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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Are the Muqawama Signaling De-Escalation?
Although attacks on U.S. sites have surged, Iraqi militias appear to be laying the groundwork for de-escalation.
Jul 9, 2021
◆
Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
◆
Militia Spotlight
In-Depth Reports
Deals, Drones, and National Will:
The New Era in Turkish Power Projection
Turkey has recently pushed the PKK fight from its own turf and blunted challenges in northern Syria, Azerbaijan, Libya, and the Gulf, all while strengthening its defense export sector.
Jul 9, 2021
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Rich Outzen
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Working to Limit Iranian Involvement in Syria
The removal of Iranian militias from Syria could be a source for cooperation between the United States and Russia.
Jul 9, 2021
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Malik al-Hafez
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Liwa Thar Muhandis
This older facade brand has been brought out of retirement during the summer surge of Iraqi militia attacks on U.S. targets.
Jul 8, 2021
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Crispin Smith
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Brief Analysis
Supporting Sudan’s Essential but Risky Progress
Since experiencing major upheaval and demands for change in 2019, the country has achieved real gains in its political transition, but it needs serious American assistance to safely advance the fragile process.
Jul 8, 2021
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Alberto Fernandez
Articles & Testimony
Expect Political Consequences from Higher Oil Prices During the Summer Driving Season
Gulf squabbles over production quotas highlight the industry’s uncertain future, but in the meantime Washington may have to deal with heightened pressure at home.
Jul 8, 2021
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Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Triangular Diplomacy:
Unpacking Russia's Syria Strategy
Moscow has repeatedly played actors off each other to secure its own interests and keep the Assad regime in power.
Jul 7, 2021
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Assessing Militia Threats to Coalition Aircraft
Such threats are almost certainly information operations intended to demonstrate resolve and restrict coalition freedom of movement, not precursors to real attacks that could draw heavy U.S. retaliation.
Jul 6, 2021
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Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Saudi Visit to Washington Will Have a Thorny Agenda
Hosting Prince Khalid is a good look for the bilateral relationship, but discussions may prove difficult given complications over defense sales, Israeli normalization, OPEC infighting, and continued fallout over the Khashoggi affair.
Jul 6, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militias Parade Under the PMF Banner (Part 2): Ground Combat Systems
Tehran has bolstered the ground combat capabilities of its proxy militias within the PMF, though the equipment rarely sees combat employment.
Jul 3, 2021
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Farzin Nadimi
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militias Parade Under the PMF Banner (Part 1): Drone Systems
Drone systems paraded in Camp Ashraf were a show of strength, including the debut of new types of Iranian-provided airframes and control vehicles.
Jul 3, 2021
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Farzin Nadimi
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Biden Wants to Leave the Middle East, But He’s in a Vicious Bombing Cycle in Iraq
Caught between aggressive Tehran-backed militias and a skeptical Congress, the administration needs a better approach.
Jul 2, 2021
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
The Ongoing Assassinations of Iraqi Activists
Starting in early October 2019, when Iraq witnessed a swell of large protests in the capital, Baghdad, along with other cities in the south, protesters were violently repressed—the harshest crackdown on protesters since the downfall of Saddam’s regime in 2003.
Jul 1, 2021
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Ali Al-Mikdam
Brief Analysis
Uneasy State of Play Awaits New UN Envoy in Yemen
The next envoy will be asked to find a quick path to peace where no obvious one exists, armed with little leverage for budging the emboldened and well-positioned Houthis.
Jul 1, 2021
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Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
When Humanitarian Aid Becomes a Bargaining Chip
Cross-border access into Syria has become a stress test for Putin and Biden’s nascent relationship, so what exactly will it take for their governments to reach a durable agreement?
Jul 1, 2021
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Jomana Qaddour
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Islamic State Ideology Contributes to Its Resilience
The Islamic State's strategic understandings of geographic territory, time, and victory are critical elements in its potential for a resurgence.
Jul 1, 2021
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Pasar Sherko
Articles & Testimony
The Worst of COVID-19 May Be Over, But It’s Still a Factor in the Price of Oil
The issue will likely dominate discussions at the next OPEC+ meeting, but the longer-term economic and geopolitical repercussions are trickier to gauge.
Jun 30, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
China and the United States in the Middle East: Between Dependency and Rivalry
Washington's current regional posture of heavy presence but strategic diffidence offers China the best of both worlds—a continued American security umbrella over countries increasingly interested in diversifying their great power relationships.
June 2021
◆
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Iranian Website Seizures: Avoiding a Blanket Approach
Tehran is increasingly relying on its vast regional propaganda machine to pursue its anti-American objectives, but policymakers need to be simultaneously more precise and more comprehensive in how they counter it.
Jun 29, 2021
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Hamdi Malik
Articles & Testimony
The Iran Nuclear Deal Isn’t the Problem. Iran Is.
Tehran’s provision of training and weapons to regional militants never stopped even under heavy U.S. sanctions, so the Biden administration needs to do much more than just reinstate the JCPOA.
Jun 29, 2021
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James Jeffrey
Dennis Ross
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