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Articles & Testimony
What Happens When Everyone’s Trying to Get Nukes?
Israel’s ‘Begin Doctrine,’ a commitment to prevent rival regional powers from acquiring nuclear weapons, risks becoming unenforceable, but it’s not clear what comes next.
Dec 4, 2019
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Jay Solomon
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The U.S.-Kurdish Relationship in Iraq After Syria
On November 23, U.S. Vice President Mike Pence arrived in Iraq for an unannounced trip that included a visit to meet with the President of the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) Nechirvan Barzani. In the published White House remarks of the meeting, one sentence asserted a sense of confidence in the
Dec 3, 2019
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Sardar Aziz
Brief Analysis
The IRGC States Its Case for Escalation Against the United States, Britain, and Saudi Arabia
As its concerns about domestic dissent and Western naval activity grow, Tehran may once again try to divert attention from the unrest at home by launching attacks abroad.
Nov 26, 2019
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Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Bahrain After the Prime Minister
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Bahrain’s prime minister, Sheikh Khalifa bin Salman al-Khalifa, has held his position since 1971, the year his country gained independence from Britain, but he is now eighty-four and evidently in uncertain health. Potential candidates to replace him include Crown Prince Salman or even a much younger nephew, Nasser bin Hamad, mirroring the generational handover in Qatar and Saudi Arabia. But the Khawalids, an influential, once-sidelined branch of the ruling family, also merit attention as Bahrain nears the end of an era.
Nov 26, 2019
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Simon Henderson
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Sudden Succession Essay Series
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Algeria’s Legitimacy Crisis: Path Towards an Impasse
In February, millions of Algerians went to the streets to protest against Bouteflika’s fifth bid for presidency after ruling the country for twenty years. What started as a spontaneous political movement against Bouteflika quickly transformed into popular demand for a radical political change. Even so, Algerians have been able to
Nov 26, 2019
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Zine Labidine Ghebouli
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Decline (and Fall?) of the “Fourth Persian Empire”
The timing of the Iranian government decision to lift gasoline subsidies, which has effectively doubled the cost of fuel on Iranian motorists, raises fundamental questions about the Tehran regime’s political calculus. Despite protests raging in nearby Iraq featuring open and persistent rejection of Iranian meddling and influence, and despite a
Nov 26, 2019
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Must Blunt Russia’s Adventurism in Libya
The deployment of Kremlin-linked mercenaries will make a costly civil war even more difficult to end.
Nov 25, 2019
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Ben Fishman
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Course Correction:
The Muslim World League, Saudi Arabia's Export of Islam, and Opportunities for Washington
Throughout 2016 and 2017, statements from Riyadh suggested that Saudi Arabia might be on the verge of reorienting its decades-long promotion of Salafism around the world. Given the sheer scale of the kingdom’s support for Islamic institutions over the years, the ripple effects of such a shift would be profound
Nov 22, 2019
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Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Domestic and Foreign Response Options to the Protests
The Supreme Leader faces tough choices about who to blame for the protests, and what impact they should have on policy toward the United States.
Nov 21, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
What’s Next for Lebanon? Examining the Implications of Current Protests
An expert testifies on the concrete steps Washington can take to ensure that a credible, technocratic government forms in Beirut, and that the Lebanese Armed Forces protect civilians from Hezbollah-led reprisals.
Nov 19, 2019
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Hanin Ghaddar
Video
Brief Analysis
The Evolving and Persistent Terrorism Threat to the Homeland
The FBI’s top intelligence official shares his insights into how authorities and agencies are collaborating to keep the United States safe amid a shifting threat landscape.
Nov 19, 2019
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Matthew Alcoke
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Gasoline Protests: Regime Unpopular but Resilient
The demonstrations indicate widespread popular rejection of the political system, but this same system remains well organized to deflect and counter unrest.
Nov 18, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Hiding in Plain Sight:
Hezbollah's Campaign Against UNIFIL
In summer 2006, the United Nations passed Security Council Resolution 1701 with the goal of ending the war between Israel and Hezbollah and preventing a recurrence. Among its terms was an expansion of the UN Interim Force in Lebanon, a multinational peacekeeping body created in 1978. UN reports over the
Nov 15, 2019
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Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
A Better Iran Deal Is Within Reach
With Tehran testing the limits of European patience, Washington has an opening to forge a united front, offer conditional leeway on some sanctions, and push the Iranians back to the negotiating table.
Nov 15, 2019
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Iraq in Crisis: The View from Kurdistan
The Iraqi Kurdistan government's top diplomat shares the Kurdish view of the growing unrest sweeping Iraq.
Nov 15, 2019
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Safeen Dizayee
Brief Analysis
Rouhani’s Shifting Argument for Preserving the JCPOA
Facing grim prospects in Iran’s upcoming elections, the president’s camp is trying to convince hardliners that they need to keep the nuclear deal alive in order to continue expanding their military arsenal and intervening abroad.
Nov 14, 2019
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Why Erdogan Wants to Get Along with Trump
The Turkish leader knows that if he cannot restore economic growth at home or stay just out of Russia’s permanent orbit, his political troubles will only increase.
Nov 14, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Multimedia
Podcast: Decision Points: The U.S.-Israel Relationship
"Decision Points" is a new podcast that is both a history lesson, a biography of the key Israelis and Americans that shaped the modern bond between the two nations, and a quest to understand how these decision points continue to reverberate today.
Nov 13, 2019
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Israeli Gas Export Route to Egypt Finalized
The two countries still need to resolve longer-term questions about international export options and energy contracts with Jordan, but the latest step toward reopening the pipeline is encouraging.
Nov 13, 2019
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Renaissance Dam Negotiations: An Egyptian View
The U.S.-brokered talks are a good start, but breaking the impasse on the GERD reservoir’s fill rate is crucial to avoiding deep socioeconomic damage in Egypt and potential armed conflict.
Nov 12, 2019
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Mahmoud Farouk
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