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All Policy Analysis by Hanin Ghaddar
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Brief Analysis
For Hezbollah, a Maritime Border Deal Is a Way to Avoid War
Hezbollah leaders are not ready to act on their many threats of major escalation, so Washington and its allies should prevent the group from reaping the nascent agreement’s reputational and financial benefits.
Sep 23, 2022
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Hanin Ghaddar
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Karish Gas Field: Diplomatic Opportunity or Casus Belli?
Seven experts examine how the fraught decision to start production might affect Beirut’s negotiating stance, Hezbollah’s military calculus, U.S.-Israel relations, and other factors.
Sep 20, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Hanin Ghaddar
Matthew Levitt
Ehud Yaari
David Makovsky
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Video
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah-Shia Dynamics and Lebanon's Election: Challenges, Opportunities, and Policy Implications
On the eve of the election, two Lebanese experts joined a former U.S. official to discuss the prospects for widening the cracks in Hezbollah’s core Shia constituency.
May 18, 2022
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Hanin Ghaddar
Bashshar Haydar
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
What Hezbollah’s Parliamentary Loss Means for Lebanon
The voting results provide even more hope for change than meets the eye, though the winners will need international help to prevent Hezbollah from obstructing the next steps.
May 16, 2022
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Hanin Ghaddar
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Hezbollahland
Mapping Dahiya and Lebanon's Shia Community
The southern Beirut suburb encompasses multiple layers of clashing and besieged identities that pose major internal challenges to Hezbollah’s hold over Lebanon.
Mar 14, 2022
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Leaders Are Dreading the Election—But They Have a Plan
Opposition parties may win enough votes to strip Hezbollah’s parliamentary majority, but the group is already preparing to employ its usual tactics of postponement, paralysis, and street violence if necessary.
Feb 1, 2022
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Hanin Ghaddar
In-Depth Reports
Power to the People?
Scrutinizing the U.S.-Arab Effort to Supply Energy to Lebanon via Syria
Residents of the beleaguered country desperately need electricity, but a U.S.-Arab scheme carries complications that could benefit Syria's Assad regime.
Dec 16, 2021
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Katherine Bauer
Ben Fishman
Hanin Ghaddar
Simon Henderson
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Lebanon Stands at a Crossroad Between a Painful Revival and a Complete Submission to Iran
The country’s ongoing crises are closely intertwined with Hezbollah’s internal challenges, creating real potential for change if the West stands firmly behind fair elections, judicial accountability, and targeted pressure.
Dec 7, 2021
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Amid Beirut Clashes, Lebanese Investigators Need Protection
By safeguarding Judge Bitar ahead of next year's election, the international community could help strengthen the small but important space he represents within Lebanon’s foundering, Hezbollah-dominated institutions.
Oct 20, 2021
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Hanin Ghaddar
Audio
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Grip on Lebanon Is Weakening. Here’s How Washington Can Help.
Instead of continuing to work with corrupt Lebanese state institutions, the United States should pursue opportunities with the business community and civil society, whose members are eager to separate themselves from the group.
Sep 20, 2021
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Hanin Ghaddar
In-Depth Reports
A Strategy to Contain Hezbollah:
Ideas and Recommendations
Since securing a parliamentary majority, the group has consistently prioritized its own interests over those of the Lebanese people through practices such as illicit drug production, sex trafficking, and the buildup of its military arsenal.
Aug 24, 2021
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
A Mikati Government Will Not Save Lebanon
Instead of resuming a shell game that the country’s beleaguered people no longer have the luxury to play, Europe and the United States should proceed with additional sanctions against corrupt leaders.
Jul 28, 2021
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Hanin Ghaddar
Video
Brief Analysis
Anti-Normalization Laws: A Powerful Weapon in the Fight Against Peace
A panel of experts discuss Hezbollah’s efforts to neutralize the Abraham Accords by threatening and prosecuting Lebanese citizens who interact with Israelis, including expatriates living or working in Gulf countries.
Jun 24, 2021
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Nadim Koteich
Majd Harb
Hanin Ghaddar
Joseph Braude
Brief Analysis
To Push Past Hezbollah Stonewalling, Leverage the LAF
The political fallout from a recent speech by the Lebanese Armed Forces commander gives Washington and its partners a golden opportunity to prod the country from crisis management toward actual solutions.
Mar 18, 2021
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Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
The Other Khashoggis: Dissidents in Danger Across the Middle East
With militia targeting of activists on the rise, Western officials need to name the perpetrators, hold them accountable, and support homegrown democratic movements before they are snuffed out for good.
Feb 25, 2021
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Hanin Ghaddar
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah Is Vulnerable. Lokman Slim's Assassination Proves It.
The Biden administration and the French government must draw clear redlines, or the group will escalate its campaign of terror.
Feb 16, 2021
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Has Created Parallel Financial and Welfare Systems to Manage the Current Crisis
To contain corrupt actors and facilitate reform, the international community must provide alternatives to Hezbollah pharmaceutical and food programs while filling gaps that the group is unable to address.
Dec 9, 2020
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
U.S. Officials to Mediate Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border Talks
Negotiating a dividing line would enable Beirut to fully exploit potential offshore oil and gas reserves.
Sep 25, 2020
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Ehud Yaari
Simon Henderson
Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
The Beirut Disaster: Implications for Lebanon and U.S. Policy
Experts discuss the deadly Beirut explosion as it relates to the Lebanese political system, Hezbollah hegemony, and foreign aid.
Aug 18, 2020
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Saleh Machnouk
Hanin Ghaddar
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Lebanon Needs Transformation, Not Another Corrupt Unity Government
If the United States lets France take the lead, the Lebanese people will get more political paralysis, cosmetic reforms, and Hezbollah control of state institutions.
Aug 11, 2020
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Hanin Ghaddar
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