, 2021
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Ali Al-Mikdam
Articles & Testimony
Will an Apparent Saudi Concession on Oil Production Drop US Prices at the Pump?
It is unclear how long any price effects might last, and Riyadh may yet expect a diplomatic quid pro quo from Washington.
Dec 3, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The UAE’s Second Half-Century: Building Forward to What?
The country is well-positioned to further the progress it has made on multiple fronts, from balancing relations with competing regional and global powers, to diversifying its economy and addressing long-term environmental concerns.
Dec 2, 2021
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David Pollock
Video
Brief Analysis
Popular Protest, Democratic Prospects, and U.S. Policy Dilemmas in the Middle East
Three experts discuss how Washington should shape its regional response to persistent protest movements, economic struggles, and democratic backsliding.
Dec 2, 2021
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Chiraz Arbi
Yasir Zaidan
Alberto Fernandez
Brief Analysis
A New Chance at Kingmaking for Iraqi Kurds
With militias on the back foot, the United States should lean on Kurdish and Iraqi leaders to find unity of purpose in confronting the destabilizing actions of pro-Iran groups.
Dec 1, 2021
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Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
The Taliban Remain the Same, But Society Has Changed
Years of U.S. involvement visibly advanced the dignity and prospects of Afghan women, but wholly abandoning them now would risk undoing much of this progress.
Dec 1, 2021
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Video
Brief Analysis
How Tehran Views Washington
Researchers discuss Iran’s mindset toward the Biden administration and the country’s prospects for internal change as nuclear talks resume in Vienna.
Dec 1, 2021
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Amir Toumaj
Sanam Vakil
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Water Cooperation in the Middle East and North Africa: Transitioning from Conflict to Stability
With rivers and lakes drying and record breaking droughts, there is a dire need for greater regional cooperation on water issues.
Nov 30, 2021
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Amro Selim
Video
Brief Analysis
American Peace Process Diplomacy: What Works? What Doesn’t?
The authors of three recent books on Henry Kissinger, Jimmy Carter, and James Baker explore the lessons that today’s leaders can learn from their landmark peacemaking efforts.
Nov 30, 2021
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Martin Indyk
Stuart Eizenstat
Susan Glasser
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Fake KSS Recruitment Drive
Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada may have exaggerated its recruiting numbers, but the episode points to militias' desperation to look potent and regain leverage by threatening to destabilize Iraq in early 2022.
Nov 27, 2021
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
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