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Policy Analysis
All Policy Analysis by Aaron Y. Zelin
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Brief Analysis
Aug 15, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Picture or It Didn't Happen: A Snapshot of the Islamic State's Official Media Output
The group produces much more than execution videos, and examining its propaganda on topics such as military affairs, governance, preaching, and moral policing is key to understanding why individuals spread its message or join its ranks.
Aug 7, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's Burgeoning Capital in Sirte, Libya
Although ISL lost in Darnah, it has emerged even stronger in Sirte by building on existing jihadist networks in the area and ramping up its state-building activities.
Aug 6, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Aug 5, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia's Fragile Democratic Transition
The government can move past the recent terrorist attacks and other struggles, but not if it falls back on arbitrary arrests, opaque investigations, or other tactics that failed during the Ben Ali era.
Jul 14, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Tunisian-Libyan Jihadi Connection
A relationship that dates back decades deserves closer attention, and could well lead to repeat Islamic State attacks on Tunisian soil.
Jul 6, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Jul 6, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Jun 22, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Jun 11, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's Saudi Chess Match
By attacking Shiite targets in Yemen and Saudi Arabia and potentially drawing Iran into the fray, the group is playing a complicated game aimed at delegitimizing the royal family and destabilizing the kingdom.
Jun 2, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Between the Islamic State and al-Qaeda in Tunisia
If al-Qaeda and IS operatives in Tunisia decide to challenge each other for local jihadist supremacy, the result could be more high-profile attacks that threaten the country's summer tourist industry.
May 11, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Apr 29, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Apr 24, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
What AQAP's Operations Reveal About Its Strategy in Yemen
While airstrikes in Yemen are changing the nature of AQAP's battlespace, they are not yet fundamentally altering the strategic calculus behind a campaign that took shape well before the Saudi-led intervention.
Apr 23, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Patrick Hoover
Is Al Qaeda in Decline?
A conversation about the current status of ISIS and al-Qaeda, including their differing strategic approaches, shifting territorial reach, and Arabic- and Twitter-focused propaganda efforts.
Apr 18, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The State of al-Qaeda
The wider network appears to have moved on somewhat from Zawahiri and the central leadership, hoping to carry the banner against ISIS while continuing the fight against its local and global enemies.
Apr 13, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Rise and Decline of Ansar al-Sharia in Libya
Over the past two years, global attention has shifted to Syria and Iraq with the rise of Jabhat al-Nusra and the return of the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS). However, nearly one thousand miles to the west, Ansar al-Sharia in Libya (ASL) has continued its work of facilitating
Apr 6, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Assad Plays America the Fool...Again
Although the regime does not publicly boast about its crimes, it is just as vicious as ISIS.
Mar 23, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Oula A. Alrifai
Articles & Testimony
New Zealand's Jihadis
The small but growing number of Kiwis participating in the Syrian jihad holds several lessons for the New Zealand government and other jurisdictions dealing with the problem of homegrown extremists and sympathizers.
Mar 17, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Feb 20, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
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