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Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy in the Middle East Amid Great Power Competition
Viewing regional issues through this broader strategic lens will require Washington to accept painful trade-offs and take a tougher stance with difficult allies.
Mar 30, 2020
◆
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
How to Serve U.S. Interests by Saving Kurdistan’s Economy
Unless Washington intervenes with cost-effective, forceful measures, Iraqi Kurdistan could be the first Middle Eastern economy to implode under the pressure of coronavirus and low oil prices.
Mar 30, 2020
◆
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Securitizes the Pandemic as the IRGC Mulls Regional Action
With the regime leadership accusing the United States of using bioweapons and fomenting other hateful disinformation, the potential for violence against U.S. forces and interests will likely escalate.
Mar 27, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Egyptian Response to Coronavirus: Denial and Conspiracy
The coronavirus pandemic currently sweeping the world and is a new contagious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which scientists believe originated from a mutated virus carried by bats and originated in Wuhan, China December of last year. As of March 27, more than 549,105 cases
Mar 27, 2020
◆
Mohamed Abdelaziz
Brief Analysis
Gantz’s Gamble
In the name of Israeli unity, the former Blue-White leader has opted to detonate his bloc and allow Netanyahu to remain in power until next year, with uncertain consequences for domestic politics, West Bank annexations, and other issues.
Mar 27, 2020
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
With COVID-19, Iran’s Dependence on China Grows
Beijing has steadily become Tehran’s economic ventilator, diplomatic prop, and military enabler, and the Iranians need this backstop now more than ever.
Mar 27, 2020
◆
Kevjn Lim
In-Depth Reports
The Outlook for Turkish Democracy:
2023 and Beyond
Over nearly two decades, Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan has managed to strengthen his hold on power despite numerous political reconfigurations. With the next presidential election scheduled for 2023, many figures within his camp are already maneuvering for leverage while the opposition mulls how to defeat him. Among his potential rivals
Mar 26, 2020
◆
Nick Danforth
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Idlib May Become the Next Gaza Strip
Given the military situation on the ground and the overriding interests of each party, the jihadist-run rebel pocket will likely be further reduced into a small, overpopulated border strip north of the M4 highway.
Mar 26, 2020
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Fikra Forum
Most Palestinians Want to Work With Israel Against Coronavirus, Though Nearly Half Think it Is Deliberately Spread
The coronavirus outbreak is having a major effect on Israeli personal and public life, but has a lesser effect so far on the Palestinians next door in the West Bank and Gaza. Even so, an extraordinary public opinion poll conducted in those territories right in the midst of this medical
Mar 25, 2020
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David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Year Since Baghuz, the Islamic State Is Neither Defeated nor Resurging (Yet)
Although attack statistics have declined, the continued lack of stable governance in Diyala and Deir al-Zour shows that Washington and its partners have not absorbed the lessons provided by previous insurgencies.
Mar 25, 2020
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Political Battle Goes to Court
The dispute over voting for a new speaker of parliament is the latest front in determining who will form the next government, with the Supreme Court entering the fray as Netanyahu maneuvers to stay in power.
Mar 24, 2020
◆
David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Post-uprising Iraq: New Players and New Realities
The past several days have witnessed a great deal of political movement in Iraq as a result of the country’s remarkable current situation. As usual, the actions of Iraq’s traditional political players have remained unclear—and, like the end of a thriller, many possibilities for Iraq’s political future remain open, though
Mar 24, 2020
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Munqith Dagher
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Nowruz Speech in a Time of Coronavirus
His remarks focused on inspiring the nation to stay strong in the face of the crisis while refusing to trust U.S. aid, though without mentioning his normal laundry list of foreign policy issues.
Mar 23, 2020
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Omer Carmi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Despite Political Turmoil and Coronavirus, Iraq’s Protest Movement Continues
With neighboring Iran one of the most severely affected areas of coronavirus, Iraqi authorities are also confirming rising infections and deaths despite closing the border between the two states.
Mar 23, 2020
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Azhar Al-Rubaie
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Honored, Not Contained:
The Future of Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces
In this detailed Policy Focus, meant as a primer for Iraqi and international agencies, leading scholars examine the current status of Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces.
Mar 23, 2020
◆
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi
Video
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Role in Idlib and Beyond: Perspectives from Syria
How can the United States mitigate the worsening humanitarian crisis in Idlib, and what do Syrian activists on the ground want from Washington?
Mar 20, 2020
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Raed al-Saleh
Omar Alshogre
Rajaa Altalli
Naomi Kikoler
Brief Analysis
Don’t Count Out U.S. Oil Production as a Market-Shaper
Total U.S. production from all sources will remain the world’s largest no matter how low prices go, leaving Washington (and Texas) with considerable room to help domestic companies and press Riyadh and Moscow on stabilizing prices.
Mar 20, 2020
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Coronavirus in the Holy Land: Israel Has Been Ready for a Crisis Such as This
Fortress Israel raised its drawbridges early, though its resultant economic and political outlook is just as uncertain as the rest of the world’s.
Mar 20, 2020
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
In the Saudi-Russian Oil Price War, the U.S. Blinks First
This is President Trump’s dilemma: how to safeguard America’s shale-based energy independence without making apparent concessions to Moscow.
Mar 20, 2020
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Should Have Led the Coronavirus Response. Instead, China Stepped Up.
Starting with the virtual G-20 leaders summit, the Trump administration can retake the lead by proposing working groups on a number of measures needed to stop the pandemic.
Mar 20, 2020
◆
Dennis Ross
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