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All Policy Analysis by David Schenker
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Brief Analysis
Sudani’s Wobbly Balancing Act Between Tehran and Washington
Although it is still too early to write the prime minister off as an Iranian lackey, he is on a familiar trajectory for Iraqi governments: doing the minimum necessary to prevent deterioration with Washington while satisfying the voracious demands of his Iran-backed partners.
Jan 27, 2023
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The UNIFIL Follies Turn Deadly on the Israel-Lebanon Border
The recent murder of an Irish peacekeeper has once again exposed the international mission as a costly failure—one that should be drastically curtailed come renewal time this summer.
Jan 24, 2023
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Biden Heads to Egypt Amid Economic Protests and Libyan Gridlock
Although climate issues will by definition headline the latest COP summit, Egypt’s human rights record, simmering protest movement, and questionable policies in neighboring Libya will provide plenty of additional fodder for Biden’s discussions with Sisi.
Nov 10, 2022
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David Schenker
Ben Fishman
Video
Brief Analysis
Inside Saudi Arabia: A Trip Report
After leading an extensive group visit throughout the kingdom, Washington Institute scholars offer insights from their encounters with leaders in government, religion, business, and culture.
Nov 4, 2022
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Robert Satloff
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
What to Expect (or Not) from the Arab League Summit
Participants will probably issue potent-sounding statements on Iran, oil production, and other key issues, but their rhetoric is unlikely to result in any substantive policy shifts or internal dispute resolution.
Oct 24, 2022
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Sabina Henneberg
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Israel Falls for Lebanon’s Treaty Bait-and-Switch
The maritime border agreement is a mixed bag, demonstrating how far Israel will go to make peace with Arab states while doing little to decrease the prospects of an eventual war with Hezbollah.
Oct 11, 2022
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Regional Security Cooperation Partnerships in the Middle East
The Abraham Accords have substantially increased the region’s options for countering Iranian threats, but the past performance of Arab coalitions should make policymakers cautious about expecting too much from new alliances.
Sep 21, 2022
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David Schenker
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Karish Gas Field: Diplomatic Opportunity or Casus Belli?
Seven experts examine how the fraught decision to start production might affect Beirut’s negotiating stance, Hezbollah’s military calculus, U.S.-Israel relations, and other factors.
Sep 20, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Hanin Ghaddar
Matthew Levitt
Ehud Yaari
David Makovsky
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Biden’s Indifference Has Given Iran the Upper Hand in Iraq
In light of Tehran’s concerted efforts to reverse last year’s electoral setback, it has become too risky to let Baghdad’s nascent democracy simply fend for itself.
Aug 24, 2022
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Getting to an Israeli-Saudi Deal on Tiran and Sanafir
Efforts to reach an agreement during President Biden’s visit are laudable, but the administration must take care to ensure that any deal with Riyadh preserves the crucial regional security arrangements enshrined in the Egypt-Israel peace treaty.
Jul 7, 2022
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
How to Avoid Another Lost Year for UNIFIL
At this point, even if the “interim” force was somehow able and willing to implement its mandate in southern Lebanon, it might not be enough to prevent war—but Washington should still press for whatever reforms it can.
Jun 21, 2022
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David Schenker
Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Fixing Washington’s Gulf Rift
From Abu Dhabi and Riyadh’s perspective, there is no substitute for an American partner with the will to militarily deter or answer Iran’s regional aggression.
Jun 21, 2022
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Remilitarized Sinai Is a Future Powder Keg
Cairo needs to hear from Israel, the United States, and the Multinational Force & Observers that its security violations erode the Egypt-Israel peace.
Jun 3, 2022
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David Schenker
Video
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah-Shia Dynamics and Lebanon's Election: Challenges, Opportunities, and Policy Implications
On the eve of the election, two Lebanese experts joined a former U.S. official to discuss the prospects for widening the cracks in Hezbollah’s core Shia constituency.
May 18, 2022
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Hanin Ghaddar
Bashshar Haydar
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Kurdish Infighting Could Undermine a Sovereign Iraqi Government
Shortsighted squabbles between the KDP and PUK may soon wind up sending the country back to elections—and the threat of Iranian political domination.
Apr 5, 2022
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
There’s a Better Way to Sell American Weapons
The United States should use enticements as well as sanctions to deter friends from buying Russian arms.
Mar 29, 2022
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Grant Rumley
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Book Review: Jordan and America: An Enduring Friendship
Bruce Riedel's latest book has numerous insights on U.S. relations with Amman, but also many unfortunate omissions.
Spring 2022
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Putin’s War Has Middle Eastern Countries Hedging Their Bets
Facing greater regional demands and limited resources, Washington will have to be more judicious in its obligations and more consistent in following through, lest its assurances fail to assure.
Mar 4, 2022
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Saad’s Sad Goodbye: Hariri Leaves Lebanese Politics
Despite seeming more well-intentioned than most of his colleagues in Beirut’s political elite, Hariri ultimately became part of the coterie that has pushed Lebanon to the brink of state failure.
Jan 25, 2022
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Golf War on the Arabian Peninsula
The Emirates are the region’s leading destination for the sport, but Saudi Arabia is coming on strong as part of their broader economic competition.
Dec 26, 2021
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David Schenker
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