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Articles & Testimony
Wondering Why Gas Costs So Much? Blame Consumer Demands and the Oil Market
A post-oil future isn’t without risks, whether for Middle Eastern producers or Western economies still tied to hydrocarbons in myriad ways.
May 28, 2021
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Impact of Gender Violence on the US-Kurdish Alliance
Violence against women and other social issues in the KRI require multifaceted, international solutions, and the United States stands to benefit from supporting these solutions.
May 27, 2021
◆
Ruwayda Mustafah
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Try, and Fail, to Intimidate the Government
Baghdad effectively enforced the rule of law by detaining a senior militia figure, though it still needs to arrest other murder suspects and show the public that October’s election will be safe.
May 27, 2021
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Palestinian Politics Are More Divided Than Ever
Fatah and Hamas have tried every conceivable power-sharing mechanism to no avail, and many Palestinians now feel alienated from both brands of authoritarianism.
May 27, 2021
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Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
Beijing Is Social Media Trolling Biden Over Gaza
China’s "wolf warrior" diplomacy has discovered the Middle East, catching Washington unprepared.
May 26, 2021
◆
Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
Not (Just) Another Rigged Syrian Election: Implications for Settling the War
A panel of experts discuss the short- and long-term consequences of the 2021 presidential vote, including its potential effects on domestic opposition, regional normalization, future peace prospects, and Western policy.
May 26, 2021
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Vladimir Pran
Hannah Roberts
Wael Sawah
Zahra Albarazi
Emile Hokayem
Emma Beals
Articles & Testimony
Why Blinken Will Have a Tough Sell
The Biden administration cannot solve the Israeli-Palestinian problem today, but it can shrink the conflict by helping both sides take small steps toward a two-state solution.
May 25, 2021
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
A Race of One? Iran Slashes Its Presidential Candidates List
The regime is seemingly removing any obstacle that might prevent Ebrahim Raisi from winning the presidency and, perhaps, succeeding Khamenei down the road, but the risk of further eroding its internal legitimacy is high.
May 25, 2021
◆
Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
A Military Assessment of the Israel-Hamas Conflict
Both sides employed new methods in this round, and while Israel’s were more effective in military terms, the true measure of success will depend on how quickly Hamas can rebuild its warfighting capabilities and exploit any political gains.
May 25, 2021
◆
Grant Rumley
Neri Zilber
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
As Polls Show Increasing Dissatisfaction, will Young Shias Turn the Tables on Iraq’s Political System?
The Kadhimi government must move quickly if it wants to avoid a potential popular uprising among dissatisfied Shias in Iraq.
May 25, 2021
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Munqith Dagher
Karl Kaltenthaler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Tansiqiya Signals Escalation Versus the United States
The Iraqi militia coordination committee is laying out its political and legal arguments for the removal of U.S. forces.
May 24, 2021
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Crispin Smith
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
When the Tansiqiya Speaks in AAH's Absence
The May 20 Gaza protest in Baghdad saw the Tansiqiya speak in the notable absence of any Asaib Ahl al-Haq members, and the event was conspicuously ignored by AAH channels.
May 24, 2021
◆
Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Preparing for Iranian Expansion in Syria after a Nuclear Deal
The United States should capitalize on closer ties between its regional allies to combat Iranian expansionism, with a special focus on Syria.
May 21, 2021
◆
Ammar Musarea
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Stalling Visions of the Gulf: The UAE’s Vision 2021
Internal competition and unnecessary megaprojects are drawing attention away from the human capital and technology expertise needed for the UAE to transition away from oil.
May 21, 2021
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Frédéric G. Schneider
Articles & Testimony
The Real Impact of the War Between Hamas and Israel
The latest round of fighting may have come to an end, but the broader regional struggle over issues such as Sunni political Islam, normalization, and Iranian encroachment will continue for the long term.
May 21, 2021
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Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Winning the Gaza Ceasefire: Critical Decisions for the Biden Administration
Hamas may not have realized it when firing its first salvo against Jerusalem, but the challenge of its rockets didn’t end with a ceasefire—the administration now faces complex and urgent decisions that could affect the direction of its overall foreign policy.
May 21, 2021
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Stalemate in Northeast Syria: Options for Advancing U.S. Interests
In addition to clarifying its intentions and fortifying its presence in the area, the U.S. government needs to increase its focus on stability, security, and economic development.
May 21, 2021
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Kenneth R. Rosen
Articles & Testimony
After the Gaza Cease-Fire, What Next?
From calling out Qatar and Turkey to encouraging direct Israeli aid, Washington should pursue bolder initiatives that boost the chances of avoiding bloodshed.
May 20, 2021
◆
David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Achieving Sustainable Peace in Yemen
A political settlement with the Houthis is important, but no agreement can last without local buy-in and concerted efforts to rebuild Yemen’s infrastructure, institutions, and governance practices.
May 19, 2021
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Elana DeLozier
Adam Baron
Articles & Testimony
How the World Could Help End the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict—and Prevent Future Clashes
To make the ceasefire a lasting one, Washington should pursue discreet Israeli-Saudi normalization discussions and force Hamas to choose between its rockets and reconstruction.
May 19, 2021
◆
Dennis Ross
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