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Brief Analysis
Deterring Militias in Iraq: What Works and What Doesn’t
Striking back one time in twelve will not stop Iranian proxy attacks, so Washington must consider more consistent and painful retaliation in order to protect Americans in the Middle East.
Jun 28, 2021
◆
Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Drone and Rocket Epidemic, By the Numbers
Attacks on coalition points of presence are increasing in quantity and quality, making U.S. fatalities increasingly likely unless deterrence is restored.
Jun 27, 2021
◆
Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Propaganda Outlets Take a Hit
U.S. website seizures are unlikely to have much direct impact on Iran’s media, nuclear, or terrorist activities, but they should serve as another wake-up call about the regime’s ultimate objectives and modus operandi.
Jun 25, 2021
◆
David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Reasons Behind the Spanish-Moroccan Crisis
In order to understand the recent surge in migrants to Spanish enclaves in Morocco, one must understand the lopsided economic relationship between the EU and African countries.
Jun 25, 2021
◆
Samir Bennis
Articles & Testimony
Have We Already Failed to Ensure That Iran ‘Never Gets a Nuclear Weapon’?
Such weapons have spread surprisingly slowly since the end of World War II, but this template may be changing amid unsustainable ambiguity over the future of Tehran’s program.
Jun 25, 2021
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Women’s Path to Parliament
Reforms are needed to open greater opportunities for Iraqi women's political representation.
Jun 24, 2021
◆
Ayat Mudhafar Noori
Video
Brief Analysis
Anti-Normalization Laws: A Powerful Weapon in the Fight Against Peace
A panel of experts discuss Hezbollah’s efforts to neutralize the Abraham Accords by threatening and prosecuting Lebanese citizens who interact with Israelis, including expatriates living or working in Gulf countries.
Jun 24, 2021
◆
Nadim Koteich
Majd Harb
Hanin Ghaddar
Joseph Braude
Video
Brief Analysis
Preventing Domestic Terrorism: The DHS Approach and the New U.S. Strategy
The Department of Homeland Security’s assistant secretary for counterterrorism and threat prevention discusses why the agency and its partners need to focus on nimble, transparent responses to the problem, with an emphasis on prevention efforts via the newly formed CP3.
Jun 23, 2021
◆
John D. Cohen
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Raisi Did Not Win, Reformers Lost
Mass support for reformists has disappeared among Iran’s severely disenchanted electorate, leaving Hemmati and his circle with little means of avoiding dismal turnout and vote tallies.
Jun 22, 2021
◆
Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
Accidental Allies:
The US–Syrian Democratic Forces Partnership Against the Islamic State
To some, America's partnership with the SDF exemplified an economy-of-force effort that minimized U.S. casualties and wrested control of northeast Syria from the Islamic State. To others, it was a cautionary tale about a U.S. military hoodwinked into working with a terrorist group.
Jun 22, 2021
◆
Michael Knights
Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Brief Analysis
Making Libya’s Berlin Process Work
To break the political deadlock, begin the withdrawal of disruptive foreign forces, and deploy ceasefire monitors, U.S. officials will need to hold some hard conversations with the UN envoy and all of the international and local actors on the ground.
Jun 21, 2021
◆
Ben Fishman
Anas El Gomati
Articles & Testimony
The Biden Administration’s Formula Suggests an Aspiration and a Direction
No one is going to invest in massive Gaza reconstruction unless there is a credible mechanism for ensuring that Hamas does not divert the bulk of this material for military purposes.
Jun 21, 2021
◆
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
A One-State Solution Is Unworkable
The road to two states is arduous, but the one-state path guarantees endless bloodshed and is not something the Biden administration intends to pursue.
Jun 21, 2021
◆
David Makovsky
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Iraqi Muqawama Are Feeling Isolated and Threatened
The brazen approach taken by "resistance" factions in recent weeks was designed to undermine the government, but it is now coming back to hurt them.
Jun 19, 2021
◆
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
From Rouhani to Raisi: Pressing Questions on the Eve of Iran’s Election
With Ebrahim Raisi’s road to the presidency seemingly paved, the regime has been working to prevent low voter turnout and give him a vote of confidence through a landslide win.
Jun 17, 2021
◆
Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
Affirmations of Support and Rituals of Jihadi Martyrdoms
As eulogies for a recently slain militia figure spread online, they highlighted the differences between major jihadi organizations and revealed the solid local roots HTS has formed in northwest Syria.
Jun 17, 2021
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
In-Depth Reports
Promoting Sovereignty and Accountability in Iraq:
Guidelines for the Biden Administration
The complexity of Iraq’s challenges might prompt some U.S. officials to balk, but a constructive policy can help advance both Iraqi and American interests in areas ranging from counterterrorism to economic development.
Jun 17, 2021
◆
Bilal Wahab
◆
Transition 2021
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Gaza, Qatar, and the UAE: The Abraham Accords After Operation Guardian of the Walls
The Abraham Accords seem to have neither obfuscated not strengthened the Palestinian cause.
Jun 16, 2021
◆
Yoel Guzansky
Yohanan Tzoreff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Crisis in Relations Between Jews and Arabs in Israel: Can the Rift Be Healed?
Without genuine, serious introspection, any resolution to the current tensions between Arabs and Jews in Israel will likely be superficial.
Jun 16, 2021
◆
Michael Milshtein
Video
Brief Analysis
The Last Vote? Obstacles to Renewing UN Cross-Border Assistance in Syria
Amid talk of a potential new Security Council resolution, veteran diplomats and aid practitioners debate the future of humanitarian assistance to needy Syrians.
Jun 16, 2021
◆
James Jeffrey
Basma Alloush
Carsten Wieland
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