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Policy Analysis
All Policy Analysis by Aaron Y. Zelin
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Brief Analysis
Dec 12, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Decline in Islamic State Media Output
The group's much-vaunted media machine seems to have slowed down over the past half year, suggesting that military efforts against its forces are taking a toll.
Dec 4, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Targeting Europe's Refugees Is Not the Answer
Refugee-baiters and their proposed policies will only further undermine future European security.
Nov 16, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Nov 16, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Rise of ISIS: 'Remaining and Expanding'
Read or an in-depth conversation on the fifteen-year history of ISIS and its predecessor groups, and the potential future of the so-called 'Islamic State,' with three leading scholars of jihadist terrorism.
Nov 12, 2015
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Joby Warrick
Will McCants
Aaron Y. Zelin
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
How Is the War Against the Islamic State Going? 10 Expert Opinions
In a recent compilation, two Institute fellows shared their views on the situation in Iraq. Read the full set of remarks on the Musings on Iraq website. Michael Knights Speaking just about Iraq, which is clearly only one segment of the broader war, any assessment of the current level of
Aug 20, 2015
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Michael Knights
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Aug 15, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Picture or It Didn't Happen: A Snapshot of the Islamic State's Official Media Output
The group produces much more than execution videos, and examining its propaganda on topics such as military affairs, governance, preaching, and moral policing is key to understanding why individuals spread its message or join its ranks.
Aug 7, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's Burgeoning Capital in Sirte, Libya
Although ISL lost in Darnah, it has emerged even stronger in Sirte by building on existing jihadist networks in the area and ramping up its state-building activities.
Aug 6, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Aug 5, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia's Fragile Democratic Transition
The government can move past the recent terrorist attacks and other struggles, but not if it falls back on arbitrary arrests, opaque investigations, or other tactics that failed during the Ben Ali era.
Jul 14, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Tunisian-Libyan Jihadi Connection
A relationship that dates back decades deserves closer attention, and could well lead to repeat Islamic State attacks on Tunisian soil.
Jul 6, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Jul 6, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Jun 22, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Jun 11, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's Saudi Chess Match
By attacking Shiite targets in Yemen and Saudi Arabia and potentially drawing Iran into the fray, the group is playing a complicated game aimed at delegitimizing the royal family and destabilizing the kingdom.
Jun 2, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Between the Islamic State and al-Qaeda in Tunisia
If al-Qaeda and IS operatives in Tunisia decide to challenge each other for local jihadist supremacy, the result could be more high-profile attacks that threaten the country's summer tourist industry.
May 11, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Apr 29, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Apr 24, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
What AQAP's Operations Reveal About Its Strategy in Yemen
While airstrikes in Yemen are changing the nature of AQAP's battlespace, they are not yet fundamentally altering the strategic calculus behind a campaign that took shape well before the Saudi-led intervention.
Apr 23, 2015
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Patrick Hoover
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