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All Policy Analysis by Simon Henderson
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Brief Analysis
The Challenges Facing the New Saudi Oil Minister
Riyadh’s hopes of raising money through a partial sell-off of Saudi Aramco depend on the price of oil, which failed to rise sufficiently under the previous minister.
Sep 10, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The U.S.-Iranian Scuffle Over a Ship Is a Sideshow to Events in the Gulf
Thus far, Britain’s willingness to stand firm in the Persian Gulf has been more consequential than Washington’s legal challenge in the Mediterranean Sea.
Aug 22, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
MbS and MbZ: Could Yemen Crisis End the Saudi-UAE Partnership?
The relationship is being tested, and the knock-on effects could roil the region from the sands of Libya to the Strait of Hormuz.
Aug 13, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Bahrain’s Perception Problem
New demonstrations, executions, and diplomatic quarrels threaten to undermine the island’s efforts to improve its pro-Western profile amid the Iran crisis.
Jul 30, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Jul 26, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Energy Confrontation with Cyprus
While much of the world is focused on the Strait of Hormuz, tensions are also mounting rapidly in the East Mediterranean.
Jul 24, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
High Stakes for Trump and Pakistan's Khan: Afghanistan, India, Nukes and Money
The military elite who decide much of Pakistan's foreign policy view Afghan stabilization efforts as a strategic opportunity for arch rival India to encircle them.
Jul 22, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Qatar Talks Likely to be Crucial to Iran Policy
The Oval Office meeting between President Trump and Emir Tamim could have many agenda items, but the regional tension with Tehran will be foremost.
Jul 8, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Iran Steps Over the Line on Nukes. What’s the Next Step for Trump?
At the very least, the International Atomic Energy Agency should be pressured to conduct closer inspections of Iranian enrichment sites and other nuclear facilities.
Jul 2, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Jun 30, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Bahrain’s Bid for Middle East Peace Role May Come Up Short
The guest list at the scaled-down meeting continues to shrink, while the tension caused by recent Iranian escalation looms in the background.
Jun 25, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Bahrain’s Hopes and Fears for the Peace Conference
Although the island may reap diplomatic kudos and economic benefits for hosting such a high-profile event, the potential reactions of domestic sectarian communities and nearby Iran remain a concern.
Jun 24, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Winning, but U.S. Has Options, in Gulf Crisis
Among other steps, Washington should release more intelligence on Tehran’s efforts to target energy assets while urging Gulf and European allies to visibly step up their military posture.
Jun 17, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Energy and Middle East Peace
The slow but steady progress in developing offshore gas fields is transforming local economies and could underpin U.S. peace plans.
Jun 13, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Oil Prices Up on Tanker Attacks, But Long-Term Trend Looks Down
Ultimately, sabotage operations in the Gulf may prove to be less impactful than Russian engagement with OPEC, a global economic slowdown, and other geopolitical factors.
Jun 13, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Warns Sudan—and Perhaps the Saudis—About Cracking Down on Protesters
As international players compete to ease or exploit the crisis, Washington is seemingly pressuring Riyadh to end its support for brutal warlords like General Dagalo.
Jun 6, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Deceptive Nuclear Messaging
Tehran’s decision to renege on some of its nuclear commitments heralds a new period of disturbingly ambiguous announcements.
May 23, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Aggressions the Focus of 'Emergency' Arab Summit
Despite the challenges that usually accompany these high-level talks, Gulf countries seem keener than ever to counter the threat across the Persian Gulf.
May 21, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Oil in Iran’s Crosshairs
Attacks on tankers near the Strait of Hormuz and Saudi Arabia’s main internal pipeline have accelerated the emerging Gulf crisis and could cause prices to spike worldwide.
May 14, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Prince's Scorecard on New 'Vision' Looks Good—With Caveats
Change is certainly happening in the kingdom, but it hasn’t been smooth, and doesn’t look like it will be so in the future either.
May 12, 2019
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Simon Henderson
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