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Policy Analysis
All Policy Analysis by Aaron Y. Zelin
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Brief Analysis
Syria’s Transitional Honeymoon Is Over After Massacres and Disinformation
Amid mounting civilian deaths and rampant disinformation, the conduct of Syria’s fact-finding committee will either make or break the new government’s legitimacy and the prospects for a stable transition.
Mar 10, 2025
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
Inside the New Syria: The First Three Months
Activists and experts from Syria, Europe, and Washington share on-the-ground insights about how the post-Assad transition is going and where local grievances might erupt into bigger problems.
Mar 7, 2025
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Gregory Waters
Sawsan Abou Zainedin
Ferhad Ahma
Rahaf Aldoughli
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Digital Battlefield: How Terrorists Use the Internet and Online Networks for Recruitment and Radicalization
A terrorism expert discusses what U.S. policymakers and tech companies can do to stem the proliferation of jihadist activity online, including greater attention to multilingual content moderation, cryptocurrency abuse, and other evolving factors.
Mar 4, 2025
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Post-Paris Steps in Syria Could Be Decisive
With the clock ticking on the post-Assad honeymoon period, Washington still has time to acknowledge the realities on the ground by providing crucial U.S. know-how and strategic support to the international aid, recovery, and counterterrorism missions.
Feb 28, 2025
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Devorah Margolin
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
A New Age for Turkish Relations with Syria
Ankara and Washington should offer incentives to the new leadership in Damascus to encourage an inclusive governance process and make Syria work.
Feb 20, 2025
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Status of Syria’s Transition After Two Months
While the new government’s relative stability is a success, more details are needed on developing and implementing a national dialogue, a new constitution, and inclusivity measures.
Feb 12, 2025
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Syria Breakdown, Episode Four: Revolutionary Rebuilding and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)
What are the risks and potential rewards for Washington and its partners working with the new government of Syria, which is led by members of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)?
Feb 6, 2025
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Washington Returns to Damascus with High Stakes for Syria’s Transition
The delegation’s findings on key political and security issues will have a major impact on future U.S. engagement with Syria’s new leaders, including the decision on whether or not to remove sanctions.
Dec 20, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
What to Know About the Man Who Toppled Assad
Abu Mohammad al-Jolani has worked for years to rebrand himself, but has he truly broken from his extremist past?
Dec 11, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
The (Next) Battle for Northwest Syria: U.S. Policy Implications
The director of the Syrian Emergency Task Force joins three Washington Institute experts to discuss the stunning rebel advances in the west.
Dec 6, 2024
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Andrew J. Tabler
Anna Borshchevskaya
Aaron Y. Zelin
Mouaz Moustafa
Articles & Testimony
Remaining, Waiting for Expansion (Again): The Islamic State’s Operations in Iraq and Syria
Despite the group's expansion in other parts of the world, its original base in Iraq and Syria remains relevant due to the area's uncertain status quo and the looming prospect of U.S. military withdrawals.
Dec 5, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Patient Efforts Behind Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s Success in Aleppo
The former jihadist affiliate has changed tremendously in the past few years, and understanding this new reality is crucial to identifying how its current offensive might unfold.
Dec 3, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
How Syria’s ‘Diversity-Friendly’ Jihadists Plan on Building a State
As the group consolidates control in newly seized Aleppo, its leader is seeking to allay fears among minorities, pro-Assad residents, and skeptical Western officials alike.
Dec 3, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Addressing Entities of Particular Concern: Non-State Actors and Egregious Violations of Religious Freedom
A terrorism expert assesses how Washington and its partners can best counter—and in some cases engage—jihadist actors in Afghanistan and the Sahel amid growing limitations on U.S. influence in such locales.
Nov 19, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Gaza War Has Jump-Started a Weakened al-Qaeda
Although the former jihadist standard-bearer has failed to inspire attacks during the Gaza war, its efforts to exploit rising anti-Israel sentiment and train a new generation of terrorists in Afghanistan should not be taken lightly.
Oct 4, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
Understanding Jihadist Governance: Contending with a Diverse Problem Set
Three experts discuss the findings of a new Washington Institute compilation on jihadist governance, highlighting several of the case studies and data points explored in the book.
Sep 19, 2024
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Devorah Margolin
Matthew Bamber-Zryd
Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Hamas Diplomacy: From Haniyeh to Sinwar
The group has sought to build legitimacy and prepare for a postwar role in Gaza by engaging with various countries since October, but the death of Ismail Haniyeh will complicate those efforts.
Aug 28, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Looking for Legitimacy: The Taliban’s Diplomacy Campaign
In this chapter from the Jihadist Governance and Statecraft compilation, Aaron Y. Zelin explores how Afghanistan's one-time insurgents are making greater use of key instruments of state.
Aug 6, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
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Jihadist Governance and Statecraft
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State’s External Operations Are More Than Just ISKP
Although the recent focus on ISKP plots emanating from Afghanistan is understandable, other IS “provinces” have been accelerating and coordinating their external operations as well.
Jul 26, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Responding to the Islamic State Attack in Oman
Although the mosque shooting was unprecedented in Oman, it fits with the terrorist group’s long practice of massacring Shia Muslims in the Gulf and beyond.
Jul 24, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Elizabeth Dent
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