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Brief Analysis
Strategy Session on Non-Kinetic Counterterrorism Tools
Read statements from officials and experts who participated in a conference on non-military tactics in the global fight against terrorism.
Nov 8, 2021
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Biden’s Other Setback: OPEC+ Ignores His Plea for Help
The political costs of oil and gas pricing are increasing amid diplomatic snubs, LNG logistics, and the onset of winter weather.
Nov 8, 2021
◆
Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
The Future of Putin's War in Syria
A former U.S. ambassador to Russia joins two experts for a discussion on what the six-year intervention can tell us about Moscow’s broader foreign policy.
Nov 8, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Lester Grau
Michael McFaul
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Meltdown, Part 1: Protesting the Election
In the wake of their failed election campaigns and other recent setbacks, militias sought to deepen their claims of victimhood and politically damage Prime Minister Kadhimi with protests.
Nov 7, 2021
◆
Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Meltdown, Part 2: Drone Attack on the Prime Minister
Militias followed up Qais al-Khazali's threats against Kadhimi by attacking his residence, shattering the narrative of victimhood they had been building through protests.
Nov 7, 2021
◆
Crispin Smith
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkish Diplomacy by the Numbers: A Decade of Trends
Turkey has maintained strong dialogue with NATO and EU countries despite increasing differences regarding foreign policy matters. Meanwhile, Turkey’s intensifying relations with authoritarian states is one of the striking trends between 2010 and 2020.
Nov 5, 2021
◆
Hasim Tekines
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Raisi and the Continued Export of Revolution to Syria
The recent targeting of the al-Tanf base in Syria, where U.S. forces are stationed, highlights the ways in which the Iranian presence in Syria is becoming increasingly bold in line with the foreign policy goals of Iran’s new president.
Nov 5, 2021
◆
Omar Abu Layla
Articles & Testimony
Why a Political Comeback for Israel’s Netanyahu Just Became a Lot Less Likely
By passing a budget, avoiding fatal polarization, and toning down the rhetoric (if not the military pressure) on Iran, the young coalition government may have marginalized the former leader for the long term.
Nov 5, 2021
◆
Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Top Agenda Items for the U.S.-Egypt Strategic Dialogue
In addition to continuing the discussion of withheld U.S. funding, Secretary Blinken’s team should focus on steering Cairo toward productive steps in Ethiopia, Sudan, Libya, Lebanon, and Syria.
Nov 5, 2021
◆
David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
A Blurred Line Between Civil Society and Terrorism
Examining Charges of NGOs Funding the PFLP
The Israeli evidence could reveal a troubling reality wherein groups publicly defend the human rights of some people while supporting acts of terrorism targeting others.
Nov 4, 2021
◆
Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Ahd Allah Movement: Another Iranian Proxy
As Gulf countries pursue dialogue with Iran, they must realize the threats posed by Iranian-backed Iraqi militias – both to Iraq itself, and to wider regional stability.
Nov 4, 2021
◆
Twaseef Almogbal
Articles & Testimony
Biden Needs a Plan B for Yemen If Houthis Win
Ending the war under the current circumstances will generate new problems unless further steps are taken to interdict weapons smuggling and bolster security in Saudi Arabia and the Red Sea.
Nov 4, 2021
◆
David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
Putin's War in Syria
Russian Foreign Policy and the Price of America's Absence
The Russian leader defied expectations of a quixotic, costly outcome for his country’s 2015 intervention in Syria. As it actually played out, explains Anna Borshchevskaya in her recently published book, Russia leveraged the conflict and U.S. inaction to position itself as a leading power in the Middle East.
November 4, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
After Al-Burhan’s Seizure of Power, Where Is Sudan’s Democratic Transition Heading?
With Al-Burhan’s coup sparking an international and popular backlash, the military may again look to Hamdok to renegotiate a power-sharing agreement.
Nov 3, 2021
◆
Areej Elhag
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Rocket Attacks on the Iraqi National Intelligence Service
Such attacks are a specialized subset of violent militia actions, with the most recent incident likely undertaken by Asaib Ahl al-Haq.
Nov 2, 2021
◆
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Young MPs of the Tishreen Movement Face Off Against Establishment Parties
With a sizable number of independents in Iraq’s next parliament, young Iraqi MPs are hoping to push the Iraqi government to finally deliver on their protest demands from 2019.
Oct 29, 2021
◆
Azhar Al-Rubaie
Articles & Testimony
Don’t Let China Distract Us from Russia
Putin has a long list of achievements in the Middle East and is not leaving the stage anytime soon, so Washington must respond to the hardnosed realism that drives him to undermine U.S. influence.
Oct 29, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Interpreting the Reemergence of the Allies of Syria Operations Room
The recent attack on al-Tanf base and the identity of the Iraqi factions that reportedly helped carry it out indicate Iran's plans to establish a new "deterrence equation" in Syria.
Oct 28, 2021
◆
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s F-16 Request May Not Stave Off the Inevitable
Washington and Ankara have significant diplomatic and security incentives for considering the deal, while rejecting it outright would likely hasten Erdogan’s drift into Putin’s orbit.
Oct 28, 2021
◆
Grant Rumley
Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Rise of the Taliban and Iran’s Critical Problem in Afghanistan
Facing a Taliban-controlled Afghanistan, Iran is likely to pursue pragmatism based on mutual interests and forgo escalation, even in the face of growing terrorist threats.
Oct 28, 2021
◆
Firas Elias
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